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GIANTS BEGIN NEW ERA SEEKING REDEMPTION
Mon, 26 Jul 2010 05:38 PM EDT

The Giants opened the 2009 season by winning their first five games in Giant-like fashion. However, a 48-27 loss in Week 6 to eventual champion New Orleans sent New York on a downward spiral the likes of which could not be imagined. They were just 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS the rest of the way while allowing 32.4 PPG. Now a redemptive Giants team begins a first season in their New Meadowlands home, hoping to compete in what figures to be a challenging NFC East Division. Football Lines
NEW YORK GIANTS
2009 Record:8-8 (-7.5 ML Units), 7-9 ATS
DIVISION:NFC East
COACH:Tom Coughlin, 7th year (59-44 SU, 59-42 ATS)
STADIUM:New Meadowlands Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:20 to 1, NFC Title:9 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:20 (#16 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-0.6 (#20 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 8-8 ~ 34-19 (64%)
ATS: 7-9 ~ 33-20 (62%)
Preseason ATS: 1-3 ~ 4-6 (40%)
Home ATS: 3-5 ~ 13-12 (52%)
Road ATS: 4-4 ~ 20-8 (71%)
Division ATS: 4-2 ~ 12-8 (60%)
Conference ATS: 5-7 ~ 25-15 (63%)
Favorite ATS: 5-6 ~ 19-14 (58%)
Underdog ATS: 2-3 ~ 13-6 (68%)
Over-Under: 11-4 ~ 29-23 (56%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -1.6 (#19 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +42.3 (#10 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.31 (#14 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -2.46 (#25 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -7 (#24 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 366 (#8 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 323.7 (#12 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 21.44 (8th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – CAROLINA, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Indianapolis, 8:20 PM
9/26/10 – TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 – CHICAGO, 8:20 PM
10/10/10 – at Houston, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
10/25/10 – at Dallas, 8:30 PM
11/7/10 – at Seattle, 4:05 PM
11/14/10 – DALLAS, 4:15 PM
11/21/10 – at Philadelphia, 8:20 PM
11/28/10 – JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – at Minnesota, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – at Green Bay, 4:15 PM
1/2/11 – at Washington, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • NY GIANTS are on a 11-0 UNDER the total (+11 Units) run as road favorites of 3.5 to 7 points The Average Score was NY GIANTS 18.8, OPPONENT 12.1 Football Spreads

    2010 OUTLOOK
    The New York Giants franchise has long been known for its bruising running attack and hard-hitting defense. Both misfired last season and as a result, the Giants’ 5-0 start quickly turned into a 3-8 finish marred by blowouts—five losses by at least 20 points. What was once thought to be the most ferocious collection of defensive line talent in the NFL allowed a whopping 26.7 PPG, dropping from second in the NFL to 30th in a span of 12 months with essentially the same personnel…For all of the problems that cropped up, few can be pinned on QB Eli Manning, who turned in the best statistical season of his career (4,021 yards, 27:14 TD-Int ratio). Not bad for a signal-caller that lost his top option (Plaxico Burress) to prison and watched his second-favorite target (Amani Toomer) retire before Week 1 rolled around. In their absence, Steve Smith became a star, finishing with a team-record 107 catches. Mario Manningham also turned in a solid rookie campaign (57 catches, 822 yards, five touchdowns) and Hakeem Nicks (47, 790, 6) also set the bar high. As solid as the wide receivers have become, the running backs—Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw—are inconsistent at best. The line returns mostly intact despite the drop in backfield production…How concerned were the Giants about the freefall the defense experienced? Worried enough to use their first four draft picks on that side of the field. Head coach Tom Coughlin also brought in a pair of safeties via free agency—Antrel Rolle (Cardinals) and safety Deon Grant (Seahawks)—to fortify a unit that was borderline horrific…With a renewed focus on interior line play and a veteran unit on both sides of the field, Big Blue has a chance to bounce back quickly from last season’s hiccup and return to the playoffs. NFL Spreads

    Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 8.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: One of the biggest questions in the NFL this season is how the Giants will respond to their late season freefall of a year ago. Are they the team that started 5-0 or the one that ended 3-8? I speculate its somewhere in between, and with the NFC East looking strong, I’ll project a middle of the road finish and lean slightly UNDER 8.5.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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