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CHICAGO NEEDS A BETTER CUTLER IN 2010
Sun, 11 Jul 2010 02:54 PM EDT

For the second straight season, Chicago has made a noteworthy transaction in the offseason, only this time to the other side of the ball. After a turnover-laden first season with Jay Cutler leading the offense under center, the Bears have added DE Julius Peppers to join the likes of linebackers Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs on defense. Both units will have to improve for Chicago to challenge Green Bay and Minnesota. Read on as we continue our NFL team-by-team previews with a look at the 2010 Chicago Bears.

CHICAGO BEARS
2009 Record:7-9 (-0.8 ML Units), 6-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC North
COACH:Lovie Smith, 7th year (54-46 SU, 46-50 ATS)
STADIUM:Soldier Field
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:25 to 1, NFC Title:11 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:16 (#23 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-3 (#22 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 7-9 ~ 23-25 (48%)
ATS: 6-10 ~ 20-27 (43%)
Preseason ATS: 3-1 ~ 5-6 (45%)
Home ATS: 4-4 ~ 11-13 (46%)
Road ATS: 2-6 ~ 9-14 (39%)
Division ATS: 3-3 ~ 8-10 (44%)
Conference ATS: 4-8 ~ 14-21 (40%)
Favorite ATS: 4-3 ~ 12-12 (50%)
Underdog ATS: 2-7 ~ 8-14 (36%)
Over-Under: 6-10 ~ 22-26 (46%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -3 (#21 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -27.5 (#23 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.12 (#20 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -0.77 (#20 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -6 (#23 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 310.3 (#23 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 337.8 (#17 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 21.56 (5th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Dallas, 1:00 PM
9/27/10 – GREEN BAY, 8:30 PM
10/3/10 – at NY Giants, 8:20 PM
10/10/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – SEATTLE, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 – at Buffalo (in Toronto), 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM
11/18/10 – at Miami, 8:20 PM
11/28/10 – PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – at Detroit, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM
12/20/10 – at Minnesota, 8:30 PM
12/26/10 – NY JETS, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at Green Bay, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • CHICAGO is on a 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) skid after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games The Average Score was CHICAGO 19.2, OPPONENT 24.2 Las Vegas Odds
    2010 OUTLOOK
    Chicago fans are gushing over another prized acquisition, as DE Julius Peppers joins a unit that includes LB’s Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs. It’s the second time in as many offseasons the front office put all of its eggs in one basket. Last year those eggs proved mainly rotten, with QB Jay Cutler leading the NFL in interceptions with 26 after a blockbuster trade with Denver. The Bears weren’t much of a factor in the NFC North and had the Lions, Rams and Browns to thank for four of their seven wins…A year after ranking third in the NFL in passing yards with 4,526, Cutler had never really got untracked and many of his picks came in the red zone or deep in Chicago territory. Overall, the offense ranked 23rd, up slightly from 26th, but the unit wasn’t close to meeting expectations. Little changed in personnel, but the presence of new coordinator Mike Martz and the natural progression of some younger players might turn it around. Though not big names at wide receiver, Martz thinks he has enough to get it done, and RB Matt Forte took a step back in 2009, but still totaled 1,400 yards from scrimmage. The line is in good shape…Perhaps not the team’s biggest problem, the Bears addressed some defensive concerns by investing in Peppers. HC Lovie Smith will be counting on Peppers to apply pressure in a QB-strong division, since there’s a chance the team’s starting ends, Alex Brown and Adewale Ogunleye, won’t be back. Of course, Urlacher’s season lasted just three quarters when he dislocated his right wrist in the opener…Expectations were high last season and the Bears didn’t come close to meeting them. Smith is on the hot seat, and a slow start could spell doom. While the addition of Peppers has created a buzz, he and Cutler need to be big for Chicago to make the playoffs. Vegas Odds

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 8
    StatFox Steve’s Take: Eight wins for the Chicago Bears seems very optimistic to me considering how poorly Cutler played a year ago. If you look at the road schedule, you could easily see a second straight 2-6 record with wins coming at Buffalo and Detroit. If so, this team is not making the playoffs and 7-9 or even worse is the forecast. UNDER. NFL Scores

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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    Finland - VeikkausliigaHONKA vs. MARIEHAMN08:30 AM PST
    Slovakia - SuperligaTRENCIN vs. SP TRNAVA08:30 AM PST
    Sweden - AllsvenskanELFSBORG vs. AATVIDABERGS08:30 AM PST
    Norway - EliteserienAALESUNDS vs. BODØ/GLIMT09:00 AM PST
    Norway - EliteserienSARPSBORG vs. HAUGESUND09:00 AM PST
    Norway - EliteserienIK START vs. MOLDE09:00 AM PST
    Poland - EkstraklasaL POZNAN vs. W KRAKOW09:00 AM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraDEP TOLUCA vs. UNAM PUMAS10:00 AM PST
    Norway - EliteserienSTABAEK vs. ROSENBORG10:00 AM PST
    Slovenia - PrvaLigaGORICA vs. LUKA KOPER11:00 AM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraINDEPENDIENTE vs. ATL RAFAELA11:15 AM PST
    Czech - 1. LigaV PLZEN vs. B JABLONEC11:15 AM PST
    Brazil - Serie APALMEIRAS vs. BAHIA SALVADOR12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ACORITIBA vs. CORINTHIANS12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AFIGUEIRENSE vs. SP RECIFE12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ACHAPECOENSE vs. FLAMENGO12:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraATL LANUS vs. BELGRANO1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie AEL NACIONAL vs. LIGA DE LOJA1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie ALIGA DEP U QUITO vs. MANTA1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie ADEP QUITO vs. IND DEL VALLE1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraSAN LORENZO vs. OLIMPO B BLANCA1:15 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraBOCA JRS vs. NEWELL'S2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AFLUMINENSE vs. GOIAS GO2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AATL B HORIZONTE vs. ATLETICO2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AINTERNACIONAL vs. SANTOS2:30 PM PST
    Chile - PrimeraAUDAX vs. ATH BARNECHEA3:00 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraGUADALAJARA vs. LEONES NEGROS3:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSHOUSTON D vs. DC UNITED5:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraGIM Y ESG LA PLATA vs. RIVER P5:30 PM PST
    USA - MLSCHIVAS USA vs. DALLAS7:00 PM PST
    08/13/2014
    Scotland - PremierP THISTLE vs. ROSS COUNTY11:45 AM PST
    Scotland - PremierST MIRREN vs. HAMILTON ACAD11:45 AM PST
    08/16/2014
    Scotland - PremierCELTIC vs. DUNDEE UTD07:00 AM PST
    UFCO St. Preux vs R Bader7:00 PM PST
    UFCT Boetsch vs B TAVARES7:00 PM PST
    UFCL Murphy vs S McMann7:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Formiga vs Z Makovsky7:00 PM PST
    UFCF Camoes vs G Maynard7:00 PM PST
    UFCA Trujillo vs R Pearson7:00 PM PST
    09/04/2014
    NFLGreen Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks5:30 PM PST
    09/07/2014
    NFLNew Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons10:00 AM PST
    NFLMinnesota Vikings vs St. Louis Rams10:00 AM PST
    NFLCleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers10:00 AM PST
    NFLJacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles10:00 AM PST
    NFLOakland Raiders vs New York Jets10:00 AM PST
    NFLCincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens10:00 AM PST
    NFLBuffalo Bills vs Chicago Bears10:00 AM PST
    NFLWashington Redskins vs Houston Texans10:00 AM PST
    NFLTennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs10:00 AM PST
    NFLNew England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins10:00 AM PST
    NFLCarolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers1:25 PM PST
    NFLSan Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys1:25 PM PST
    NFLIndianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos5:30 PM PST
    09/08/2014
    NFLNew York Giants vs Detroit Lions4:10 PM PST
    NFLSan Diego Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals7:20 PM PST
    09/13/2014
    BOXINGM Maidana vs F Mayweather Jr8:00 PM PST

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