As Championship Week progresses, the big boys will be taking center stage, starting with the five-day, 16-team Big East battle royal that commences Tuesday and concludes on Saturday. Let’s take a look at how the Big East stacks up by ATS winning percentage over the past 10 games:
Big East Tournament
Big East ATS Win Pct., Past 10 Games
Notre Dame 7-3
Seton Hall 7-3
St. John’s 7-3
South Florida 6-4
West Virginia 4-6
Despite its improbable loss at West Virginia on Saturday, Louisville enters the tournament winners of five straight ATS. The Cardinals, who have one the four double-byes, await West Virginia, Marquette or Providence, none of whom are above .500 ATS in their past 10 games. Combined, they are just 11-19 (37%) ATS in that span. Odds.
At the bottom of the list is Villanova, which is not only 1-9 in its past 10, but also 1-11 (8%) ATS in its past 12 games. That comes after a run of seven straight ATS wins in January. Villanova faces South Florida on Tuesday. The Wildcats won and covered in their lone meeting with South Florida in January, but the Bulls are a solid 6-4 ATS in their last 10. If Villanova can get past USF, Cincinnati will be waiting. While the Bearcats are 5-5 ATS in their past 10, the five ATS wins are in their past six games (83%). The winner of that matchup on Wednesday will face Notre Dame, another of the double-bye recipients, on Thursday. The Fighting Irish are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games and an even stronger 9-3 ATS in their past 12 (75%).
Seton Hall, Rutgers, St. John’s and Syracuse, all 60% or better ATS in their past 10 games, are clustered together in one section of the bracket, while Connecticut (3-8, 27%), DePaul (0-3-1 ATS in past 4) and Georgetown (5 straight losses ATS) will fight it out for the opportunity to take on top-seeded Pittsburgh (6-4 ATS in past 10). Scores.
Big Ten Tournament
While the Big East could have as many as 11 teams advancing to the NCAA Tournament, the Big Ten figures to send six of its 11 members into the expanded field of 68. The Big Ten Tournament runs from Thursday through Sunday. Here is how the Big Ten schools have fared ATS in their past 10 games:
Penn State 6-4
Ohio State 5-5
Michigan State 4-5-1
Michigan enters the tourney 10-1 ATS in its past 11, but faces Illinois (6-3-1 in past 10) in Friday’s 4 vs. 5 matchup. The winner of that game will likely face top-seeded Ohio State, which is an even 5-5 ATS in its past 10, but is riding a four-game ATS winning streak. The Buckeyes will have a favorable matchup both SU and ATS in their opener, regardless of who wins the 8 vs. 9 game featuring Northwestern and Minnesota. These two disappointing squads are a combined 4-16 (20%) ATS in their past 10 games.
Thursday’s 6 vs. 11 game between Penn State and Indiana offers some value as the Nittany Lions are 5-1 (83%) ATS in their past six contests while the Hoosiers have dropped five straight ATS. Las Vegas odds.
Michigan State, firmly on the bubble, has shown some signs of life of late, going 4-2 ATS in their past six contests after a dreadful nine-game ATS losing streak. The Spartans take on Iowa on Thursday for the right to play Purdue.