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QUARTERBACKS ARE KEY IN CFL WEEKEND MATCHUPS
Fri, 17 Sep 2010 05:57 PM EDT

CALGARY STAMPEDERS (9-1)
at SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (6-4)

Kickoff: Friday, 9:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Calgary -3, Total: 55.5

The Stampeders take the CFL’s best record and current seven-game win streak into Saskatchewan for a Friday night showdown with the Roughriders. Calgary sits in first in the West Division with 18 points, while the Roughriders are in second place with 12 points. Odds

Saskatchewan has lost four of its last seven games since starting the season 3-0. Calgary’s seven-game win streak is their fourth longest single-season streak in club history and its longest since 1995 when they has two separate seven-game win streaks. A win this Friday would give them their best start to a season in club history.

The difference in this game will come down to the quarterbacks. Calgary’s Henry Burris won player of the week honors last week after passing for a season-high 404 yards and scoring four touchdowns (two passing, two rushing). He leads an offense that ranks first in the CFL in points scored (35.9 PPG).

Roughriders QB Darian Durant has not played well during Saskatchewan’s recent slide. Their offense has averaged just 14.3 PPG over their last three games, including a season-low two points in last week’s loss. Durant has passed for zero TD and has thrown five INT over the past three games.

Calgary is undefeated against the West this season (6-0) and a league best 4-1 on the road. Though the Roughriders are 2-1-1 in their last four meetings against the Stamps, which includes a 27-17 loss in last season’s Division Finals, Calgary won this season’s first meeting 40-20. With these two teams heading in opposite directions, look for Calgary to continue its strong play. Scores

FoxSheets says: CALGARY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=7.2 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CALGARY 40.8, OPPONENT 16.8 – (Rating = 3*).

HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (9-1)
at BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS (3-7)

Kickoff: Saturday, 10:00 p.m. EDT, Line: British Columbia -3.5, Total: 49.5

The Tiger-Cats travel to British Columbia on Saturday to take on the Lions. Hamilton’s four-game win streak ended last week with a home loss to Montreal. The Lions have won two straight since suffering a seven-game losing streak.

This is the first of two meetings this season. British Columbia defeated Hamilton in the playoffs last year after the Tiger-Cats won both of the regular-season meetings. Prior to 2009, the Lions had won nine straight in this series.

The Lions will be without leading rusher Jerome Robertson for the second straight game, but his replacement, Jerome Messam, rushed for two TD in their win last week against Toronto. The Lions offense has exploded in their last three games, averaging over 36 points and scoring 11 offensive touchdowns. Las Vegas Odds

Look for British Columbia to continue its winning ways this weekend.

FoxSheets says: Play On – Home teams (BRITISH COLUMBIA) – after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, with a losing record. (47-18 since 1996.) (72.3%, +27.2 units. Rating = 3*).

WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (3-7)
at TORONTO ARGONAUTS (5-5)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Winnipeg -1, Total: 51.5

The Blue Bombers enter Rogers Centre to take on the Argonauts this Sunday in a battle between two East Division rivals.

Toronto has lost three straight while Winnipeg is coming off their most impressive win of the season, defeating Saskatchewan 31-2, which ended Winnipeg’s string of five straight losses. The Argos will be without CFL’s leading rusher and yards from scrimmage leader this week as Cory Boyd is out with a concussion.

The Bombers have won four of the last six meetings between these two teams, and the absence of Boyd means chances are good that the Blue Bombers will hand the Argos their fourth straight loss.

FoxSheets says: TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. – after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TORONTO 16.8, OPPONENT 36.5 – (Rating = 3*).

EDMONTON ESKIMOS (2-8)
at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (7-3)

Kickoff: Sunday, 4:00 p.m. EDT, Line: Montreal -12, Total: 52.5

Montreal hosts the Eskimos in a battle between first and last place teams. The Eskimos defense has been riddled with injuries all season as they rank last in the CFL in points allowed (34.1 PPG). That shouldn’t improve against the Alouettes’ second-ranked offense.

Edmonton is winless on the road (0-4) and against teams from the East (0-3). This FoxSheets trend favors Montreal in this game: EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons. The average score was EDMONTON 24.1, OPPONENT 31.8 – (Rating = 0*).

With Montreal’s explosive offense, take the Over. FoxSheets says: MONTREAL is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog since 1996. The average score was MONTREAL 36.9, OPPONENT 27.5 – (Rating = 4*).


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