Page last updated on Sat Oct 10 10:32:37 EDT 2015
Tue, 27 Jul 2010 07:13 PM EDT

Since falling short in the AFC Title game last January, the Jets have made many bold moves in hopes of taking the next step or two. In truth, head coach Rex Ryan has as many big name stars scattered over the field now as any other team. Still, their success figures to come down to quarterback Mark Sanchez and whether or not he can avoid the sophomore slump. Whatever happens, Ryan has made sure it will be interesting. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 New York Jets, the AFC East favorites.
2009 Record:11-8 (-0.3 ML Units), 11-8 ATS
COACH:Rex Ryan, 2nd year (11-8 SU, 11-8 ATS)
STADIUM:New Meadowlands Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:15 to 1, AFC Title:8 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:28 (#7 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:+6.5 (#7 of 32)

Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 11-8 ~ 24-27 (47%)
ATS: 11-8 ~ 24-26 (48%)
Preseason ATS: 3-1 ~ 8-3 (73%)
Home ATS: 4-4 ~ 9-14 (39%)
Road ATS: 7-4 ~ 15-12 (56%)
Division ATS: 2-4 ~ 7-10 (41%)
Conference ATS: 9-6 ~ 19-19 (50%)
Favorite ATS: 6-5 ~ 10-15 (40%)
Underdog ATS: 5-3 ~ 14-11 (56%)
Over-Under: 9-9 ~ 24-26 (48%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: +7.2 (#8 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +69.6 (#4 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.81 (#5 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: +2.49 (#8 of 32)
Turnover Differential: +1 (#15 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 322.9 (#20 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 253.3 (#1 of 32) Baseball Scores

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 20.38 (20th toughest of 32)
9/13/10 – BALTIMORE, 7:00 PM
9/19/10 – NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM
9/26/10 – at Miami, 8:20 PM
10/3/10 – at Buffalo, 1:00 PM
10/11/10 – MINNESOTA, 8:30 PM
10/17/10 – at Denver, 4:05 PM
10/31/10 – GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 – at Detroit, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – at Cleveland, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – HOUSTON, 1:00 PM
11/25/10 – CINCINNATI, 8:20 PM
12/6/10 – at New England, 8:30 PM
12/12/10 – MIAMI, 4:15 PM
12/19/10 – at Pittsburgh, 4:15 PM
12/26/10 – at Chicago, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – BUFFALO, 1:00 PM NFL Scores

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • NY JETS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more PYPG since ‘07. The Average Score was NY JETS 17.8, OPPONENT 21.3

    2010 OUTLOOK
    Rex Ryan hit New York like a fire-breathing dragon, and when the smoke cleared last January, he proved to bring a lot more than just hot air to the Big Apple. Backed by a rookie QB and the No. 1 defense in the NFL, Ryan led the Jets to the AFC Championship Game and has the franchise aiming even higher in 2010…A 2009 Draft Day trade brought Mark Sanchez to town and despite some expected struggles with turnovers (12:20 TD-Int ratio), Ryan constructed the perfect system to aid in the rookie’s development…The Jets will continue to focus on the run, even if some of the main components are different. At running back, Thomas Jones and Leon Washington are out, and the heavy lifting will now be done by Shonn Green and LaDainian Tomlinson. Ryan dropped guard Alan Faneca, but the line is still borderline dominant after anchoring the No. 1 ground attack in the NFL (172.2 YPG). If any position is make or break for the Jets’ fortunes, it’s at wide receiver. Jerricho Cotchery is as steady as they come, but the tandem of Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes is equally explosive for all the right and wrong reasons…Stars were born on defense when Ryan came to town, and the second-year head coach was not happy to stand pat even after leading the NFL in total defense. Antonio Cromartie and Jason Taylor join a defensive cast loaded with the likes of CB Darrelle Revis. It’s hard to call the run defense the weak link after it finished No. 8 in the league (98.6 YPG), but it’s all relative…Ryan is building the Jets into a force for both the long and short term, and the continued growth of Sanchez would fast track the franchise. Though there are several new faces to work into the rotation, they are seasoned veterans looking for that elusive Super Bowl ring. Basketball Scores Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 9.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: New York’s first four home games in opening the New Meadowlands are against Baltimore, New England, Minnesota, and Green Bay. Talk about a challenge. Fortunately, the road schedule is one of, if not the easiest in the NFL. With a running game/defense combo that may be unparalleled in the NFL, I don’t see how this team doesn’t win 10 games. OVER.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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