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PLAY THE UNDER IN CAL-NEVADA EXPECTED SHOOTOUT
Fri, 17 Sep 2010 06:00 PM EDT

CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (2-0)
at NEVADA WOLF PACK (2-0)

Kickoff: Friday, 10:00 p.m. EDT, Line: California -2.5, Total: 66

After coming off a week where both schools dismantled universities in Colorado, Cal travels to Nevada in a matchup of high-scoring unbeaten schools. Cal crushed Colorado last week 52-7 and Nevada breezed to an easy 51-6 over Colorado State. Vegas Odds

Both teams are averaging 50+ points per game this year due to the stellar play of their quarterbacks. Cal’s Kevin Riley has 455 passing yards, seven TD and no picks, which places him third in the nation in passing efficiency (205.27). Nevada’s Colin Kaepernick gained 402 total yards (241 passing, 161 rushing) with four TD (two pass, two rush) in his last game.

Both teams also feature strong running games. The Bears also have do-it-all RB Shane Vereen who has 172 total yards and five touchdowns in two games of somewhat limited action due to the lopsided outcomes. Vai Taua has 169 rushing yards (6.3 YPC) and three touchdowns for the Wolf Pack. Betting Lines

With two equally impressive offenses, this game will be decided on the defensive side of the ball. Cal appears to have the edge here, considering it has only allowed 10 points in two games while Nevada gave up 24 points and 432 yards to Eastern Washington two games ago. In terms of last season, Cal ranked 72nd in total defense, while Nevada clocked in at 96th.

FoxSheets provides another reason to pick California:

Bears coach Jeff Tedford is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) off a home win by 17 points or more as the coach of CALIFORNIA. The average score was CALIFORNIA 37.1, OPPONENT 18.0 – (Rating = 2*).

This FoxSheets trend shows that due to Cal’s defensive dominance so far this year, the Under is a safe bet. Football Odds

Play Under – Any team against the total (CALIFORNIA) – after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half. (48-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*).


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