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BUCS BURIED IN TOUGH NFC SOUTH DIVISION
Wed, 04 Aug 2010 06:30 PM EDT

There is a history in the NFC South Division of teams being able to go from worst to first in a single season. Quite frankly though, you’d probably have a better chance with the state lottery than cashing a ticket on the Buccaneeers to win the division in 2010. After their 3-13 campaign a year ago, the rebuilding effort continues this season behind head coach Raheem Morris. In no lesser words, Tampa Bay is buried behind New Orleans, Carolina, and Atlanta, and hence bound for the basement again. Let’s look at the Bucs’ upcoming season. NFL Lines

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
2009 Record:3-13 (-0.5 ML Units), 6-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC South
COACH:Raheem Morris, 2nd year (3-13 SU, 6-10 ATS)
STADIUM:Raymond James Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:100 to 1, NFC Title:50 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:15 (#24 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-7.1 (#26 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 3-13 ~ 21-28 (43%)
ATS: 6-10 ~ 23-26 (47%)
Preseason ATS: 1-3 ~ 7-5 (58%)
Home ATS: 1-6 ~ 11-13 (46%)
Road ATS: 5-4 ~ 12-13 (48%)
Division ATS: 2-4 ~ 10-8 (56%)
Conference ATS: 5-7 ~ 20-17 (54%)
Favorite ATS: 0-0 ~ 11-9 (55%)
Underdog ATS: 6-10 ~ 12-17 (41%)
Over-Under: 6-10 ~ 23-26 (47%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -9.8 (#29 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -78 (#27 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.84 (#27 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -4.30 (#29 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -5 (#22 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 287.6 (#28 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 365.6 (#27 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 20.06 (23rd toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 – at Arizona, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 – at Atlanta, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – CAROLINA, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – at San Francisco, 4:05 PM
11/28/10 – at Baltimore, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – ATLANTA, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – at Washington, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – SEATTLE, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at New Orleans, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • TAMPA BAY is on a 27-8 UNDER the total (+18.2 Units) run in the first two weeks of the season The Average Score was TAMPA BAY 15.7, OPPONENT 15.7 Football Betting Lines

    2010 OUTLOOK
    The Buccaneers were painful to watch at times in their first season under Raheem Morris, who had to wait until November for his first NFL head coaching victory. Unfortunately, despite a string of recent turnarounds in this division, another last-place finish in the NFC South seems likely…The Bucs gained more yards than only four teams and need to improve across the board to be competitive in a division with three offensive-minded clubs. QB Josh Freeman made his pro debut and finished with 1,855 yards, 10 touchdowns and 20 giveaways. Tight end Kellen Winslow caught a team-leading 77 balls for 884 yards and five touchdowns. If nothing else, the new wideout corps has promise. It could only be a matter of time before rookies Arrelious Benn (2b-Illinois) and Mike Williams (4-Syracuse) top the depth chart. The front office invested plenty of dough in RB Derrick Ward last offseason, but not many touches. In fact, Carnell Williams had nearly twice as many yards (823) and carries (211) than Ward. The line lacks a household name but brings back four starters…It seems like yesterday when Tampa Bay’s defense was one of the league’s most-feared units but 2009 saw it get pushed around weekly. The Bucs allowed 5,849 yards, worst in the league, and 46 touchdowns. Improvement is vital, and the numbers justify the front office investing three of its first four draft picks on defensive players, including highly touted tackle Gerald McCoy (1-Oklahoma), who brings exceptional quickness and ability to a defense that sorely needs a rising star. LB Barrett Ruud, who paced the team with 142 tackles, should hopefully see a lesser load with McCoy stopping things upfront… The Bucs received high grades for their draft but remain in rebuilding mode. It will be at least another year before they’ll sniff playoff contention. Continued growth of Freeman would be a positive sign. NFL Scores

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 5.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: I don’t think I can sugercoat this one…Tampa Bay has its hands full and is overmatched in the NFC South Division. All of the Bucs’ road games are against teams considered to be playoff contenders. I can three or four wins possibly, but no way does that number reach six. UNDER.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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    NFLDolphins vs Jets5:30 PM PST
    12/02/2014
    Italy - Coppa ItaliaLAZIO vs. VARESE07:00 AM PST
    Italy - Coppa ItaliaSASSUOLO vs. DELFINO PESCARA09:00 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH HAIFA vs. H RAANANA09:00 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH IRONI K SHMONA vs. H BEER SHEVA09:30 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1LORIENT vs. O MARSEILLE10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1NANTES vs. TOULOUSE10:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyALCOYANO vs. ATH BILBAO11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyALAVES vs. ESPANYOL11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyR MADRID vs. CORNELLA11:00 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueBURNLEY vs. NEWCASTLE11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueLEICESTER vs. LIVERPOOL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueMAN UTD vs. STOKE11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueSWANSEA vs. QPR11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierALFRETON vs. GATESHEAD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierCHESTER vs. TELFORD UTD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierDOVER ATH vs. TORQUAY UTD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierEASTLEIGH vs. DARTFORD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierHALIFAX vs. FOREST GREEN11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierWOKING vs. ALTRINCHAM11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierWREXHAM vs. BRISTOL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueCRYSTAL P vs. A VILLA12:00 PM PST
    England - Premier LeagueWEST BROM vs. WEST HAM12:00 PM PST
    France - Ligue 1MONACO vs. LENS12:00 PM PST
    Italy - Coppa ItaliaHELLAS vs. PERUGIA12:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyU DEP LAS PALMAS vs. CELTA1:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyVALLADOLID vs. ELCHE1:00 PM PST
    12/03/2014
    Greece - Super LeaguePANTHRAKIKOS vs. PLATANIAS05:00 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueAOK KERKYRA vs. PANIONIOS07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueSKODA XANTHI vs. AEL KALLONI07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueA ATHINON vs. VEROIA07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueGIANNINA vs. LEVADIAKOS07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueO PIRAEUS vs. P THESSALONIKI09:30 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueM NETANYA vs. M HAIFA09:30 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH TEL AVIV vs. H AKKO09:45 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1BASTIA vs. EVIAN10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1GUINGAMP vs. CAEN10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1METZ vs. G BORDEAUX10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1MONTPELLIER vs. ST ETIENNE10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1NICE vs. S RENNES10:00 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH BNEI SAKHNIN vs. M TEL AVIV10:55 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyHUESCA vs. BARCELONA11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyL'HOSPITALET vs. ATL MADRID11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyDEP LA CORUNA vs. MALAGA11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReySEVILLA vs. SABADELL11:00 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueARSENAL vs. SOUTHAMPTON11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueCHELSEA vs. TOTTENHAM11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueEVERTON vs. HULL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueSUNDERLAND vs. MAN CITY11:45 AM PST
    Scotland - PremierCELTIC vs. P THISTLE11:45 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1LILLE vs. PSG12:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND SANTA FE vs. ONCE CALDAS1:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND MEDELLIN vs. DEP TOLIMA1:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyGRANADA vs. CORDOBA1:00 PM PST
    12/06/2014
    UFCF Rivera vs U Faber5:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Samman vs E Gordon5:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Wilson vs C Anderson5:00 PM PST
    UFCR Pennington vs A Evans-Smith5:00 PM PST
    UFCR Lawler vs J Hendricks7:00 PM PST
    UFCG Melendez vs A Pettis7:00 PM PST
    UFCB Schaub vs T Browne7:00 PM PST
    UFCA Hamilton vs T Duffee7:00 PM PST
    UFCA Trujillo vs T Ferguson7:00 PM PST

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