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METS A HOME UNDERDOG AGAINST MARLINS AND JOSH JOHNSON
Tue, 24 Aug 2010 06:34 PM EDT

Florida (62-61) at New York Mets (62-62), 7:10 EDT Sports.com Line: Florida -120, New York +110 Total: 6.5
NL East foes clash at Citi Field tonight when the Marlins and Mets start a three-game series. Josh Johnson (11-5, 2.27 ERA) will start for Florida while knuckle-baller R.A. Dickey (8-5, 2.41 ERA) gets the nod for New York. Dickey is coming off a pair of impressive outings, including a complete-game one-hit shutout of Philadelphia on August 13. He’s been very good at home this year, compiling a 5-1 record with a 1.22 ERA. Odds

Johnson picked up his first win in over a month his last time out when he gave up two runs on two solo homers in a 3-2 win over Pittsburgh. He’s been somewhat inconsistent lately and was hammered two starts back, giving up six runs on 10 hits over 3.2 innings, his shortest outing of the season. He has great numbers against the Mets, however. In 11 lifetime starts, Johnson is 7-1 with a 2.55 ERA. Scores

Despite Johnson’s dominance of New York, the FoxSheets like the Mets here:

Play On – Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) – with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB’s/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL). (55-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%, +30.7 units. Rating = 3*). Las Vegas Odds


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