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VIKINGS HOPING TO MAKE ANOTHER RUN AT IT
Fri, 23 Jul 2010 02:03 PM EDT

Almost everything about the Minnesota Vikings’ 2009 season was magical, that is except for the nightmarish ending. What had gone so well for Brett Favre & the Vikings turned in an instant on an interception in the NFC title game. While Favre has yet to commit for 2010, most experts believe he is coming back. Still, it might be difficult to recapture the magic that defined his first campaign with the team. Let’s look closer at the prospects of the 2010 Minnesota Vikings as our season previews continue. Sports Scores
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
2009 Record:13-5 (+2 ML Units), 11-6 ATS
DIVISION:NFC North
COACH:Brad Childress, 5th year (37-30 SU, 31-33 ATS)
STADIUM:Metrodome
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:15 to 1, NFC Title:7 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:29 (#3 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:+9.4 (#2 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 13-5 ~ 31-20 (61%)
ATS: 11-6 ~ 24-24 (50%)
Preseason ATS: 3-1 ~ 7-5 (58%)
Home ATS: 6-2 ~ 13-12 (52%)
Road ATS: 5-4 ~ 11-12 (48%)
Division ATS: 4-1 ~ 7-9 (44%)
Conference ATS: 9-4 ~ 18-19 (49%)
Favorite ATS: 9-5 ~ 16-13 (55%)
Underdog ATS: 2-1 ~ 8-8 (50%)
Over-Under: 9-9 ~ 27-24 (53%) NFL Scores

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: +9.9 (#2 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +74.1 (#3 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.56 (#10 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: +2.76 (#7 of 32)
Turnover Differential: +6 (#8 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 379.6 (#6 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 305.5 (#6 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 20.63 (18th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/9/10 – at New Orleans, 8:30 PM
9/19/10 – MIAMI, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – DETROIT, 1:00 PM
10/11/10 – at NY Jets, 8:30 PM
10/17/10 – DALLAS, 4:15 PM
10/24/10 – at Green Bay, 8:20 PM
10/31/10 – at New England, 4:15 PM
11/7/10 – ARIZONA, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – at Chicago, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM
11/28/10 – at Washington, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – BUFFALO, 1:00 PM
12/12/10 – NY GIANTS, 1:00 PM
12/20/10 – CHICAGO, 8:30 PM
12/26/10 – at Philadelphia, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at Detroit, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • MINNESOTA is on a 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) skid vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less PYA The Average Score was MINNESOTA 22.3, OPPONENT 21.42010 OUTLOOK
    Brett Favre and the Vikings caught lightning in a bottle last fall, but missed out on a trip to the Super Bowl when Favre threw a costly late interception in the devastating 31-28 overtime loss at New Orleans. As difficult an ending it was, the road to the conference title game had few bumps and many Hollywood moments. Favre’s offseason ankle surgery suggests he’s coming back for more, and there’s no reason to believe Minnesota isn’t capable of an encore…Only the Saints scored more points than the Vikings, who averaged 29.4 PPG. They ranked fifth in total yards (379.6 per game) as well and picking up where they left off should be no problem. Favre would be coming off what he’s calling the best season of his 19-year career. The air attack features a bona fide star in Sidney Rice, who broke out with 83 receptions, 1,312 yards and eight touchdowns. RB Adrian Peterson is the best in the business but had trouble holding onto the ball for the first time in his career, fumbling nine times. The front line returns intact, and is considered one of the league’s best…Running the ball against the Vikings hasn’t been a good idea since 2006. The stop unit has led the league in rushing defense for three consecutive seasons and ranked No. 2 a year ago. The unit wasn’t too shabby against the pass, either, topping the league in sacks with 48. DE Jared Allen has been a nightmare for opposing offenses in his two years in Minnesota. If there’s any weakness, the secondary could prove porous…The Vikings are seeking a third straight playoff appearance and probably won’t be pleased with anything less than a trip to the Super Bowl. Assuming Favre is a go, they’ve got all the pieces in place and will be playing in January. Football Lines

    YouWager.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 9.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: Assuming Favre comes back, Minnesota is as good as it was last season, that is at least, on paper. A lot of what happened last season was as a result of a wave of momentum. I can’t possibly see it going as well this fall as last. With the league’s most difficult road schedule, this one is going to be tough, but a shaky OVER for me. 10-6.

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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