SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (15-0)
at TCU HORNED FROGS (9-6)
Tip-off: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: San Diego State -8.5, Total: 136.5
San Diego State will look to extend the best start in school history when it opens Mountain West Conference play at TCU on Wednesday night. The Aztecs are 15-0 after beating Division III school Occidental, 93-50, last Friday for their most lopsided victory of the season. SDSU, third in the nation with a 51.0% FG Pct., shot a season-best 61.0% and outrebounded the Tigers, 42-13. Vegas odds.
Eight of San Diego State’s 15 wins have come away from home, including a 79-76 triumph at Gonzaga on Nov. 16. The Aztecs went 4-4 on the road in the MWC last season. They’re led by Kawhi Leonard, who scores 15.7 PPG and pulls down 9.6 RPG. Leonard has scored in double-figures in 13 of 15 games and has nine double-doubles on the season. Billy White (10.5 PPG) averaged a team-high 16.5 points in two wins over TCU last season. He did not play against Occidental because of a sprained ankle, but should be in the lineup against the Horned Frogs.
TCU’s leading scorer Ronnie Moss (15.3 PPG) is questionable for Wednesday after suffering a concussion in a 69-66 loss to Tulsa last Thursday. The Horned Frogs are coming off a 70-61 loss at Rice on Sunday without Moss. Hank Thorns (9.4 PPG, 5.7 APG) picked up the scoring in Moss’ absence with a career-best 18 points and eight assists against the Owls. Garlon Green, who ranks second on TCU in scoring (11.9 PPG, 51.3% three-pointers), had 11 points versus Rice, but shot only 4-of-11 from the field. Betting lines.
Last season, San Diego State posted a 68-51 victory at Fort Worth on Feb. 16. Leonard had 18 points and White added 17 for the Aztecs, while Moss scored 15 for the Horned Frogs. TCU is 7-1 at home this season, but its history hasn’t been good versus San Diego State.The Horned Frogs have lost nine out of the last 10 meetings, including four straight. SDSU leads the series 9-4, and its only loss at TCU came on Feb. 9, 2008, 68-62. Look for the Aztecs to continue its undefeated season with another win over the Horned Frogs on Wednesday. The FoxSheets give three more reasons to expect San Diego State to win and cover the spread.
Steve Fisher is 47-17 ATS (73.4%, +28.3 Units) after a win by 15 points or more as the coach of SAN DIEGO STATE. The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 72.4, OPPONENT 65.6 – (Rating = 4*).
Play On – Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) – an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more. (79-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +36.1 units. Rating = 2*).
SAN DIEGO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 68.8, OPPONENT 58.0 – (Rating = 2*). Sports scores.
This five-star FoxSheets trend expects the game will finish Under the Total.
TCU is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams – forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TCU 58.4, OPPONENT 63.9 – (Rating = 5*).