MINNESOTA TWINS (1-2)
at NEW YORK YANKEES (2-1)
First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -145, Minnesota +135, Total: 10
The Minnesota Twins head to the Bronx to take on their nemesis, the New York Yankees, in the opener of a four-game series on Monday evening. In the last two seasons, including postseason, the Twins have lost 17 of 19 games against the Yankees, and have been knocked out of the playoffs by the Yankees in four of their last five appearances in the AL Division Series. Baseball betting lines.
Scott Baker (12-9, 4.49 ERA, 148 K) will start for the Twins, hoping to follow up on a strong stretch run last season for Minnesota. The Twins were 9-1 in his last 10 starts of 2010. However, Baker has struggled out of the gate in the last two seasons, posting a 7.12 ERA in April since 2009. Baker also lost both starts in New York last year (one at Citi Field and one at Yankee Stadium), allowing 11 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.
The Twins arrive in New York coming off their first win of the season, barely holding on to beat the Blue Jays with Joe Nathan picking up his first save since 2009. Minnesota had lost its first two games by a combined score of 19-4.
Ivan Nova (1-2, 4.50 ERA) gets the call for the Bronx Bombers, looking to follow up on a strong spring during which he earned the fourth spot in the rotation by posting a 1.80 ERA in 20 innings. Nova made 10 appearances a year ago, including seven starts, and the Yankees were 5-2 in those seven starts. Baseball scores.
After winning its first two games of the season against the Tigers, the Yankees dropped a 10-7 decision on Sunday in the Bronx, which saw a combined seven home runs on the day. Mark Teixeira, typically a slow starter, has homered in each of the Yankees’ first three games. He’s the second Yankee to do that, matching Dave Winfield’s feat back in 1983. In two seasons at new Yankee Stadium, the Yankees are 9-1 at home against the Twins. Expect that trend to continue on Monday. These two anti-Twins FoxSheets trends show two more reasons to take New York.
Play Against – Any team (MINNESOTA) – good team from last season who won 54% to 62% of their games, after a win. (110-81 over the last 5 seasons.) (57.6%, +49.2 units. Rating = 3*).
MINNESOTA is 13-35 (27.1%, -23.3 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 3.7, OPPONENT 5.3 – (Rating = 2*). Odds.
The FoxSheets also like the Over for this game.
NY YANKEES are 18-5 OVER (78.3%, +13.0 Units) after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NY YANKEES 6.2, OPPONENT 4.8 – (Rating = 2*).