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CARROLL HAS WORK CUT OUT FOR HIM IN SEATTLE
Mon, 02 Aug 2010 06:32 PM EDT

Taking over for Mike Holmgren last season, Jim Mora, Jr. had little more than a cup of coffee in Seattle. After a 5-11 season, he was quickly replaced by USC’s Pete Carroll, who has been entrusted with restoring the pride to a team that won four straight NFC West titles from 2004-07. It figures to take time and patience, although Carroll has been quick in getting things the way he wants them. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 Seattle Seahawks. Odds

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
2009 Record:5-11 (-8.2 ML Units), 6-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC West
COACH:Pete Carroll, 1st year (34-33 SU in NFL – NE & NYJ)
STADIUM:Qwest Field
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:50 to 1, NFC Title:23 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:10 (#30 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-8.4 (#28 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 5-11 ~ 20-30 (40%)
ATS: 6-10 ~ 23-25 (48%)
Preseason ATS: 4-0 ~ 11-1 (92%)
Home ATS: 5-3 ~ 15-8 (65%)
Road ATS: 1-7 ~ 8-17 (32%)
Division ATS: 3-3 ~ 11-7 (61%)
Conference ATS: 4-8 ~ 17-20 (46%)
Favorite ATS: 5-2 ~ 16-7 (70%)
Underdog ATS: 1-8 ~ 7-18 (28%)
Over-Under: 7-9 ~ 23-24 (49%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -6.9 (#26 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -41 (#25 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.77 (#25 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -3.44 (#26 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -8 (#27 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 316.8 (#21 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 357.8 (#24 of 32) Scores

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 18.25 (28th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – SAN FRANCISCO, 4:15 PM
9/19/10 – at Denver, 4:05 PM
9/26/10 – SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM
10/3/10 – at St Louis, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – at Chicago, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – ARIZONA, 4:05 PM
10/31/10 – at Oakland, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 – NY GIANTS, 4:05 PM
11/14/10 – at Arizona, 4:15 PM
11/21/10 – at New Orleans, 4:05 PM
11/28/10 – KANSAS CITY, 4:05 PM
12/5/10 – CAROLINA, 4:15 PM
12/12/10 – at San Francisco, 4:05 PM
12/19/10 – ATLANTA, 4:05 PM
12/26/10 – at Tampa Bay, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – ST LOUIS, 4:15 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • SEATTLE is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) on the road vs. teams scoring 24 or more PPG since ‘07. The Average Score was SEATTLE 14.5, OPPONENT 35.8

    2010 OUTLOOK
    The 2005 season, when Seattle played in its only Super Bowl, seems like ages ago. Architect Mike Holmgren is now in Cleveland, leaving behind a Seahawks’ team with just nine wins in their last 32 games. Jim Mora’s tenure lasted all of 16 games and now Seattle has turned to Pete Carroll, of USC fame. Seattle ruled the NFC West from 2004-07, and Carroll’s task will be to reverse the recent losing trend…The Seahawks were 25th in the NFL in scoring, averaging just 17.5 PPG. Matt Hasselbeck enters his 12th season and his 17 touchdowns last year were his lowest full-season total since 2002. Seattle was not productive on the ground as Julius Jones and Justin Forsett split time at RB with moderate success. Leon Washington, a multi-talented performer coming off a broken leg, was added through a trade. T.J. Houshmandzadeh leads the Seattle wideouts but Nate Burleson departed as a free agent after 63 catches. TE John Carlson led the team with seven TD’s. The newest addition to the line is rookie tackle Russell Okung (1a-OSU), who will have big shoes to fill for the retired Walter Jones. The rest of the line remains intact…The Seahawks were 12th in the NFC in total defense, allowing 356.4 YPG, but where Seattle really struggled was against the pass (245.4 YPG), ranking 30th. The pass rush suffered a blow with the retirement of Patrick Kearney, but Lofa Tatupu, who missed the last 10 games with a torn pectoral muscle, returns at middle linebacker. Expect an improved Aaron Curry while CB Marcus Trufant remains the leader in the secondary. He also missed six games with a back injury…The Seahawks grabbed one of college football’s high-profile coaches to rebuild the team but Carroll has catching up to do. Concerns on the offensive and defensive lines will likely lead to a third straight losing season. Las Vegas Odds

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 7.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: Carroll has claimed that not succeeding in the NFL is one of his career regrets. Perhaps that and leaving the USC program in flames. In any case, it’s going to take awhile for both he and the Seahawks to achieve success, regardless of the divisional competition. With a roster in transition, I look for another 5-11 type of season. UNDER.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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