NEW YORK GIANTS (2-2)
at HOUSTON TEXANS (3-1)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Houston -3, Total: 47.5

Andre Johnson was held out of practice Wednesday and is questionable for Sunday’s game against the Giants. Johnson missed last week’s 31-24 win in Oakland due to his ankle injury. Another key receiver for Houston, Jacoby Jones, is also questionable with an injured calf. Jones did play against the Raiders, but only had one catch for 12 yards. Sports scores.

StatFox take:
These injuries obviously limit Matt Schaub’s ability to move the ball through the air. Schaub already had worries about this game considering the Giants rank 2nd in the NFL in pass defense, allowing fewer than 140 passing YPG. New York had 10 sacks last week against Chicago, so it will likely have success in pressuring Schaub into bad throws. The key to this game will be the ability for Houston to control the clock with its rushing attack, led by Arian Foster. The second-year pro has 537 rushing yards, which is 126 more than anybody else in the NFL. Baseball scores.

The Giants, on the other hand, should open up their passing game on the Texans secondary allowing a league-worst 338 passing YPG this year. Eli Manning has been inconsistent, ranking 7th in the league in passing yards (1,005), but throwing just five touchdowns with six interceptions this year.

These teams have only met twice, with the home team winning both games. Houston won 16-14 in 2002 and New York was a 14-10 victor in 2006. This FoxSheets coaching trend shows New York as the pick.

Tom Coughlin is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better as the coach of NY GIANTS. The average score was NY GIANTS 24.2, OPPONENT 20.6 – (Rating = 3*). Basketball scores.

And unlike the first two low-scoring games in the series, the FoxSheets lean toward the Over in this one:

Play Over – Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NY GIANTS) – dominant team – outgaining their opponents by 1.25 or more yards/play. (57-27 since 1983.) (67.9%, +27.3 units. Rating = 2*).