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MLB SERIES OUTLOOK: COLORADO AT L.A. DODGERS
Thu, 28 Jul 2011 06:02 PM EDT

COLORADO ROCKIES (48-54, -19.4 Units)

at LOS ANGELES DODGERS (45-56, -14.9 Units)

Sportsbook.com Series Line: Los Angeles -150, Colorado +120

NL West rivals Colorado and Los Angeles open a three-game series on Monday night at Dodger Stadium. Neither team is playing very well heading into this week’s series. The Rockies dropped their weekend series at Arizona, including losing the last two games by a combined score of 19-3. It was their sixth setback in nine games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are just 3-5 in their past eight games, but did manage to take two of three from Washington at home. Baseball betting lines.

Colorado is just 22-28 on the road, while L.A. is 25-28 at home. But the Dodgers, who will likely be favored in all three games, are 28-26 as a favorite this season, while the Rockies are a dismal 8-20 as an underdog. With the Dodgers having a huge edge in head-to-head meetings with the Rockies in the past three seasons (29-16, +16.9 Units), including 14-7 at Dodger Stadium, the pick here is for LOS ANGELES to win the series.

These two FoxSheets trends also like the Dodgers to take this series.

L.A. DODGERS are 113-57 (66.5%, +40.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the second half of the season since 1997. The average score was L.A. DODGERS 5.1, OPPONENT 4.0 – (Rating = 1*).

COLORADO is 10-24 (29.4%, -17.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was COLORADO 3.2, OPPONENT 4.2 – (Rating = 1*).

Pitching Probables for Monday, July 25 – 10:10 ET
Monday line: Los Angeles -115, Colorado +105, Total: 7
COL: 7-3 (+4.10 Units) when Juan Nicasio starts
LAD: 3-5 (-0.98 Units) when Rubby De La Rosa starts
Juan Nicasio (4-2, 3.88 ERA, 58.9 IP) looks for his third straight quality start when he takes the mound in the opener. The right-hander has allowed just one run on nine hits in his past two starts (14 innings). He threw seven innings and surrendered just one run, but got a no-decision in Colorado’s 3-2 win over Atlanta on July 20. Nicasio has faced the Dodgers once, pitching five innings and giving up four runs in a 9-7 Rockies win on June 9 at Coors Field. He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in four road starts this season.
Rubby De La Rosa (3-4, 3.73 ERA, 50.2 IP) will attempt to snap a four-game losing streak. De La Rosa has gotten a no-decision in each of his past two outings. He allowed three runs (two earned) and nine hits in five innings in a 5-3 L.A. loss to San Francisco on July 19. But he has pitched at least five innings in five straight starts and has surrendered three earned runs or less in four of those contests. The right-hander is 1-0 versus the Rockies this season after allowing three earned runs in five innings on June 12, a 10-8 Dodgers victory. He also pitched two innings in relief against Colorado on May 31, and gave up one hit and no earned runs. But he’s only 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA in four home starts (six appearances) this season. Baseball lines.

Pitching Probables for Tuesday, July 26 – 10:10 ET
Tuesday line: TBD
COL: 10-10 (-3.50 Units) when Jhoulys Chacin starts
LAD: 13-8 (+3.35 Units) when Clayton Kershaw starts
Jhoulys Chacin (8-7, 3.60 ERA, 127.2 IP) is coming off consecutive no-decisions, and has lost three straight prior to those outings. Chacin allowed five earned runs (in 4.2 IP) for the second straight game in a 9-6 Rockies loss to Atlanta on July 21. He owns a 6.43 ERA over his past five outings (28 innings). But he’s had two outstanding starts versus the Dodgers this season. In a 6-5 win on June 10, he pitched eight innings and gave up three hits and no earned runs with nine strikeouts. In a 3-0 victory over L.A. on April 5, he threw seven shutout innings and allowed only five hits. Chacin is 5-3 with a stellar 2.04 ERA in eight career starts (nine appearances) against the Dodgers.
Clayton Kershaw (11-4, 2.72 ERA, 145.2 IP) is aiming for his fourth straight victory on Tuesday. Kershaw is 5-1 in his past six starts and has gone at least six innings in each of those games. The left-hander has not given up a run in his past three outings (23 innings) and owns a 29-to-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio during that span. Kershaw has faced the Rockies twice in 2011, and owns a no-decision and a loss against them with both starts coming at Coors Field. On June 9, he allowed six runs in six innings, and previously on April 5, he gave up three runs in six innings in a 3-0 loss. He is 5-4 with a 4.07 ERA in 15 career starts against Colorado, but has been brilliant at home this season (7-1 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 11 starts).

Pitching Probables for Wednesday, July 27 – 10:10 ET
Wednesday line: TBD
COL: 2-6 (-4.15 Units) when Aaron Cook starts
LAD: 7-13 (+-8.00 Units) when Hiroki Kuroda starts
After an 0-5 start to his season, Aaron Cook (1-5, 5.84 ERA, 44.2 IP) picked up his first win in eight starts on July 22 versus Arizona, 8-4. In six innings, he gave up four runs and eight hits. The right-hander is 6-7 with a 4.09 ERA in 17 career starts (22 appearances) against the Dodgers, and is just 1-2 with a 7.66 ERA in four road starts this season. Baseball spreads.
Hiroki Kuroda (6-12, 3.19 ERA, 127 IP) has pitched pretty well despite his win-loss mark this season. He will be looking to end a three-game losing skid in the finale of the series on Wednesday. The right-hander has surrendered three runs or less in 15 of his 20 starts, including his most recent outing, a 7-2 loss to Washington on July 22, in which he gave up seven hits and three runs in 6.1 innings. But his career numbers against Colorado have not been pretty. In eight starts against the Rockies, he’s 0-4 with a 6.36 ERA.


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