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RAIDERS FINALLY READY TO TURN CORNER IN 2010?
Wed, 28 Jul 2010 07:21 PM EDT

The Oakland Raiders have been the worst team in the NFL since last appearing in the Super Bowl at the conclusion of the 2002 season. In failing to win more than five games in any season since, the problems have been multi-faceted. However, after finally enjoying an offseason of what seems to be strong personnel moves, perhaps this franchise is finally ready to turn the corner. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 Oakland Raiders. NFL Spreads
OAKLAND RAIDERS
2009 Record:5-11 (+5 ML Units), 8-8 ATS
DIVISION:AFC West
COACH:Tom Cable, 3rd year (9-19 SU, 13-15 ATS)
STADIUM:Oakland Coliseum
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:100 to 1, AFC Title:50 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:13 (#27 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-10.5 (#30 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 5-11 ~ 14-34 (29%)
ATS: 8-8 ~ 21-27 (44%)
Preseason ATS: 2-2 ~ 6-6 (50%)
Home ATS: 4-4 ~ 8-16 (33%)
Road ATS: 4-4 ~ 13-11 (54%)
Division ATS: 4-2 ~ 9-9 (50%)
Conference ATS: 7-5 ~ 19-17 (53%)
Favorite ATS: 0-1 ~ 0-6 (0%)
Underdog ATS: 8-7 ~ 21-21 (50%)
Over-Under: 7-9 ~ 22-23 (49%) Football Lines

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -11.4 (#30 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -95.8 (#31 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -1.15 (#29 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -6.36 (#31 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -13 (#30 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 266.1 (#31 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 361.9 (#26 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 18.88 (26th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – at Tennessee, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – ST LOUIS, 4:05 PM
9/26/10 – at Arizona, 4:15 PM
10/3/10 – HOUSTON, 4:05 PM
10/10/10 – SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM
10/17/10 – at San Francisco, 4:05 PM
10/24/10 – at Denver, 4:15 PM
10/31/10 – SEATTLE, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 – KANSAS CITY, 4:15 PM
11/21/10 – at Pittsburgh, 1:00 PM
11/28/10 – MIAMI, 4:05 PM
12/5/10 – at San Diego, 4:05 PM
12/12/10 – at Jacksonville, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – DENVER, 4:15 PM
12/26/10 – INDIANAPOLIS, 4:05 PM
1/2/11 – at Kansas City, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • OAKLAND is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since ‘07. The Average Score was OAKLAND 10.2, OPPONENT 29.12010 OUTLOOK
    Since playing in the Super Bowl in 2002, the Raiders have lost 11 or more games in each of the last seven seasons. Despite troubles both on and off the field, HC Tom Cable was given another chance by owner Al Davis, although he no longer calls the offensive plays. That job will go to new OC Hue Jackson, the former Ravens QB coach…Former #1 overall pick QB JaMarcus Russell was released in the offseason, in favor of Jason Campbell, acquired from the Redskins. His 2009 numbers (3,618 yards, 20:15 Td-Int ratio) were respectable so it should be a sizeable upgrade. One problem, the Raiders dropped from 10th in the league in rushing in 2008 to 21st last year, gaining 106.3 YPG. Darren McFadden and Michael Bush will compete for rushing attempts. The Raiders’ receiving corps was also a huge disappointment last year because Darrius Heyward-Bey failed to live up to promise. Fortunately, Louis Murphy, on the other hand, proved to be reliable. The key to the line will be the health of guard Robert Gallery—the leader of the unit—who suffered through an injury-plagued 2009 campaign…The Oakland stop unit ranked 26th in the NFL in 2009, allowing 361.9 YPG, so it was a surprise that DC John Marshall kept his job. The line is led by veteran DT Richard Seymour. The LB corps lost the team’s top tackler in Kirk Morrison, but gained his replacement with draftee Rolando McClain (1-Alabama). The eighth-overall pick is a strong, physical player with a tireless work ethic. The secondary is led by cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, so good that quarterbacks rarely throw his way…Cable is certainly on the hot seat and will need a fast start. That looks to be a tough task with a tough slate before the bye week. If things get ugly real fast, the Raiders could be doomed to another season of double-digit losses. Football Odds

    Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 6
    StatFox Steve’s Take: As much as the fact that six wins would be an eight year high for the Oakland franchise, I actually believe this team is capable. The AFC West is weak, the team played fairly well down the stretch last season, and the Campbell acquisition is a HUGE upgrade at quarterback. Don’t be surprised to see Oakland reach the 6, 7, or perhaps even 8-win mark in 2010.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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