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WHICH TITANS’ TEAM SHOWS UP FOR 2010?
Thu, 05 Aug 2010 06:34 PM EDT

The 2009 season was really like two different seasons for the Titans. There was the part where they were 0-6 while allowing 33 PPG, and the other part where they were 8-2 and nearly good enough to reach the postseason. The latter part, behind the leadership of quarterback Vince Young, is what the Tennessee coaching staff is hoping will guide the fortunes in 2010. If so, perhaps a playoff berth is possible this upcoming January. Our 32 NFL teams in 32 days season preview series continues with a look at the 2010 Tennessee Titans. Football Spreads

TENNESSEE TITANS
2009 Record:8-8 (-1.8 ML Units), 6-9 ATS
DIVISION:AFC South
COACH:Jeff Fisher, 16th year (141-116 SU, 132-117 ATS)
STADIUM:LP Field
Odds to win Super Bowl XLV:30 to 1, AFC Title:15 to 1
StatFox Power Rating:20 (#16 of 32)
StatFox Outplay Factor Rating:-2.5 (#21 of 32)

SITUATIONAL RECORDS
Scenario: 2009 ~ 3-YR TOTAL
Straight Up: 8-8 ~ 31-19 (62%)
ATS: 6-9 ~ 26-21 (55%)
Preseason ATS: 2-2 ~ 6-6 (50%)
Home ATS: 3-4 ~ 12-10 (55%)
Road ATS: 3-5 ~ 14-11 (56%)
Division ATS: 2-4 ~ 11-7 (61%)
Conference ATS: 4-8 ~ 19-19 (50%)
Favorite ATS: 3-5 ~ 17-12 (59%)
Underdog ATS: 3-4 ~ 9-9 (50%)
Over-Under: 9-7 ~ 22-27 (45%)

2009 Key Team Stats & NFL Ranks
Scoring Differential: -3 (#21 of 32)
Yardage Differential: -14.2 (#21 of 32)
Yards Per Play Differential: +0.05 (#16 of 32)
Yards Per Point Differential: -1.33 (#23 of 32)
Turnover Differential: -4 (#21 of 32)
Total Offense (Yards Per Game): 351.4 (#13 of 32)
Total Defense (Yards Per Game): 365.6 (#27 of 32)

2010 SCHEDULE: Strength – 21.06 (11th toughest of 32)
DATE – OPPONENT, TIME
9/12/10 – OAKLAND, 1:00 PM
9/19/10 – PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM
9/26/10 – at NY Giants, 1:00 PM
10/3/10 – DENVER, 1:00 PM
10/10/10 – at Dallas, 4:15 PM
10/18/10 – at Jacksonville, 8:30 PM
10/24/10 – PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM
10/31/10 – at San Diego, 4:05 PM
11/14/10 – at Miami, 1:00 PM
11/21/10 – WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM
11/28/10 – at Houston, 1:00 PM
12/5/10 – JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM
12/9/10 – INDIANAPOLIS, 8:20 PM
12/19/10 – HOUSTON, 1:00 PM
12/26/10 – at Kansas City, 1:00 PM
1/2/11 – at Indianapolis, 1:00 PM

Sample StatFox Power Trend for 2010

  • TENNESSEE is on a 26-9 OVER the total (+16.1 Units) run vs. poor defensive teams – allowing >=350 YPG The Average Score was TENNESSEE 26.4, OPPONENT 23.92010 OUTLOOK
    Tennessee followed up its AFC South title with a 0-6 start to the 2009 campaign that included a 59-0 drubbing at New England. Thankfully, Titans returned from the bye week with Vince Young starting at QB and went on to win seven of eight games. It wasn’t enough to get Tennessee to the postseason, so Jeff Fisher will need to regroup and figure out how to complement the best RB in the game and improve a defensive unit that took a huge step back…There was no sophomore jinx for RB Chris Johnson, who finished with 2,006 yards and 14 touchdowns. Johnson’s success led to the Titans letting crutch Lendale White go. Young will begin the season as the starter and while he’ll never post eye-popping passing statistics, his scrambling ability and elusiveness make him a threat every time he touches the ball. Plus, the Titans’ receiving corps is average at best, with Nate Washington and Kenny Britt the starters at receiver and Bo Scaife, the tight end. Young and Johnson are able to be creative because they play behind one of the better lines in the league…Chuck Cecil took over the reins as defensive coordinator last season, and the results were far from positive. The Titans were miserable against the pass and not much better against the run. Tennessee picked DE Derrick Morgan (1-Georgia Tech) in the draft and he could start right away considering Kyle Vanden Bosch left as a free agent. Outside LB Keith Bulluck remained unsigned as of press time. The Titans allowed an AFC-high 258.7 YPG through the air, so the secondary needs to step up…Which Titans team will show up in 2010? The 0-6 club that started ‘09 or that which looked like a defending division titlist at the end? It’s the season’s biggest question in the AFC South. Football Odds

    Sportsbook.com Regular Season Wins Prop: Over/Under 8.5
    StatFox Steve’s Take: This is a tough one for me, because I believe that Vince Young’s success a year ago was due to the change of pace he presented after replacing Kerry Collins and because teams were taking the Titans’ lightly after the 0-6 start. A full 16-game slate will be the real test. While I don’t like to bet against Jeff Fisher a whole lot, this team looks like about a .500 club to me. Pass. NFL Lines

  • For a more complete look at the 2010 college and pro football seasons, pick up your copy of our annual football magazine, the StatFox Edge, a 160-page Ultimate Handicapping Resource!

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