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CHICAGO NEEDS A BETTER CUTLER IN 2010
Sun, 11 Jul 2010 02:54 PM EDT

For the second straight season, Chicago has made a noteworthy transaction in the offseason, only this time to the other side of the ball. After a turnover-laden first season with Jay Cutler leading the offense under center, the Bears have added DE Julius Peppers to join the likes of linebackers Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs on defense. Both units will have to improve for Chicago to challenge Green Bay and Minnesota. Read on as we continue our NFL team-by-team previews with a look at the 2010 Chicago Bears.

CHICAGO BEARS
2009 Record:7-9 (-0.8 ML Units), 6-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC North
COACH:Lovie Smith, 7th year (54-46 SU, 46-50 ATS)
STADIUM:Soldier Field
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:25 to 1, NFC Title:11 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:16 (#23 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-3 (#22 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 7-9 ~ 23-25 (48%)
ATS: 6-10 ~ 20-27 (43%)
Preseason ATS: 3-1 ~ 5-6 (45%)
Home ATS: 4-4 ~ 11-13 (46%)
Road ATS: 2-6 ~ 9-14 (39%)
Division ATS: 3-3 ~ 8-10 (44%)
Conference ATS: 4-8 ~ 14-21 (40%)
Favorite ATS: 4-3 ~ 12-12 (50%)
Underdog ATS: 2-7 ~ 8-14 (36%)
Over-Under: 6-10 ~ 22-26 (46%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -3 (#21 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -27.5 (#23 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.12 (#20 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -0.77 (#20 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -6 (#23 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 310.3 (#23 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 337.8 (#17 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 21.56 (5th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Dallas, 1:00 PM
9/27/10 – GREEN BAY, 8:30 PM
10/3/10 – at NY Giants, 8:20 PM
10/10/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – SEATTLE, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 – at Buffalo (in Toronto), 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM
11/18/10 – at Miami, 8:20 PM
11/28/10 – PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – at Detroit, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM
12/20/10 – at Minnesota, 8:30 PM
12/26/10 – NY JETS, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at Green Bay, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • CHICAGO is on a 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) skid after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games The Average Score was CHICAGO 19.2, OPPONENT 24.2 Las Vegas Odds
    2010 OUTLOOK
    Chicago fans are gushing over another prized acquisition, as DE Julius Peppers joins a unit that includes LB’s Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs. It’s the second time in as many offseasons the front office put all of its eggs in one basket. Last year those eggs proved mainly rotten, with QB Jay Cutler leading the NFL in interceptions with 26 after a blockbuster trade with Denver. The Bears weren’t much of a factor in the NFC North and had the Lions, Rams and Browns to thank for four of their seven wins…A year after ranking third in the NFL in passing yards with 4,526, Cutler had never really got untracked and many of his picks came in the red zone or deep in Chicago territory. Overall, the offense ranked 23rd, up slightly from 26th, but the unit wasn’t close to meeting expectations. Little changed in personnel, but the presence of new coordinator Mike Martz and the natural progression of some younger players might turn it around. Though not big names at wide receiver, Martz thinks he has enough to get it done, and RB Matt Forte took a step back in 2009, but still totaled 1,400 yards from scrimmage. The line is in good shape…Perhaps not the team’s biggest problem, the Bears addressed some defensive concerns by investing in Peppers. HC Lovie Smith will be counting on Peppers to apply pressure in a QB-strong division, since there’s a chance the team’s starting ends, Alex Brown and Adewale Ogunleye, won’t be back. Of course, Urlacher’s season lasted just three quarters when he dislocated his right wrist in the opener…Expectations were high last season and the Bears didn’t come close to meeting them. Smith is on the hot seat, and a slow start could spell doom. While the addition of Peppers has created a buzz, he and Cutler need to be big for Chicago to make the playoffs. Vegas Odds

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 8
    StatFox Steve’s Take: Eight wins for the Chicago Bears seems very optimistic to me considering how poorly Cutler played a year ago. If you look at the road schedule, you could easily see a second straight 2-6 record with wins coming at Buffalo and Detroit. If so, this team is not making the playoffs and 7-9 or even worse is the forecast. UNDER. NFL Scores

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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    Brazil - Serie BAVAI vs. BOA EC1:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BATLETICO GO vs. PORTUGUESA1:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BAMER MINEIRO MG vs. SANTA CRUZ1:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaATH BILBAO vs. EIBAR1:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaLEVANTE vs. R VALLECANO1:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonDEP AGUABLANCA vs. EXP ROJO1:15 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ASP RECIFE vs. CRUZEIRO2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ACHAPECOENSE vs. CRICIUMA2:30 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraCRUZ AZUL vs. LEON3:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIENVIGADO vs. JR BARRANQUILLA3:30 PM PST
    CFLTigercats vs Blue Bombers3:35 PM PST
    UFCC Gibson vs M Gamburyan4:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIDEP TOLIMA vs. A RISARALDA4:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSVANCOUVER vs. R SALT LAKE4:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Tuck vs K Lee4:25 PM PST
    Chile - PrimeraU ESPANOLA vs. DEP ANTOFAGASTA4:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ASAO PAULO vs. FLUMINENSE5:00 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraMONTERREY vs. ATLAS DE GUAD5:00 PM PST
    UFCB Ebersole vs J Howard5:05 PM PST
    UFCP Cote vs S Thompson5:25 PM PST
    UFCJ Krause vs J Masvidal5:50 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIMILLONARIOS vs. FORTALEZA6:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Liga de AscensoCELAYA vs. CORAS TEPIC6:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSCOLORADO vs. SJ EARTHQUAKES6:00 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraATL PACHUCA vs. UANL TIGRES6:06 PM PST
    UFCT Mizugaki vs D Cruz6:25 PM PST
    CFLB.C. Lions vs Stampeders6:35 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionHEREDIANO vs. SANTOS7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraU DE GUAD vs. ATL M MORELIA7:00 PM PST
    UFCA NUNES vs C ZINGANO7:05 PM PST
    UFCT Kennedy vs Y Romero7:25 PM PST
    UFCD Poirier vs C McGregor7:50 PM PST
    UFCD Cerrone vs E Alvarez8:20 PM PST
    UFCC Cariaso vs D Johnson8:50 PM PST
    09/28/2014
    Spain - La LigaGETAFE vs. MALAGA03:00 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionTENERIFE vs. U DEP LAS PALMAS03:00 AM PST
    Holland - EredivisieEXCELSIOR vs. C LEEUWARDEN03:30 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ASASSUOLO vs. NAPOLI03:30 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1G BORDEAUX vs. S RENNES05:00 AM PST
    Wales -Premier LeagueNEW SAINTS vs. NEWTOWN05:00 AM PST
    England - ChampionshipREADING vs. WOLVERHAMPTON05:15 AM PST
    Holland - EredivisieGRONINGEN vs. WILLEM II05:30 AM PST
    Holland - EredivisieTWENTE vs. UTRECHT05:30 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeaguePANATHINAIKOS vs. NIKI VOLOU06:00 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ACESENA vs. MILAN06:00 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ACHIEVO V vs. EMPOLI06:00 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AINTER vs. CAGLIARI06:00 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ATORINO vs. FIORENTINA06:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaAUGSBURG vs. HERTHA BERLIN06:30 AM PST
    Poland - EkstraklasaG ZABRZE vs. L GDANSK06:30 AM PST
    Uruguay - Primera DivisionATL FENIX vs. DANUBIO06:30 AM PST
    Holland - EredivisieHEERENVEEN vs. PSV07:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueWEST BROM vs. BURNLEY08:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1LENS vs. CAEN08:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1NANTES vs. O LYONNAIS08:00 AM PST
    Portugal - Primeira LigaMARITIMO F vs. V GUIMARAES08:00 AM PST
    Portugal - Primeira LigaMOREIRENSE vs. PENAFIEL08:00 AM PST
    Portugal - Primeira LigaBOAVISTA vs. G VICENTE08:00 AM PST
    Portugal - Primeira LigaAROUCA vs. ACAD DE COIMBRA08:00 AM PST
    Spain - La LigaDEP LA CORUNA vs. ALMERIA08:00 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionMALLORCA vs. BARCELONA B08:00 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionSP GIJON vs. R VALLADOLID08:00 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueVEROIA vs. PAS GIANNINA08:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueE CHANIA vs. PANAITOLIKOS08:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueLEVADIAKOS vs. AOK KERKYRA08:15 AM PST
    Czech - 1. LigaSL LIBEREC vs. M BOLESLAV08:30 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaHAMBURGER vs. E FRANKFURT08:30 AM PST
    Poland - EkstraklasaC KRAKOW vs. W KRAKOW09:00 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionALCORCON vs. LEGANES09:00 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionBETIS vs. MIRANDES09:15 AM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionP ZELEDON vs. URUGUAY10:00 AM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionCARMELITA vs. SAPRISSA10:00 AM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraPUMAS vs. JAGUARES10:00 AM PST
    Portugal - Primeira LigaV SETUBAL vs. NAC MADEIRA10:00 AM PST
    Spain - La LigaR SOCIEDAD vs. VALENCIA10:00 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueM HAIFA vs. H PETACH TIKVA10:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueP THESSALONIKI vs. OFI KRETA10:30 AM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionUCR vs. BELEN11:00 AM PST
    Chile - PrimeraCOBRESAL vs. DEP U CATOLICA11:30 AM PST
    Spain - Segunda DivisionDEP PONFERRADINA vs. ALBACETE11:30 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AGENOA vs. SAMPDORIA11:45 AM PST
    Brazil - Serie ABOTAFOGO vs. GREMIO12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AATLETICO vs. CORINTHIANS12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AATL B HORIZONTE vs. VITORIA12:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AB SALVADOR vs. FLAMENGO12:00 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaSP BOYS WARNES vs. P DE YACUIBA12:00 PM PST
    France - Ligue 1O MARSEILLE vs. ST ETIENNE12:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaCORDOBA vs. ESPANYOL12:00 PM PST
    Uruguay - Primera DivisionNAC DE FOOTBALL vs. MONTEVIDEO WAND12:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSHOUSTON vs. CHICAGO FIRE12:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraBOCA JRS vs. QUILMES1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraNEWELL'S vs. BANFIELD1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraBELGRANO vs. RACING1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraATL RAFAELA vs. OLIMPO B BLANCA1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraEST LA PLATA vs. VELEZ1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraSAN LORENZO vs. GIM Y ESG PLATA1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraTIGRE vs. DEF Y JUST1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraARSENAL vs. GODOY CRUZ1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraINDEPENDIENTE vs. ROSARIO C1:00 PM PST
    Argentina - PrimeraATL LANUS vs. RIVER PLATE1:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Torneo PostobonLLANEROS vs. BOGOTA1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie ALIGA DEP U QUITO vs. MANTA1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie ADEP QUITO vs. EL NACIONAL1:00 PM PST
    Ecuador - Serie AU CATOLICA ECU vs. SP EMELEC1:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIA PETROLERA vs. B PATRIOTAS1:15 PM PST
    Jamaica - Premier LeagueBOYS' TOWN vs. H LIONS1:30 PM PST
    Jamaica - Premier LeagueTIVOLI GARDENS vs. RIVOLI UTD1:30 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaJ WILSTERMANN vs. SJ ORURO2:00 PM PST
    Chile - PrimeraCOLO COLO vs. NUBLENSE2:00 PM PST
    Peru - PrimeraU DE DEPORTES vs. LOS CAIMANES2:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ASANTOS vs. GOIAS GO2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AINTERNACIONAL vs. CORITIBA2:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AFIGUEIRENSE vs. PALMEIRAS2:30 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionCARACAS vs. DEP LA GUAIRA2:30 PM PST
    Jamaica - Premier LeagueCAVALIERS vs. MONTEGO BAY3:00 PM PST
    Mexico - PrimeraGUAD CHIVAS vs. PUEBLA3:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIB CHICO vs. IND SANTA FE3:30 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionARAGUA vs. DEP LARA3:30 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaO PETROLERO vs. U DE SUCRE4:00 PM PST
    Jamaica - Premier LeagueWATERHOUSE vs. HARBOUR VIEW4:00 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionMETROPOLITANOS vs. TRUJILLANOS4:30 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionALAJUELENSE vs. AS PUMA5:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIDEP CALI vs. IND MEDELLIN5:30 PM PST
    USA - MLSLA GALAXY vs. NY RED BULLS5:30 PM PST
    09/29/2014
    NFLPatriots vs Chiefs5:30 PM PST

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