ORLANDO MAGIC (9-3)
at SAN ANTONIO SPURS (11-1)
Tip-off: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: San Antonio -4, Total: 195.5
The Magic are on a four-game win streak as they make their way down to San Antonio. Orlando is coming off a 90-86 win against the Pacers last Saturday. Dwight Howard posted his eighth double-double on the season with a game-high 25 points and 12 boards. Monday night’s matchup will be big in the paint as Howard takes on future Hall-of-Famer Tim Duncan, who is averaging 23.0 PPG and 11.8 RPG in his career against Orlando. With Howard guarding Duncan one-on-one, it will be difficult for the Magic to play tight interior defense while not giving up outside looks to the second-best three-point shooting team in the league (43.0%). Orlando leads the NBA in scoring defense (90.3 PPG) this season and has held 6-of-12 opponents to less than 90 points, including the past three. The Magic will be challenged to make it four straight sub-90 games against the high-scoring Spurs (107.8 PPG). Basketball odds.
Orlando has yet to cover the spread in any of its four road games, despite going 3-1 SU on the road. San Antonio is sitting on a 6-1 SU home record, but is only 4-3 ATS in the AT&T Center.
The veteran Spurs are in the midst of a league-high 10-game win streak. San Antonio is coming off back-to-back wins in Utah and at home against Cleveland on Saturday and won all four games last week by an average margin of 14.5 points. Tony Parker will likely set the pace of the game against point guard Jameer Nelson (injured ankle), which makes the Spurs difficult to defend when they have time to set up the offense. The usually defensive-minded San Antonio team has slowly transitioned to a more offensive-minded team over the past years and averaged triple digits (101.4 PPG) last season for the first time in the Gregg Popovich era. The often forgotten Spurs are quietly dominating the league. Despite being 1-3 (SU and ATS) against Orlando in the past three seasons, red-hot San Antonio looks likely to extend its streak to 11 games Monday night. Basketball spreads.
These FoxSheets stats favor San Antonio to cover the spread:
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.1, OPPONENT 94.3 – (Rating = 1*).
Gregg Popovich is 319-265 ATS (54.6%, +27.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 96.2, OPPONENT 89.2 – (Rating = 1*). Basketball lines.
Despite three of four games in this series having gone Over the total in the past three seasons, this FoxSheets stat favors the Under:
SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 UNDER (+18.5 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 87.6, OPPONENT 86.1 – (Rating = 3*).