PRINT SCHEDULES FOOTBALL | BASKETBALL | HOCKEY
Refresh  
  Page last updated on Sun Nov 23 13:49:49 EST 2014
TOP NEWS
CHRIS PAUL’S HORNETS ARE A DISMAL 4-14 ATS WHEN RECEIVING AT LEAST 65% OF A GAME’S BETS.
Thu, 17 Mar 2011 04:12 AM EDT

This column will examine majority betting in the NBA. We wanted to find out whether or not bettors should be siding with the general public or fading the majority and following the money. Below is our breakdown by majority percentage, and then further into home/road, point spread ranges and team-by-team records. All numbers are through Sunday, Feb. 13 and are all ATS. Games that finished as Pushes and/or games where betting was split 50/50 were not included in this study. Basketball scores.

MAJORITY BETS

First we take a look at simple majority of 51% or more of the general public in terms of Home and Road. Success of majority road teams is 4% greater than home teams. When broken out by the point spread size, most of the ranges are 45% to 52%, with heavy road favorites and heavy road underdogs both winning more than 60% of the time, albeit in smaller sample sizes.

Majority (51% or more) bets Home Team
Total: 156 wins, 178 losses (47%)

Records by Spread
Underdogs: 0-2
0 to -3: 23-28 (45%)
-3.5 to -6.5: 58-60 (49%)
-7 to -9.5: 48-55 (47%)
-10 or more: 27-33 (45%)

Majority (51% or more) bets Road Team
Total: 226 wins, 214 losses (51%)

Underdogs by Spread
+10 or more: 15-9 (63%)
+7 to +9.5: 23-26 (47%)
+3.5 to +6.5: 33-35 (49%)
+0.5 to +3: 36-27 (57%)
Total: 107-97 (52%)

Favorites/Pick by Spread
0 to -3: 51-46 (53%)
-3.5 to -6.5: 49-59 (45%)
-7 or more: 19-12 (61%)
Total: 119-117 (50%)

VAST MAJORITY BETS

Next we examine bets when at least 65% of the bets go to one team. First we take a look at Vast Majority bets of home teams. In this category, favorites of at least seven points are having a harder time covering these bets at 30-46 (39%). We also show the teams with the most notable records in this scenario, both good and bad. Six Western Conference teams make the list, while Miami is the lone East representative. Basketball odds.

Vast Majority (65% or more) bets Home Team
Total: 59 wins, 72 losses (45%)

Records by Spread
0 to -3: 4-5 (44%)
-3.5 to -6.5: 25-21 (54%)
-7 to -9.5: 17-30 (36%)
-10 or more: 13-16 (45%)

Notable team records in this scenario
L.A. Clippers 5-0 (11-14 ATS in other home games)
Golden State 7-1 (8-13 ATS in other home games)
Utah 4-1 (8-16 ATS in other home games)
L.A. Lakers 4-11 (6-6 ATS in other home games)
Miami 1-4 (8-11 ATS in other home games)
New Orleans 1-5 (12-10 ATS in other home games)
Phoenix 0-6 (12-9 ATS in other home games)
The top three teams on this list are all well below .500 ATS in home games where they do not command 65% of the betting action, combining for a 27-43 ATS mark (39%) in these other contests. The Hornets and Suns are a dismal 1-11 ATS with 65% majority on their side, but are a healthy 24-19 ATS (56%) when not picked by at least 65% of bettors.

Next we examine Vast Majority bets of road teams, and see that favorites of at least seven points are having a much easier time than home teams, covering these bets at 17-10 (63%). And when we check out the notable records, we only see two teams from the prior home list — New Orleans (bad on both) and Miami (bad home, good road) — while the East is much more prevalent here.

Vast Majority (65% or more) bets Road Team
Total: 148 wins, 136 losses (52%)

Records by Spread
Underdogs: 43-34 (56%)
0 to -3: 44-35 (56%)
-3.5 to -6.5: 44-57 (44%)
-7 or more: 17-10 (63%)

Notable team records in this scenario
Philadelphia 4-0 (14-9 ATS in other road games)
San Antonio 11-5 (7-3 ATS in other road games)
Miami 13-6 (4-5 ATS in other road games)
Atlanta 10-5 (5-7 ATS in other road games)
Dallas 10-5 (7-4 ATS in other road games)
New York 10-5 (9-2 ATS in other road games)
Oklahoma City 6-11 (7-3 ATS in other road games)
New Orleans 3-9 (11-3 ATS in other road games)
New Jersey 0-3 (11-14 ATS in other road games)
The Hornets success difference between vast majority betting and others (25% to 79%) is just astounding. Miami (68% to 44%) and Atlanta (67% to 42%) are also big differences here.

Vast Majority (65% or more) bets, Combined
Total: 207 wins, 208 losses (50%)

Best team records in this scenario (minimum 7 games)
Golden State 11-3 (79%)
L.A. Clippers 6-3 (67%)
New York 14-7 (67%)
San Antonio 12-7 (63%)
The Spurs have the 2nd-best ATS in the NBA and the Knicks are 4th, so their inclusion is expected here. But the Warriors are barely over .500 ATS at 28-25 and the Clippers having a losing ATS record of 26-27, making their appearances on this list much more significant.

Worst team records in this scenario (minimum 7 games)
New Orleans 4-14 (22%)
Phoenix 5-12 (29%)
Memphis 3-7 (30%)
Denver 8-12 (40%)
The Hornets are a .500 ATS team (27-27), but yet have the worst ATS mark in this scenario. The Grizzlies have the league’s 3rd-best ATS record (34-21, 62%), but are just 3-7 ATS with 65% majority backing. The Nuggets and Suns have the 6th and 7th worst ATS marks in the league, so they truly belong on this list.

SUPER MAJORITY BETS

Lastly, we delve into the scenario when at least 80% of the bets go to one team. The sample size is pretty small for home teams, but road teams are only winning 43% of the time here, which drops to 41% when spreads are less than seven points. The Heat (good) and Hornets (bad) predictably show up again on our team breakdown. Basketball spreads.

Super Majority (80% or more) bets Home Team
Total: 8 wins, 7 losses (53%)

Records by Spread
0 to -3: 0-0
-3.5 to -6.5: 3-2
-7 to -9.5: 3-3
-10 or more: 2-2

Super Majority (80% or more) bets Road Team
Total: 43 wins, 56 losses (43%)

Records by Spread
Underdogs: 2-3 (40%)
0 to -3: 13-16 (45%)
-3.5 to -6.5: 19-30 (39%)
-7 or more: 9-7 (56%)

Notable team records in this scenario
San Antonio 3-1
Miami 8-3
Orlando 7-4
L.A. Lakers 3-6
Oklahoma City 2-5
Utah 1-3
New Orleans 0-4


Sponsored Links

Download Printable Schedules
Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.
UPDATED:
FOOTBALL: 8/3/2014 - 11/3/2014
11/4/2014 - 2/1/2015
BASKETBALL 10/28/2014 - 11/12/2014
11/13/2014 - 12/15/2014
HOCKEY 10/8/2014 - 11/12/2014
11/13/2014 - 12/15/2014
TOP TEN WAGERS
RK Team
1
Green Bay Packers
2
New England Patriots
3
Denver Broncos
4
Atlanta Falcons
5
Detroit Lions
11/23/2014
Spain - Segunda DivisionGIRONA vs. RECREATIVO08:00 AM PST
Ecuador - Serie ALIGA DEP U QUITO vs. BARCELONA08:30 AM PST
Germany - BundesligaSTUTTGART vs. AUGSBURG08:30 AM PST
Belgium - Pro LeagueKRC GENK vs. YELLOW RED KV MECHELEN09:00 AM PST
Czech - 1. LigaS PRAHA vs. H KRALOVE09:00 AM PST
Italy - Serie BCALCIO CATANIA vs. US LATINA CALCIO09:00 AM PST
Poland - EkstraklasaP GLIWICE vs. L POZNAN09:00 AM PST
Portugal - Taca de PortugalCLUBE ORIENTAL DE LISBOA vs. VITORIA SETUBAL09:00 AM PST
Turkey - Süper LigBESIKTAS JK vs. KASIMPASA09:00 AM PST
Spain - Segunda DivisionBETIS vs. ALAVES09:15 AM PST
Ecuador - Serie AU CATOLICA DEL ECU vs. MANTA09:30 AM PST
Israel - Premier LeagueH BNEI SAKHNIN vs. B JERUSALEM09:45 AM PST
NFLBrowns vs Falcons10:00 AM PST
NFLTitans vs Eagles10:00 AM PST
NFLLions vs Patriots10:00 AM PST
NFLPackers vs Vikings10:00 AM PST
NFLJaguars vs Colts10:00 AM PST
NFLBengals vs Texans10:00 AM PST
NFLBuccaneers vs Bears10:00 AM PST
NFLJets vs Bills10:00 AM PST
Mexico - PrimeraUNAM PUMAS vs. MONTERREY10:00 AM PST
Spain - La LigaELCHE vs. CORDOBA10:00 AM PST
Spain - Segunda DivisionALBACETE vs. OSASUNA10:00 AM PST
CFLAlouettes vs Tigercats10:05 AM PST
USA - MLSNY RED BULLS vs. NEW ENGLAND REV10:30 AM PST
Argentina - PrimeraBOCA JRS vs. INDEPENDIENTE11:00 AM PST
Argentina - PrimeraBELGRANO vs. TIGRE11:00 AM PST
Argentina - PrimeraEST DE LA PLATA vs. DEF Y JUST11:00 AM PST
Argentina - PrimeraRACING vs. RIVER PLATE11:00 AM PST
Belgium - Pro LeagueKV KORTRIJK vs. SV ZULTE WAREGEM11:00 AM PST
Brazil - Serie AFLAMENGO vs. CRICIUMA11:00 AM PST
Brazil - Serie ASP RECIFE vs. FLUMINENSE11:00 AM PST
Brazil - Serie ASANTOS vs. SAO PAULO11:00 AM PST
Brazil - Serie ACRUZEIRO vs. GOIAS GO11:00 AM PST
Brazil - Serie AFIGUEIRENSE vs. VITORIA11:00 AM PST
Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaNAC POTOSI vs. PET DE YACUIBA11:00 AM PST
Chile - PrimeraPALESTINO vs. DEP U LA CALERA11:00 AM PST
Chile - PrimeraDEP U CATOLICA vs. COLO COLO11:00 AM PST
Ecuador - Serie AMUSHUC RUNA vs. EL NACIONAL11:00 AM PST
Portugal - Taca de PortugalVITORIA GUIMARAES vs. SPORTING BRAGA11:15 AM PST
Uruguay - Primera DivisionRAMPLA JRS vs. TACUAREMBO11:30 AM PST
Italy - Serie AMILAN vs. INTER11:45 AM PST
Argentina - Primera B NacionalHURACAN vs. U DE SANTA FE12:00 PM PST
France - Ligue 1O MARSEILLE vs. G BORDEAUX12:00 PM PST
Spain - La LigaVILLARREAL vs. GETAFE12:00 PM PST
Spain - Segunda DivisionALCORCON vs. LUGO12:00 PM PST
Uruguay - Primera DivisionATL FENIX vs. PENAROL MONT12:00 PM PST
Venezuela - Primera DivisionARAGUA vs. DEP PETARE12:00 PM PST
Venezuela - Primera DivisionMETROPOLITANOS vs. ANZOATEGUI12:30 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionLIMON vs. ALAJUELENSE1:00 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionAS PUMA vs. ALAJUELENSE1:00 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionSAPRISSA vs. CARMELITA1:00 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionLIMON vs. ALAJUELENSE1:00 PM PST
Peru - PrimeraALIANZA LIMA vs. CAJAMARCA1:00 PM PST
NFLCardinals vs Seahawks1:05 PM PST
NFLRams vs Chargers1:05 PM PST
NFLDolphins vs Broncos1:25 PM PST
NFLRedskins vs 49ers1:25 PM PST
Brazil - Serie ACORINTHIANS vs. GREMIO1:30 PM PST
Brazil - Serie ACORITIBA vs. PALMEIRAS1:30 PM PST
Brazil - Serie ACHAPECOENSE vs. BOTAFOGO1:30 PM PST
Chile - PrimeraAUDAX vs. U DE CONCEPCION1:30 PM PST
Venezuela - Primera DivisionCARACAS vs. ATL VENEZUELA1:30 PM PST
CFLEskimos vs Stampeders1:35 PM PST
Colombia - Liga Postobon IIDEP CALI vs. DEP TOLIMA2:00 PM PST
Paraguay - Primera Division12 DE OCT vs. LIB ASUNCION2:00 PM PST
USA - MLSLA GALAXY vs. SEATTLE2:00 PM PST
Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaBLOOMING vs. O PETROLERO3:00 PM PST
NBAClippers vs Grizzlies3:05 PM PST
NBABlazers vs Celtics3:05 PM PST
NBAHornets vs Heat3:05 PM PST
Peru - PrimeraJUAN AURICH vs. DEPORTIVO SAN MARTIN3:15 PM PST
Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND MEDELLIN vs. A PEREIRA4:00 PM PST
NBAWarriors vs Thunder4:05 PM PST
NFLCowboys vs Giants5:30 PM PST
NBANuggets vs Lakers6:35 PM PST
11/24/2014
Poland - EkstraklasaC KRAKOW vs. G ZABRZE09:00 AM PST
Greece - Super LeaguePANAITOLIKOS vs. GIANNINA09:30 AM PST
Israel - Premier LeagueH IRONI K SHMONA vs. M TEL AVIV10:55 AM PST
Argentina - PrimeraNEWELL'S vs. ARSENAL11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2ES TROYES vs. NANCY11:30 AM PST
Italy - Serie AGENOA vs. PALERMO11:45 AM PST
Spain - La LigaGRANADA vs. ALMERIA11:45 AM PST
Argentina - Primera B NacionalN CHICAGO vs. INST AC CORDOBA12:00 PM PST
Argentina - Copa ArgentinaA BROWN vs. CA COLEG MUNRO12:00 PM PST
Argentina - Copa ArgentinaMERC SACACHISPAS vs. C CORDOBA12:00 PM PST
England - Premier LeagueA VILLA vs. SOUTHAMPTON12:00 PM PST
Paraguay - Primera DivisionSP LUQUENO vs. C PORTENO1:00 PM PST
Argentina - Primera B NacionalATL TEMPERLEY vs. ALL BOYS2:15 PM PST
Paraguay - Primera DivisionG ASUNCION vs. GRAL DIAZ3:15 PM PST
Argentina - Primera B NacionalGUARANI vs. DOUGLAS HAIG4:00 PM PST
Argentina - Primera B NacionalARGENTINOS JRS vs. SAN MARTIN SJ4:30 PM PST
Colombia - Torneo PostobonDEP PEREIRA vs. A DE CALI5:00 PM PST
NFLRavens vs Saints5:30 PM PST
11/25/2014
UEFA Champions LeagueCSKA MOSCOW vs. ROMA09:00 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueBATE BORISOV vs. PORTO09:00 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueMAN CITY vs. B MÃœNCHEN11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueA NICOSIA vs. BARCELONA11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeaguePSG vs. AJAX11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueSCHALKE 04 vs. CHELSEA11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueSPORTING vs. MARIBOR11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueSHAKHTAR vs. ATH BILBAO11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierBRAINTREE vs. WELLING UTD11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierBRISTOL vs. BARNET11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierDARTFORD vs. CHESTER11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierDOVER ATH vs. NUNEATON11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierKIDDERMINSTER vs. WREXHAM11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierMACCLESFIELD vs. TORQUAY UTD11:45 AM PST
England - Conference PremierSOUTHPORT vs. ALDERSHOT11:45 AM PST
11/26/2014
UEFA Champions LeagueZENIT vs. BENFICA09:00 AM PST
Peru - PrimeraU COMERCIO vs. A LIMA10:15 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueATL MADRID vs. O PIRAEUS11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueMALMÖ vs. JUVENTUS11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueLUDOGORETS vs. LIVERPOOL11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueBASEL vs. R MADRID11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueB LEVERKUSEN vs. MONACO11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueANDERLECHT vs. GALATASARAY11:45 AM PST
UEFA Champions LeagueARSENAL vs. B DORTMUND11:45 AM PST
Colombia - Torneo PostobonA DE CALI vs. DEP RIONEGRO12:00 PM PST
Chile - Copa ChileU SAN FELIPE vs. U ESPANOLA3:00 PM PST
Brazil - Copa do BrasilCRUZEIRO vs. ATLETICO4:00 PM PST
Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaSTRONGEST vs. BOLIVAR4:00 PM PST
Copa SudamericanaSAO PAULO vs. ATL NAC MEDELLIN4:00 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionLIMON vs. HEREDIANO6:00 PM PST
Costa Rica - Primera DivisionSAPRISSA vs. CARTAGINES6:00 PM PST
11/27/2014
UEFA Europa LeagueD MOSCOW vs. PANATHINAIKOS08:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueKRASNODAR vs. LILLE09:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueRIJEKA vs. S LIEGE10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueFEYENOORD vs. SEVILLA10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueWOLFSBURG vs. EVERTON10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueS BRATISLAVA vs. YOUNG BOYS10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueSP PRAHA vs. NAPOLI10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueAALBORG vs. S BUCURESTI10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueDYNAMO KIEV vs. RIO AVE10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueD MINSK vs. P THESSALONIKI10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueGUINGAMP vs. FIORENTINA10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueTRABZONSPOR vs. METALIST10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueSP LOKEREN vs. L WARSZAWA10:00 AM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueVILLARREAL vs. B MÖNCHENGLADBACH12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueZÃœRICH vs. A LIMASSOL12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueTORINO vs. BRUGGE12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueHELSINKI vs. KOPENHAGEN12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueTOTTENHAM vs. P BEOGRAD12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueA TRIPOLIS vs. BESIKTAS12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueCELTIC vs. RB SALZBURG12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueA GIURGIU vs. D ZAGREB12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueE PRAIA vs. PSV12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueINTER vs. DNJPRPROPETROVSK12:05 PM PST
UEFA Europa LeagueST ETIENNE vs. KARABAKH12:05 PM PST
11/28/2014
Czech - 1. LigaD CESKE BUDEJOVICE vs. TEPLICE09:00 AM PST
Poland - EkstraklasaG LECZNA vs. R CHORZOW09:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2A AVIGNON vs. DIJON11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2S BRESTOIS vs. CRETEIL11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2S LAVALLOIS vs. AUXERRE11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2O NIMES vs. LE HAVRE11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2ORLEANS vs. AJACCIO11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2SOCHAUX vs. CLERMONT11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2TOURS vs. AJACCIO11:00 AM PST
France - Ligue 2CHATEAUROUX vs. CHAMOIS11:00 AM PST
Holland - EredivisieDORDRECHT vs. WILLEM II11:00 AM PST
Czech - 1. LigaB OSTRAVA vs. S PRAHA11:15 AM PST
France - Ligue 1O MARSEILLE vs. NANTES11:30 AM PST
Germany - BundesligaFREIBURG vs. STUTTGART11:30 AM PST
Poland - EkstraklasaP GLIWICE vs. W KRAKOW11:30 AM PST
England - League OnePETERBOROUGH UTD vs. BRISTOL11:45 AM PST
Spain - La LigaR SOCIEDAD vs. ELCHE11:45 AM PST
Portugal - Primeira LigaV GUIMARAES vs. MOREIRENSE12:30 PM PST
Argentina - PrimeraDEF Y JUST vs. VELEZ1:00 PM PST
Argentina - PrimeraGIM Y ESG LA PLATA vs. QUILMES1:00 PM PST
Chile - PrimeraO'HIGGINS vs. AUDAX1:30 PM PST
Chile - PrimeraDEP IQUIQUE vs. DEP U CATOLICA4:00 PM PST

x