Refresh  
  Page last updated on Mon Aug 31 00:44:44 EDT 2015
TOP NEWS
HANDICAPPING SIGNS POINT TO JOHNSON, FLORIDA
Wed, 18 Aug 2010 08:28 PM EDT

The Marlins and Pirates continue a 4-game set in Pittsburgh on Wednesday night and so far the teams have split two 6-run decisions, with Florida taking the latest encounter in shutout fashion on Tuesday night. That win, a key system, several strong trends, and stud pitcher Josh Johnson going for the Marlins are good signs of a potential repeat performance on Wednesday night. This game is certainly worthy of your consideration, both on the money line and run line. Sportsbook.com currently lists Florida as a -162 favorite, with an accompanying run line of -1.5 (-105).

Johnson didn’t look anything like a Cy Young Award contender his last time out, failing to escape the fourth inning in his worst start in more than three years. The right-hander gave up six runs and 10 hits over 3 2-3 innings, failing to record a strikeout in a 7-2 loss at Cincinnati. Basketball Lines

Following that rough outing with another seems rather unlikely, as he faces the Pirates and their NL-worst offense. Johnson’s ERA has dropped from easily the best in the majors to fourth, but the Marlins (58-60) won’t be surprised if he rebounds Wednesday at PNC Park. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 runs and hitting .241, both last in the NL.

The Pirates (40-79) mustered six hits against Ricky Nolasco and two relievers in a 6-0 loss Tuesday that evened the four-game set at 1-all. The Marlins held a closed-door meeting after Monday’s 7-1 loss. NFL Lines

It’s no surprise Pittsburgh has struggled to hit the premier pitching in the NL, but the numbers are still staggering. The nine pitchers other than Johnson that make up the league’s top 10 in ERA are 8-2 with a 1.22 ERA in 12 starts against the Pirates.

Aside from who Pittsburgh faces, the presence of Ross Ohlendorf (1-9, 3.95) on the mound seems to guarantee the Pirates’ bats will go cold. No starter who has pitched 50 innings has received less support than the 2.24 runs Ohlendorf averages. NFL Betting Lines

The following money line system from FoxSheets gives Florida about an 80% chance of winning tonight, based upon Johnson’s prowess and Pittsburgh’s offensive ineptitude.

Play Against – All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PITTSBURGH) – bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. (68-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (80%, +40.9 units. Rating = 3*)

As indicated earlier, this is also a good potential run line spot, and a completely separate StatFox system will be looking for its seventh straight win behind the Marlins this evening:

Play On – Road teams against a 1.5 run line (FLORIDA) – below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +33.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The situation’s record this season is: (6-0, +6.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation’s record is: (40-8, +31.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation’s record is: (95-46, +37.5 units).

The powerful information doesn’t stop there though, as numerous trends seem to indicate that Pittsburgh is in over its head for tonight’s game:

  • RUSSELL is 28-69 (-26.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.2, OPPONENT 5.1 – (Rating = 1*)

    Of course, stranger things than a mild baseball upset on a Wednesday night in August have occurred in sports, but it certainly does look like as solid of a play as they come. We’ll see what happens when the Marlins and Pirates throw out the first pitch at 7:05 PM ET tonight from PNC Park.


  • Sponsored Links

    Download Printable Schedules
    Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.
    UPDATED:
    FOOTBALL: 8/9/2015 - 11/2/2015
    BASEBALL 8/13/2015 - 10/4/2015
    TOP TEN WAGERS
    RK Team
    1
    Chicago Cubs
    2
    Toronto Blue Jays
    3
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    4
    St Louis Cardinals
    5
    Washington Nationals
    08/31/2015
    ATP - US OpenCECCHINATO, MARCO vs. FISH, MARDY08:00 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenNISHIKORI, KEI vs. PAIRE, BENOIT08:00 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenEBDEN, MATTHEW vs. DIMITROV, GRIGOR08:00 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenZHENG, SAISAI vs. BRENGLE, MADISON08:00 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenKENIN, SOFIA vs. DUQUE-MARINO, MARIANA08:00 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenCIBULKOVA, DOMINIKA vs. IVANOVIC, ANA08:00 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenPEGULA, JESSICA vs. VAN UYTVANCK, ALISON08:00 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenPAUL, TOMMY vs. SEPPI, ANDREAS09:15 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenLINETTE, MAGDA vs. RADWANSKA, URSZULA09:15 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenMLADENOVIC, KRISTINA vs. KUZNETSOVA, SVETLANA09:15 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenVERDASCO, FERNANDO vs. HAAS, TOMMY09:20 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenCILIC, MARIN vs. PELLA, GUIDO09:20 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenTATISHVILI, ANNA vs. PLISKOVA, KAROLINA09:20 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenPUIG, MONICA vs. WILLIAMS, VENUS10:00 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenJANOWICZ, JERZY vs. CARRENO-BUSTA, PABLO10:30 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenCHARDY, JEREMY vs. SHANE, RYAN10:30 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenALBOT, RADU vs. FERRER, DAVID10:35 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenSUAREZ NAVARRO, CARLA vs. ALLERTOVA, DENISA10:35 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenVANDEWEGHE, COCO vs. STEPHENS, SLOANE10:40 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenKOZLOVA, KATERYNA vs. MATTEK-SANDS, BETHANIE10:40 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenDJOKOVIC, NOVAK vs. SOUZA, JOAO OLAVO11:15 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenPOSPISIL, VASEK vs. HAIDER-MAURER, ANDREAS11:50 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenBAUTISTA-AGUT, ROBERTO vs. HERBERT, PIERRE HUGUES11:50 AM PST
    ATP - US OpenGROTH, SAMUEL vs. DOLGOPOLOV, OLEKSANDR11:50 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenKEYS, MADISON vs. KOUKALOVA, KLARA11:55 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenBENCIC, BELINDA vs. KARATANTCHEVA, SESIL11:55 AM PST
    WTA - US OpenWILLIAMS, SERENA vs. DIATCHENKO, VITALIA4:00 PM PST
    MLBRays vs Orioles4:05 PM PST
    MLBIndians vs Blue Jays4:05 PM PST
    MLBMarlins vs Braves4:10 PM PST
    MLBPhillies vs Mets4:10 PM PST
    MLBYankees vs Red Sox4:10 PM PST
    MLBReds vs Cubs5:05 PM PST
    MLBMariners vs Astros5:10 PM PST
    MLBNationals vs Cardinals5:15 PM PST
    ATP - US OpenCORIC, BORNA vs. NADAL, RAFAEL5:15 PM PST
    MLBDiamondbacks vs Rockies5:40 PM PST
    MLBAngels vs Athletics7:05 PM PST
    MLBGiants vs Dodgers7:10 PM PST
    MLBRangers vs Padres7:10 PM PST
    09/05/2015
    UFCJoaquim Silva vs Nazareno Malegarie4:05 PM PST
    UFCJoe Riggs vs Ron Stallings4:30 PM PST
    UFCTiago Trator vs Clay Collard5:05 PM PST
    UFCRaquel Pennington vs Jessica Andrade5:30 PM PST
    UFCFrancisco Rivera vs John Lineker6:05 PM PST
    UFCRoss Pearson vs Paul Felder6:30 PM PST
    UFCAlex Chambers vs Paige VanZant7:10 PM PST
    UFCCorey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz7:35 PM PST
    UFCJimi Manuwa vs Anthony Johnson8:05 PM PST
    UFCFrank Mir vs Andrei Arlovski8:30 PM PST
    UFCJohn Dodson vs Demetrious Johnson9:05 PM PST

    x