Cog Hill hosts the BMW Championship for the fourth time in the tournament’s five-year history. A year ago, the course was in rough shape after a hot, humid summer. But this year, the bare spots have been repaired and the scores should go lower. These are the top contenders… Odds.
Camilo Villegas (40/1): The Colombian is heating up just in time for another run at the BMW. He won this tournament when it was held at Bellerive CC in 2008, but he’s had his share of success at Cog Hill as well. Villegas went T11 last year, T8 in ’09 and T7 in ’07. And recently, he’s posted three straight top-25’s, including two top-10’s.
Matt Kuchar (15/1): Kuchar has gone top-10 at Cog Hill each of the past two years, including a T3 last September. He’s also kicked his playoffs off the right way, taking a solo second at The Barclays and a T25, with three sub-70 rounds, at the Deutsche Bank.
Steve Stricker (15/1): The Tour’s best player over the summer, Stricker returns to a Cog Hill course that’s treated him well the past two years (T8 last year, solo third in 2007). He still leads the Tour in putting (.897 strokes gained), but his putter has cooled off a bit of late. Scores.
Webb Simpson (15/1): After three years of frustration, Simpson has now broken through with two wins (the first of his career) in his past three starts. He had a T10 at The Barclays sandwiched between them, and has gone 16th or better in nine of his past 10 starts. But he’s made just one start at Cog Hill, a T61 in 2009.
Dustin Johnson (20/1): The defending champ is just two tournaments removed from a victory at The Barclays. He’s poised for a big finish to the year.
Adam Scott (15/1): Any concerns about his third- (and final)-round 76 at The Barclays was put to rest by Scott’s T8 at the Deutsche Bank (including a second-round 63), his third top-10 in four starts. The Aussie was T15 at Cog Hill last year, and solo fourth in 2007.
Luke Donald (10/1): His T3 at the Deutsche Bank was his fifth straight top-20, including three top-10’s in his past four starts. He’s had some uneven tournaments at Cog Hill though, including some final-round struggles the past two years (77 last year, 73 in 2009).
Jason Day (15/1): Day is getting hot during the playoffs again, following up a T13 at The Barclays with a T3 at the Deutsche Bank. However, the Aussie’s one slip-up during last year’s playoffs was at the BMW, when he finished T54 and failed to break 71. Las Vegas odds.
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