OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (4-0)
at LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS (2-2)
Kickoff: Friday, 9:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Oklahoma State -24, Total: 62
Oklahoma State brings its high-powered offense to Lafayette to take on the Ragin’ Cajuns. The Cowboys are second in the nation with 52.3 PPG, thanks to QB Brandon Weeden (315 pass YPG), WR Justin Blackmon (nation-best 140 rec. YPG) and RB Kendall Hunter (144 rush YPG, sixth in FBS). La Lafayette has allowed the 3rd-most points in the nation (35 PPG) and lost its last game against a BCS team, 55-7 to Georgia. Basketball spreads.
Oklahoma State’s offense has been stellar, but its defense has certainly not. Despite forcing 12 turnovers in their past three games, the Cowboys have still allowed 101 points over that span. After surrendering 535 yards to Texas A&M last week, OSU now ranks 96th among FBS schools in total defense (415 YPG).
UL Lafayette’s defensive unit isn’t much better, ranking 93rd in total defense (409 YPG). The Cajuns don’t have a stellar offense either, averaging just 314 YPG (95th in nation). Their top rusher Kevis Streeter is averaging below 40 YPG, but he will not play Friday because of knee problems. QB Chris Masson has done a nice job taking care of the football (5 TD, 1 INT in 103 pass attempts). But his favorite receiver, TE Ladarius Green (14 rec., 222 yds, 3 TD in three games) missed last game and is listed as doubtful Friday night due to an ankle injury. Basketball lines.
These teams have met four times since 1997, with OSU winning each game by at least 17 points. The past three contests saw OSU favored by 35, 34 and 37 points, but they only covered once. This FoxSheets trend shows why Oklahoma State can cover a more manageable spread:
Play On – Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA ST) – solid team – outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. (24-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 3*).
Oklahoma State’s over/under total has averaged 62 points this year, but the Cowboys have gone Over every time. Three out of four ULL games have gone over too. Despite the total being in the low-60s, FoxSheets likes the Over again on Friday night. Basketball betting lines.
Play Over – All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (OKLAHOMA ST) – quick starting offensive team – scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. (39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*).