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INTRIGUING POINTSPREAD ON TUESDAY WNBA BOARD
Tue, 27 Jul 2010 07:10 PM EDT

The Los Angeles Sparks are 7-16, the Minnesota Lynx are 7-14. Point differentials, strength ratings, and even game simulations suggest that these teams are very close to one another. That’s what makes it so intriguing that Minnesota finds itself as a 7-point home favorite for their WNBA contest Tuesday night, a line that quickly shot up from the opening number of 5.5. Are sharp bettors on to something about this game? Let’s take a closer look to see if we can’t all benefit from their wisdom. Scores

The first thing bettors will want to consider when they look at the contest is its importance when it comes to the playoff picture since despite the teams’ abysmal records, Los Angeles can move into a tie with the Lynx for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Sparks have also beaten Minnesota in four straight head-to-head games while going 3-1 ATS. The early line move would suggest that bettors don’t give one iota about this fact.

The Associated Press game preview seems to be trying to lead bettors in the opposite direction, indicating “The Sparks appear to be facing the Lynx at the right time. Minnesota has dropped three straight and is coming off a 127-124 double-overtime home loss to Phoenix on Saturday, the highest-scoring game in WNBA history. Odds

However, it here where you realize that the difference in play recently is what may be driving the price on Minnesota higher & higher. When Los Angeles played Minnesota last month, the Sparks lost their star player for the season, Candace Parker, placing their hopes for a playoff berth in jeopardy. Parker dislocated her shoulder in the 88-84 win at home on June 13th.

That game, and injury, has sent these teams in completely opposite directions. The Sparks have gone 4-9 since, with the defensive effort suffering the most. Los Angeles has yielded 75-points or more in all but three games during that span. Las Vegas Odds

The Lynx meanwhile, are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS, and though they have lost three straight games, the margin in those contests is a combined seven points, with losses to the likes of Seattle, San Antonio, and Phoenix. Minnesota is clearly a team that is improving as the season wears on, and this is an important contest for the franchise. The Lynx will have a motivating payback trend behind them for tonight’s game:

  • MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 90.7, OPPONENT 81.4 – (Rating = 2*)

    Speaking of revenge, how about a powerful system to back that trend:

  • Play On – Favorites (MINNESOTA) – revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off an upset loss as a home favorite. (23-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 2*)

    Although the StatFox Game Estimator calls for a 2-point Minnesota win, plus the Power Rating Line and Outplay Factor Line both indicate a bit less, there seems to be enough evidence to believe that early bettors have this one right. Don’t be surprised to see the Lynx tear into the Sparks tonight in front of the home folks. They seem to be the more-ready postseason club at this point.


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    Brazil - Serie BBOA EC vs. LUVERDENSE3:30 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXLOBOS vs. ALEBRIJES5:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXATLANTE vs. MERIDA5:00 PM PST
    Argentina - Primera BV DALMINE vs. CHACARITA JRS5:05 PM PST
    Copa SudamericanaC PORTENO vs. IND DEL VALLE5:15 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BPORTUGUESA vs. NAUTICO5:50 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BSANTA CRUZ vs. OESTE5:50 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BSAMPAIO vs. V DA GAMA5:50 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie BCEARA vs. AMERICA5:50 PM PST
    Intl Clubs - CONCACAF - Champions LeaguePORTLAND vs. ALPHA UTD7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXUNAM PUMAS vs. DEP TOLUCA7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXUANL TIGRES vs. QUERETARO7:00 PM PST
    09/24/2014
    France - Ligue 1BASTIA vs. NANTES10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1EVIAN vs. LENS10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1GUINGAMP vs. METZ10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1O LYONNAIS vs. LORIENT10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1MONTPELLIER vs. MONACO10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1NICE vs. LILLE10:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaB DORTMUND vs. STUTTGART11:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaB LEVERKUSEN vs. AUGSBURG11:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaB MÖNCHENGLADBACH vs. HAMBURGER11:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaHANNOVER vs. KÖLN11:00 AM PST
    Germany - BundesligaHERTHA BERLIN vs. WOLFSBURG11:00 AM PST
    Spain - La LigaALMERIA vs. ATL MADRID11:00 AM PST
    Spain - La LigaEIBAR vs. VILLARREAL11:00 AM PST
    Spain - La LigaR VALLECANO vs. ATH BILBAO11:00 AM PST
    England - League CupCHELSEA vs. BOLTON11:45 AM PST
    England - League CupTOTTENHAM vs. NOTTINGHAM11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ACAGLIARI vs. TORINO11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AFIORENTINA vs. SASSUOLO11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AHELLAS vs. GENOA11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AINTER vs. ATALANTA11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie AJUVENTUS vs. CESENA11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ANAPOLI vs. PALERMO11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie APARMA vs. ROMA11:45 AM PST
    Italy - Serie ASAMPDORIA vs. CHIEVO V11:45 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1CAEN vs. PSG12:00 PM PST
    Argentina - Copa ArgentinaHURACAN vs. BANFIELD1:00 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionLIMON vs. ALAJUELENSE1:00 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionURUGUAY vs. HEREDIANO1:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaSEVILLA vs. R SOCIEDAD1:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaGRANADA vs. LEVANTE1:00 PM PST
    Spain - La LigaMALAGA vs. BARCELONA1:00 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionCARABOBO vs. PORTUGUESA1:00 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionDEP LA GUAIRA vs. ARAGUA1:30 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionDEP PETARE vs. LLANEROS1:30 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionAS PUMA vs. CARMELITA2:00 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionSANTOS vs. CARTAGINES2:00 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionBELEN vs. P ZELEDON2:00 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaBLOOMING vs. REAL POTOSI3:00 PM PST
    Copa SudamericanaU CATOLICA DEL ECU vs. HUACHIPATO3:00 PM PST
    Copa SudamericanaCARACAS vs. DEP CAPIATA3:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ACORITIBA vs. CRUZEIRO3:30 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AINTERNACIONAL vs. CRICIUMA3:30 PM PST
    Argentina - Primera B NacionalFERRO CARRIL vs. COLON4:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AB SALVADOR vs. SP RECIFE5:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ACHAPECOENSE vs. ATLETICO5:00 PM PST
    Bolivia - Liga Profesional BolivianaJ WILSTERMANN vs. U DE PANDO5:00 PM PST
    Intl Clubs - CONCACAF - Champions LeagueATL PACHUCA vs. MUNICIPAL5:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXEST DE ALTAMIRA vs. IRAPUATO5:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXZACATEPEC vs. CORAS TEPIC5:00 PM PST
    Venezuela - Primera DivisionZAMORA vs. CARACAS5:00 PM PST
    Copa SudamericanaDEP CALI vs. PENAROL5:15 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AFLUMINENSE vs. GREMIO6:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie ASAO PAULO vs. FLAMENGO6:00 PM PST
    Brazil - Serie AFIGUEIRENSE vs. CORINTHIANS6:00 PM PST
    USA - MLSDALLAS vs. SEATTLE6:00 PM PST
    Costa Rica - Primera DivisionSAPRISSA vs. UCR7:00 PM PST
    Intl Clubs - CONCACAF - Champions LeagueHEREDIANO vs. LEON7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXTIJUANA vs. GUAD CHIVAS7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXATLAS DE GUAD vs. U DE GUAD7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXNECAXA vs. CELAYA7:00 PM PST
    Mexico - Copa MXVERACRUZ vs. JAGUARES7:00 PM PST

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