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WELL-BALANCED RAVENS CAPABLE OF 2010 TITLE RUN
Thu, 08 Jul 2010 07:11 PM EDT

The Baltimore Ravens have won three playoff games in two years under John Harbaugh, including sending the Patriots to their first home playoff loss in the Bill Belichick-era last January. In both seasons, the Ravens reached the postseason as wildcards. Now, with some key roster additions, the sky is the limit for the new favorites in the AFC North. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 Baltimore Ravens. Football Scores

BALTIMORE RAVENS
2009 Record:10-8 (-1.2 ML Units), 9-8 ATS
DIVISION:AFC North
COACH:John Harbaugh, 3rd year (23-14 SU, 23-13 ATS)
STADIUM:M&T Bank Stadium
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:15 to 1, AFC Title:8 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:29 (#3 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:+7.8 (#4 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 10-8 ~ 28-25 (53%)
ATS: 9-8 ~ 26-26 (50%)
Preseason ATS: 3-1 ~ 5-7 (42%)
Home ATS: 5-3 ~ 14-10 (58%)
Road ATS: 4-5 ~ 12-16 (43%)
Division ATS: 2-3 ~ 8-10 (44%)
Conference ATS: 6-7 ~ 19-21 (48%)
Favorite ATS: 6-4 ~ 15-12 (56%)
Underdog ATS: 3-4 ~ 11-14 (44%)
Over-Under: 7-10 ~ 28-23 (55%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: +8.8 (#4 of 32)
Yardage Differential: +51.9 (#8 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.72 (#8 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: +4.26 (#2 of 32)
Turnover Differential: +11 (#4 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 346.3 (#14 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 294.4 (#2 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 20.69 (16th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/13/10 – at NY Jets, 7:00 PM
9/19/10 – at Cincinnati, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 – at Pittsburgh, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – DENVER, 1:00 PM
10/17/10 – at New England, 1:00 PM
10/24/10 – BUFFALO, 1:00 PM
11/7/10 – MIAMI, 1:00 PM
11/14/10 – at Atlanta, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – at Carolina, 1:00 PM
11/28/10 – TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – PITTSBURGH, 8:20 PM
12/13/10 – at Houston, 8:30 PM
12/19/10 – NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – at Cleveland, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • Over the L2 seasons, BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. teams with a losing record. The Average Score was BALTIMORE 31.1, OPPONENT 9.62010 OUTLOOK NFL Lines
    The Ravens seem to have this wild-card thing figured out. While Pittsburgh and Cincinnati finished atop the AFC North in 2008 and ’09, respectively, Baltimore gained entry to the postseason each season and has a combined three victories. Could the Ravens’ 33-14 dismantling of the Patriots in Foxboro last January be a sign of things to come? With unflappable QB Joe Flacco entering his third season, along with head coach John Harbaugh, this team isn’t too far away. The front office made a bold offseason move, acquiring WR Anquan Boldin (Cardinals), to help achieve the goal of reaching the next step…Baltimore’s running game has ranked among the NFL’s best five in consecutive seasons and elusive Ray Rice (1,339 yards, seven touchdowns) and powerful Willis McGahee (544, 12) comprise one of the best 1-2 punches in the business. Flacco, a year after becoming the first NFL rookie signal-caller to win two playoff games, continued progress with 3,613 yards passing, and 21-12 TD-Int ratio. The addition of Boldin helps his cause and allows coordinator Cam Cameron to go deeper in the playbook. The front line is as solid as they come…Ray Lewis & Co. don’t need an introduction, but the front office felt a little reinforcement for a unit, aging in certain spots, couldn’t hurt. Sergio Kindle (2a-Texas) joins a LB corps that already included Lewis, Terrell Suggs and Jarret Johnson, and beefy Terrence Cody (2b-Alabama) will fit right in with Kelly Gregg and Haloti Ngata in the trenches. In the secondary, when Ed Reed’s healthy and doing his thing, it’s hard to find a better safety in the business…While a wild-card spot would be nothing to complain about, the Ravens have bigger goals in mind. As long as the key parts stay healthy, especially on defense, the AFC North is theirs for the taking. Another double-digit win season and more January action looks like a safe bet.Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 10
    StatFox Steve’s Take: As I just indicated earlier, double-digit wins seem like a safe bet for this team. The real key to how this team has gotten to the upper levels of the NFL has been the offense. Baltimore is not a one-trick pony anymore, and has a potent offense to match its intimidating defense. This is a true Super Bowl contender. I see 12-4. OVER. Football Spreads
  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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