OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (16-10, 4-8 in Big 12)
at KANSAS JAYHAWKS (25-2, 10-2 in Big 12)
Tip-off: Monday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Kansas -17, Total: 145
The former number one team in the country hosts Oklahoma State as the Jayhawks try to make it two in a row after suffering a loss to Kansas State last Monday. Odds.
After replacing Ohio State at number one last week, Kansas did not make it a week in that spot, getting embarrassed by Kansas State 84-68. The Jayhawks are still are ranked number one in the RPI and currently have played the ninth-toughest schedule in the nation. They are 14-11 ATS this season and have won six of their past seven ATS, which includes four straight at home. Offense has been the Jayhawks strength this season as they enter Monday leading the nation in FG Pct. At 52.1%, they are the only team in the country that is shooting over 50 percent. They also rank tied for fourth in the nation in PPG, averaging 83.5. After suffering through an awful performance against Kansas State scoring three points and grabbing no rebounds, Markieff Morris returned to form against Colorado on Saturday. Morris scored 26 points and pulled down 15 rebounds in an 89-63 Kansas win. His eight offensive rebounds were the most by a Kansas player in a conference game in seven years.
Oklahoma State enters losers of three straight and nine of its past 14 games after starting the season 11-1. The Cowboys, whose RPI sits at 59 entering Monday, basically need to run the table and make a great showing in the Big 12 Tournament in order to qualify for the NCAA Tournament this season. They are 10-10 ATS this season, which includes a 2-6 mark on the road. They have lost four straight and seven of their last eight ATS entering Monday. They are 0-6 SU (1-5 ATS) on the road in conference play and have lost eight straight going back to last season. They also may be without leading scorer Marshall Moses, who averages 14.1 PPG. The senior swingman has been sick and logged only seven minutes in a 67-66 home loss to Texas A&M on Saturday, going scoreless for the first time this season. Oklahoma State has had issues shooting the ball during conference play this season, ranking last in the Big 12 in FG Pct. (40.0%) and three-point FG Pct. (26.4%). Oklahoma State has not won at Allen Fieldhouse since February 8, 1989, when current Kansas coach Bill Self was an assistant to then-Cowboys coach Leonard Hamilton. Scores.
Kansas will be looking for its 15th straight home win and should have little problem getting it. The Jayhawks are giving 18 points, but they have won three straight and are 6-3 ATS when giving at least 18 points on the season. The Cowboys have not done well when getting points this season, as they are 3-6 ATS as an underdog and 0-4 when getting at least six points on the season. I’m taking Kansas minus the points. The FoxSheets also support the Jayhawks with these two trends:
KANSAS is 11-2 ATS (84.6%, +8.8 Units) off a home win this season. The average score was KANSAS 83.5, OPPONENT 57.9 – (Rating = 3*).
OKLAHOMA STATE is 3-12 ATS (20.0%, -10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 63.4, OPPONENT 73.7 – (Rating = 2*).
Eleven of the past 15 games in the series have finished Under the total and this FoxSheets trend also likes the Under for Monday’s meeting. Las Vegas odds.
OKLAHOMA STATE is 14-5 UNDER (73.7%, +8.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams – making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 64.5, OPPONENT 70.1 – (Rating = 1*).