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REST OF AFC NORTH TAKES AIM AT BENGALS IN 2010
Mon, 12 Jul 2010 07:06 PM EDT

The Cincinnati Bengals were AFC North Champions and won 10 games last season despite the fact that they failed to cover all eight of their games as a favorite. When playing as underdogs however, head coach Marvin Lewis’ team was outstanding, going 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS. Being the hunted team now, the Bengals have a whole new set of hurdles to overcome. Can they build off last season’s success, or do they slip back into the clutches of the rest of the division? Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 Cincinnati Bengals. Football Betting Lines

CINCINNATI BENGALS
2009 Record:10-7 (+4.4 ML Units), 7-10 ATS
DIVISION:AFC North
COACH:Marvin Lewis, 8th year (56-57-1 SU, 52-58 ATS)
STADIUM:Paul Brown Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:30 to 1, AFC Title:15 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:18 (#19 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:+0.8 (#16 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 10-7 ~ 21-27 (44%)
ATS: 7-10 ~ 20-28 (42%)
Preseason ATS: 2-2 ~ 6-6 (50%)
Home ATS: 3-6 ~ 11-14 (44%)
Road ATS: 4-4 ~ 9-14 (39%)
Division ATS: 4-2 ~ 8-10 (44%)
Conference ATS: 5-8 ~ 14-23 (38%)
Favorite ATS: 0-8 ~ 5-16 (24%)
Underdog ATS: 7-2 ~ 15-12 (56%)
Over-Under: 8-9 ~ 20-28 (42%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: +0.2 (#17 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +3.1 (#16 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: -0.13 (#21 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: +0.09 (#14 of 32)
Turnover Differential: +0 (#18 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 307.5 (#24 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 304.4 (#4 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 23.06 (1st toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – at New England, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – BALTIMORE, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 – at Cleveland, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – at Atlanta, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 – MIAMI, 1:00 PM
11/8/10 – PITTSBURGH, 8:30 PM
11/14/10 – at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – BUFFALO, 1:00 PM
11/25/10 – at NY Jets, 8:20 PM
12/5/10 – NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – at Pittsburgh, 1:00 PM
12/19/10 – CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – SAN DIEGO, 8:20 PM
1/2/11 – at Baltimore, 1:00 PM NFL Scores

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • CINCINNATI was 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as favorites last season. The Average Score was CINCINNATI 16.8, OPPONENT 16.82010 OUTLOOK
    After suffering 10 losses in 2008, the Bengals cleaned up their act on and off the field and the result was a breakthrough 10-win campaign that brought the AFC North title in tow. Though the playoff loss at home to the Jets was a disappointment, the future is as bright as it’s been during the Marvin Lewis era as after going 6-0 in division play a year ago, followed by a promising offseason, repeat potential is no laughing matter…Much success can be traced to an offense led by a rejuvenated Cedric Benson at RB and a healthy Carson Palmer under center. The passing game ranked just 26th at 180.6 YPG but beginning in late October, Palmer enjoyed a nine-game stretch where he threw for 13 scores and four interceptions. The Bengals invested to make the air attack more potent, drafting TE Jermaine Gresham and WR Jordan Shipley, and signing WR Antonio Bryant. A line largely responsible for 51 sacks against in 2008 improved by leaps and bounds to trim the number to 29…Talented and unlucky are two words that come to mind to describe a stop unit that finally put it all together for Lewis and coordinator Mike Zimmer. It ranked No. 4 overall, allowing 301.4 YPG, and no worse than seventh against the run and pass, and sixth in scoring defense. Imagine what could have happened in January if right end Antwan Odom, LB Rey Maualuga, and tackle Domata Peko didn’t go down with injuries? Needless to say, there is big-time talent back on all levels of the defense for 2010…The Bengals were one of the league’s biggest surprises a year ago and may only get better on defense, making them legitimate contenders to return to the playoffs. Still, history would lead one to believe otherwise, as they’ve long struggled to string together big seasons. Football Lines
  • Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 7.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: It says a lot about what oddsmakers think of a team’s chances when their regular season win prop is under .500 when coming off a season in which they won double-digit games. Considering six of the 10 wins were by a TD or less, I can see where they are coming from. This is an average team in my opinion, and 7 or 8 wins seem likely. Slight lean to UNDER.
  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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