MISSOURI TIGERS (15-2, 1-1)
at TEXAS A&M AGGIES (15-1, 2-0)
Tip-off: Saturday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas A&M -5, Total: 141
Two of the nation’s top 15 teams square off at College Station when No. 12 Missouri takes on No. 13 Texas A&M. The Aggies have won 12 straight games and are seeking their best start to the season since the 1919-20 campaign more than nine decades ago. They are also looking to defeat Missouri for the seventh straight time. Odds.
Missouri boasts one of the top scoring offenses in the nation (85.2 PPG, 5th in D-I) partly due to unselfish play (18.1 APG, 7th in nation). Missouri’s last road trip didn’t turn out so well as it dropped an 89-76 defeat at Colorado last Saturday. The Buffs dominated the glass with a 47-33 rebounding advantage as the Tigers shot 40.6% from the floor. Mizzou bounced back with a 77-69 win versus Nebraska, but its FG Pct. (42.4%) was not much improved. One of the reasons Missouri only has two losses this year is its domination of the turnover battle. The Tigers have had fewer turnovers than their opponents in 10 straight games, and have a +6 TO per game margin. Marcus Denmon leads the Tigers with 17.6 PPG on 51% FG, and is coming off a 27-point effort against Nebraska. Laurence Bowers is second on the team in points (12.2 PPG) and rebounds (6.2 RPG) and has averaged 14.3 PPG and 8.3 RPG in his past three games. Scores.
Texas A&M is always tough at home, having won 12 straight and 28 of its past 29 games at Reed Arena. The Aggies always work hard on the glass too, posting an impressive +12.1 rebounding margin this season. Texas A&M has had no trouble scoring on Missouri with 86.0 PPG in the past four meetings, including a 77-74 win last season. A&M overcame 21 turnovers and outshot Missouri 52% to 42% and outrebounded them 44-26. David Loubeau had 17 points while Khris Middleton added 16 for the Aggies. This season, both players are shooting 50% from the floor with Middleton leading the team with 15.0 PPG and Loubeau second on the squad in both points (11.4 PPG) and rebounds (5.1 RPG). Middleton has been bothered by leg cramps, but he is expected to start on Saturday.
The Aggies have won four straight home games over Mizzou, including a wild 96-86 win when they hosted the Tigers two seasons ago. With Missouri’s cold shooting of late and A&M’s size advantage inside, expect the Aggies to win and cover the spread. The FoxSheets give two more reasons to take Texas A&M.
TEXAS A&M is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS A&M 70.5, OPPONENT 59.9 – (Rating = 4*).
Play On – Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS A&M) – an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more. (81-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +37 units. Rating = 2*).
This five-star FoxSheets coaching trend leans towards the Under. Las Vegas odds.
Mark Turgeon is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus explosive offensive teams – scoring 84+ points/game as the coach of TEXAS A&M. The average score was TEXAS A&M 74.6, OPPONENT 66.7 – (Rating = 4*).