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REASON TO FINALLY BELIEVE IN THE DETROIT LIONS?
Fri, 16 Jul 2010 03:19 PM EDT

For a team that has won only three games per season over the last four years, there certainly seems to be a lot of optimism surrounding the Detroit Lions’ franchise. Perhaps it’s well-founded. After all, the Lions finally have their quarterback of the future in place in Matt Stafford, they have one of the league’s best wideouts in Calvin Johnson, and now, they have added several other potential breakout players through the draft and free agency. Will the results finally show on the field? Let’s take an early look at the 2010 Detroit Lions. Odds

DETROIT LIONS
2009 Record:2-14 (-10.6 ML Units), 4-10 ATS
DIVISION:NFC North
COACH:Jim Schwartz, 2nd year (2-14 SU, 4-10 ATS)
STADIUM:Ford Field
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:100 to 1, NFC Title:50 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:7 (#31 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-13 (#31 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 2-14 ~ 9-39 (19%)
ATS: 4-10 ~ 17-28 (38%)
Preseason ATS: 2-2 ~ 6-5 (55%)
Home ATS: 3-5 ~ 8-15 (35%)
Road ATS: 1-5 ~ 9-13 (41%)
Division ATS: 0-5 ~ 6-10 (38%)
Conference ATS: 2-8 ~ 11-22 (33%)
Favorite ATS: 0-2 ~ 2-4 (33%)
Underdog ATS: 4-8 ~ 15-24 (38%)
Over-Under: 8-8 ~ 29-18 (62%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -14.5 (#31 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -93.1 (#30 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -1.49 (#31 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -5.54 (#30 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -19 (#32 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 299 (#26 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 392.1 (#32 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 21.75 (3rd toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – at Chicago, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – at Minnesota, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 – at Green Bay, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – at NY Giants, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 – WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 – NY JETS, 1:00 PM
11/11/10 – at Buffalo, 8:30 PM
11/21/10 – at Dallas, 1:00 PM
11/25/10 – NEW ENGLAND, 12:30 PM
12/5/10 – CHICAGO, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – at Tampa Bay, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – at Miami, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • DETROIT is on a 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) skid vs. teams scoring 14 or less PPG The Average Score was DETROIT 20.7, OPPONENT 22.82010 OUTLOOK
    Remember where you read it first—the Lions will be tougher to tame in 2010. A major splash in the draft, a couple of key free agents and a year of experience under QB Matthew Stafford’s belt are three reasons why Detroit is a strong candidate to take a considerable step up the ladder just two years removed from a winless season…The two-win Lions of ’09 had their moments on offense while Stafford got acclimated to coordinator Scott Linehan’s playbook and is bound to improve with a better supporting cast. Calvin Johnson (67 catches, 984 yards, 5 TD’s) is quickly developing a rapport with Stafford and is joined in the receiving corps by WR Nate Burleson and TE Tony Scheffler. The running game disappointed, ranking 24th in yards. Enter Jahvid Best (1b-California), who brings speed and big-play ability to a unit in desperate for both…In the big picture, Detroit improved its defense during the offseason but is moving forward without its most productive member in recent years, LB Ernie Sims as well as tackle leader Larry Foote. The Lions allowed more yards (392.1 per game) and points (494) than anyone and managed only 26 sacks. A major facelift on the front four can help fiery coordinator Gunther Cunningham get things moving in the right direction via warp speed. Tackle Ndamukong Suh (1a-Nebraska) is a rare talent and was the most dominant player in college football last season. Schwartz put most of his free-agent eggs in the basket of veteran end Kyle Vanden Bosch (Titans) as well…Nobody’s expecting the Lions to go from worst to first in a division likely to produce two playoff teams, but maybe they can show they’re no longer pushovers. The rookies will contribute on each side of the ball, and as long as the Stafford-Johnson combination is healthy it won’t be such a terrible year. Scores

    Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: Most experts believe that Detroit will be improved in 2010, but by how much? One game, two, three? It would take a 3-win improvement to reach the 5-11 mark. That may be optimistic considering the Lions face the 3rd toughest schedule in the NFL. I’ll pass on this one. Las Vegas Odds

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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    France - Ligue 1NANTES vs. TOULOUSE10:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyALCOYANO vs. ATH BILBAO11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyALAVES vs. ESPANYOL11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyR MADRID vs. CORNELLA11:00 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueBURNLEY vs. NEWCASTLE11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueLEICESTER vs. LIVERPOOL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueMAN UTD vs. STOKE11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueSWANSEA vs. QPR11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierALFRETON vs. GATESHEAD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierCHESTER vs. TELFORD UTD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierDOVER ATH vs. TORQUAY UTD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierEASTLEIGH vs. DARTFORD11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierHALIFAX vs. FOREST GREEN11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierWOKING vs. ALTRINCHAM11:45 AM PST
    England - Conference PremierWREXHAM vs. BRISTOL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueCRYSTAL P vs. A VILLA12:00 PM PST
    England - Premier LeagueWEST BROM vs. WEST HAM12:00 PM PST
    France - Ligue 1MONACO vs. LENS12:00 PM PST
    Italy - Coppa ItaliaHELLAS vs. PERUGIA12:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyU DEP LAS PALMAS vs. CELTA1:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyVALLADOLID vs. ELCHE1:00 PM PST
    12/03/2014
    Greece - Super LeaguePANTHRAKIKOS vs. PLATANIAS05:00 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueAOK KERKYRA vs. PANIONIOS07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueSKODA XANTHI vs. AEL KALLONI07:15 AM PST
    Greece - Super LeagueA ATHINON vs. VEROIA07:15 AM PST
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    Greece - Super LeagueO PIRAEUS vs. P THESSALONIKI09:30 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueM NETANYA vs. M HAIFA09:30 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH TEL AVIV vs. H AKKO09:45 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1BASTIA vs. EVIAN10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1GUINGAMP vs. CAEN10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1METZ vs. G BORDEAUX10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1MONTPELLIER vs. ST ETIENNE10:00 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1NICE vs. S RENNES10:00 AM PST
    Israel - Premier LeagueH BNEI SAKHNIN vs. M TEL AVIV10:55 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyHUESCA vs. BARCELONA11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyL'HOSPITALET vs. ATL MADRID11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyDEP LA CORUNA vs. MALAGA11:00 AM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReySEVILLA vs. SABADELL11:00 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueARSENAL vs. SOUTHAMPTON11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueCHELSEA vs. TOTTENHAM11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueEVERTON vs. HULL11:45 AM PST
    England - Premier LeagueSUNDERLAND vs. MAN CITY11:45 AM PST
    Scotland - PremierCELTIC vs. P THISTLE11:45 AM PST
    France - Ligue 1LILLE vs. PSG12:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND SANTA FE vs. ONCE CALDAS1:00 PM PST
    Colombia - Liga Postobon IIIND MEDELLIN vs. DEP TOLIMA1:00 PM PST
    Spain - Copa del ReyGRANADA vs. CORDOBA1:00 PM PST
    12/06/2014
    UFCF Rivera vs U Faber5:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Samman vs E Gordon5:00 PM PST
    UFCJ Wilson vs C Anderson5:00 PM PST
    UFCR Pennington vs A Evans-Smith5:00 PM PST
    UFCR Lawler vs J Hendricks7:00 PM PST
    UFCG Melendez vs A Pettis7:00 PM PST
    UFCB Schaub vs T Browne7:00 PM PST
    UFCA Hamilton vs T Duffee7:00 PM PST
    UFCA Trujillo vs T Ferguson7:00 PM PST

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