ORLANDO MAGIC (31-17)
at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (24-24)
Tip-off: Monday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Orlando -1.5, Total: 198.5
The Magic travel to Memphis on Monday to take on the red-hot Grizzlies who have won five of their past six games. This is the second meeting of the season between these two teams as the Magic defeated Memphis at home, 89-72, on November 15. Vegas odds.
While Orlando is 31-17 SU this season, they have really struggled ATS posting a 21-26-1 record. The Magic are just 9-14 ATS on the road, but are 3-1-1 ATS in their past five away games. Dwight Howard recorded his fourth 20-20 game of the season and 30th of his career on Sunday in leading the Magic to a 103-87 win against the Cavaliers at home. Howard is averaging 25.8 PPG and 15.0 RPG while shooting 60.4 percent from the field in his past 12 games. Howard had one of his worst shooting games of the season in the Magic’s win over the Grizzlies on November 15, going 5-for-13 from the field, but he still finished with 18 points and 14 rebounds. For his career, he is averaging 17.2 PPG and 12.0 RPG in 13 games against Memphis. Ryan Anderson added 23 points and 16 rebounds on Sunday and is averaging 16.4 PPG, 7.2 RPG and shooting 44.8 percent from three-point range in his last 11 games. Betting lines.
The Memphis Grizzlies improved 16 wins from the 2008-09 season to the 2009-10 season and are looking to keep the pace that they set. Memphis enters Sunday with a record of 24-24 SU, well on pace for the 40 wins it earned last season. They have done very well ATS going 29-18, including an impressive 13-7 at home where they have won six of their last seven ATS. They have also won five of six SU, including their last two games. Zach Randolph is making a push to be an All-Star, and certainly deserves it with the numbers he has put up. He is averaging a career-high 13.3 RPG on the season and is coming off a 24-point, 20-rebound performance against the Wizards. He has recorded 14 straight double-doubles, averaging 23.0 PPG and 14.9 RPG over that span. Randolph struggled in the previous matchup against Orlando, scoring just nine points and grabbing nine rebounds on 4-of-15 shooting. After scoring just four points in 15 minutes in the Grizzlies’ season-opener on October 27, that is the only other game that Randolph has not reached double-figures in points, and one of only nine games where he has not reached double-figures in rebounds. After starting the season with six straight games in double-figures in points, third-year player Darrell Arthur has reached double-figures just seven times, but he scored a career-high 22 points against the Cavaliers on Sunday.
The Grizzlies are looking to make a name for themselves as a playoff contender in the Western Conference. In order to do that, they need to beat teams at or even slightly above their level at home. I’m taking Memphis plus the points at home.
MEMPHIS is 17-6 ATS (73.9%, +10.4 Units) as an underdog this season. The average score was MEMPHIS 100.1, OPPONENT 101.3 – (Rating = 2*). Sports scores.
The FoxSheets also lean towards the Under:
Play Under – Any team (ORLANDO) – a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half. (92-52 since 1996.) (63.9%, +34.8 units. Rating = 2*).