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BUCS BURIED IN TOUGH NFC SOUTH DIVISION
Wed, 04 Aug 2010 06:30 PM EDT

There is a history in the NFC South Division of teams being able to go from worst to first in a single season. Quite frankly though, you’d probably have a better chance with the state lottery than cashing a ticket on the Buccaneeers to win the division in 2010. After their 3-13 campaign a year ago, the rebuilding effort continues this season behind head coach Raheem Morris. In no lesser words, Tampa Bay is buried behind New Orleans, Carolina, and Atlanta, and hence bound for the basement again. Let’s look at the Bucs’ upcoming season. NFL Lines

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
2009 Record:3-13 (-0.5 ML Units), 6-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC South
COACH:Raheem Morris, 2nd year (3-13 SU, 6-10 ATS)
STADIUM:Raymond James Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:100 to 1, NFC Title:50 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:15 (#24 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-7.1 (#26 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 3-13 ~ 21-28 (43%)
ATS: 6-10 ~ 23-26 (47%)
Preseason ATS: 1-3 ~ 7-5 (58%)
Home ATS: 1-6 ~ 11-13 (46%)
Road ATS: 5-4 ~ 12-13 (48%)
Division ATS: 2-4 ~ 10-8 (56%)
Conference ATS: 5-7 ~ 20-17 (54%)
Favorite ATS: 0-0 ~ 11-9 (55%)
Underdog ATS: 6-10 ~ 12-17 (41%)
Over-Under: 6-10 ~ 23-26 (47%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -9.8 (#29 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -78 (#27 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.84 (#27 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -4.30 (#29 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -5 (#22 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 287.6 (#28 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 365.6 (#27 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 20.06 (23rd toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 – at Arizona, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 – at Atlanta, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – CAROLINA, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – at San Francisco, 4:05 PM
11/28/10 – at Baltimore, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – ATLANTA, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – at Washington, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – SEATTLE, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at New Orleans, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • TAMPA BAY is on a 27-8 UNDER the total (+18.2 Units) run in the first two weeks of the season The Average Score was TAMPA BAY 15.7, OPPONENT 15.7 Football Betting Lines

    2010 OUTLOOK
    The Buccaneers were painful to watch at times in their first season under Raheem Morris, who had to wait until November for his first NFL head coaching victory. Unfortunately, despite a string of recent turnarounds in this division, another last-place finish in the NFC South seems likely…The Bucs gained more yards than only four teams and need to improve across the board to be competitive in a division with three offensive-minded clubs. QB Josh Freeman made his pro debut and finished with 1,855 yards, 10 touchdowns and 20 giveaways. Tight end Kellen Winslow caught a team-leading 77 balls for 884 yards and five touchdowns. If nothing else, the new wideout corps has promise. It could only be a matter of time before rookies Arrelious Benn (2b-Illinois) and Mike Williams (4-Syracuse) top the depth chart. The front office invested plenty of dough in RB Derrick Ward last offseason, but not many touches. In fact, Carnell Williams had nearly twice as many yards (823) and carries (211) than Ward. The line lacks a household name but brings back four starters…It seems like yesterday when Tampa Bay’s defense was one of the league’s most-feared units but 2009 saw it get pushed around weekly. The Bucs allowed 5,849 yards, worst in the league, and 46 touchdowns. Improvement is vital, and the numbers justify the front office investing three of its first four draft picks on defensive players, including highly touted tackle Gerald McCoy (1-Oklahoma), who brings exceptional quickness and ability to a defense that sorely needs a rising star. LB Barrett Ruud, who paced the team with 142 tackles, should hopefully see a lesser load with McCoy stopping things upfront… The Bucs received high grades for their draft but remain in rebuilding mode. It will be at least another year before they’ll sniff playoff contention. Continued growth of Freeman would be a positive sign. NFL Scores

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 5.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: I don’t think I can sugercoat this one…Tampa Bay has its hands full and is overmatched in the NFC South Division. All of the Bucs’ road games are against teams considered to be playoff contenders. I can three or four wins possibly, but no way does that number reach six. UNDER.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND MEDELLIN vs. A DE RISARALDA3:45 PM PST
    College FootballUtah St vs Tennessee4:00 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaO PETROLERO vs. BLOOMING4:00 PM PST
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    College FootballSMU vs Baylor4:30 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonDEP AGUABLANCA vs. VALLEDUPAR4:30 PM PST
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    Argentina - PrimeraSAN LORENZO vs. RIVER PLATE5:30 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIMILLONARIOS vs. IND SANTA FE5:45 PM PST
    09/01/2014
    Argentina - Primera BDEP MERLO vs. T SUAREZ09:00 AM PST
    Argentina - Primera BEST DE BA vs. ATL FENIX09:00 AM PST
    CFLArgonauts vs Tigercats10:05 AM PST
    Argentina - Primera BB DE ADROGUE vs. ATL COLEGIALES11:30 AM PST
    Argentina - Primera BATL BARRACAS vs. DEP ARMENIO11:30 AM PST
    France - Ligue 2ST BRESTOIS vs. NANCY L11:30 AM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonBOGOTA vs. CORTULUA1:00 PM PST
    CFLEskimos vs Stampeders1:35 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraBELGRANO vs. ATL RAFAELA3:15 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraARSENAL vs. BANFIELD3:15 PM PST
    College FootballMiami Florida vs Louisville5:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraTIGRE vs. QUILMES5:30 PM PST
    09/02/2014
    England - Football League TrophyPETERBOROUGH vs. LEYTON11:45 AM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilABC vs. V DA GAMA3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BPARANA vs. SAMPAIO3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BATLETICO GO vs. BOA EC3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BPORTUGUESA vs. JOINVILLE4:30 PM PST
    Copa SudamericanaGIM Y ESG LA PLATA vs. EST LA PLATA5:15 PM PST
    09/03/2014
    Intl Youth - U21 EURO QualifiersLATVIA vs. CROATIA07:00 AM PST
    Intl Youth - U21 EURO QualifiersAZERBAIJAN vs. ISRAEL07:00 AM PST
    International FriendlyRUSSIA vs. AZERBAIJAN08:00 AM PST
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    Intl Youth - U21 EURO QualifiersSLOVENIA vs. ANDORRA08:00 AM PST
    Intl Youth - U21 EURO QualifiersESTONIA vs. BULGARIA09:00 AM PST
    Intl Youth - U21 EURO QualifiersDENMARK vs. RUSSIA09:00 AM PST
    International FriendlyDENMARK vs. TURKEY11:00 AM PST
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    International FriendlyGERMANY vs. ARGENTINA11:45 AM PST
    International FriendlyENGLAND vs. NORWAY12:00 PM PST
    Chile - Copa ChileNUBLENSE vs. IBERIA12:30 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonLLANEROS vs. U DE POPAYAN1:15 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonDEP AGUABLANCA vs. ATL BUCARAMANGA1:15 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonCORTULUA vs. U MAGDALENA SM1:15 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilSANTA RITA vs. CRUZEIRO3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilATLETICO vs. AMERICA3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Paulista CupSAO BERNARDO vs. SANTO ANDRE3:30 PM PST
    USA - MLSPHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO4:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSNEW ENGLAND vs. SP KANSAS CITY4:30 PM PST
    Argentina - Primera B NacionalSAN MARTIN SJ vs. N CHICAGO5:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilCORINTHIANS vs. BRAGANTINO6:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilCEARA vs. BOTAFOGO6:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilFLAMENGO vs. CORITIBA6:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Copa do BrasilSANTOS vs. GREMIO6:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSCHIVAS USA vs. SEATTLE7:30 PM PST
    09/04/2014
    NFLGreen Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks5:30 PM PST
    09/07/2014
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    09/08/2014
    NFLNew York Giants vs Detroit Lions4:10 PM PST
    NFLSan Diego Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals7:20 PM PST
    09/13/2014
    BOXINGM Maidana vs F Mayweather Jr8:00 PM PST

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