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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ALABAMA | | | | FLORIDA | -20 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-14 | 41-43 | 209-219 | 3-12 | 33-41 | 144-153 | 19-9 | 65-33 | 313-202 | | in all lined games | 10-14 | 41-43 | 209-219 | 3-12 | 33-41 | 144-153 | 16-8 | 54-32 | 245-194 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 1-1 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 2-0 | 7-0 | 7-0 | | as an underdog | 3-3 | 10-14 | 88-87 | 1-4 | 12-10 | 62-64 | 1-5 | 5-20 | 53-131 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-13 | | as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | in road games | 5-5 | 14-16 | 66-84 | 1-4 | 14-12 | 51-53 | 4-6 | 12-19 | 49-114 | | in road lined games | 5-5 | 14-16 | 66-84 | 1-4 | 14-12 | 51-53 | 4-6 | 12-19 | 44-112 | | in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less | 1-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | | against conference opponents | 6-9 | 26-24 | 141-130 | 2-7 | 21-23 | 89-98 | 11-4 | 34-17 | 144-138 | | in March games | 0-0 | 6-6 | 40-32 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 36-38 | | on Saturday games | 4-6 | 14-19 | 79-92 | 1-5 | 13-17 | 59-60 | 6-5 | 19-17 | 110-84 | | after a conference game | 6-8 | 25-23 | 139-128 | 1-7 | 19-24 | 91-98 | 11-3 | 34-17 | 145-136 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-5 | 18-14 | 74-63 | 0-4 | 12-15 | 42-51 | 7-3 | 22-11 | 73-69 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 7-9 | 26-28 | 63-79 | 1-8 | 23-22 | 48-51 | 12-6 | 39-21 | 98-65 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-10 | 31-30 | 167-162 | 2-11 | 26-31 | 114-117 | 9-7 | 39-27 | 185-173 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-4 | 20-16 | 115-93 | 0-6 | 16-19 | 80-78 | 5-2 | 21-16 | 104-114 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 4-1 | 8-6 | 42-33 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 28-31 | 4-1 | 7-7 | 35-43 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 6-5 | 13-16 | 72-72 | 1-7 | 11-14 | 50-53 | 6-6 | 13-17 | 76-79 |
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| in all games | 14-10 | 47-41 | 248-204 | 7-10 | 46-35 | 175-171 | 22-5 | 77-24 | 395-146 | | in all lined games | 14-10 | 47-41 | 248-204 | 7-10 | 46-35 | 175-171 | 19-5 | 66-23 | 312-145 | | when the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | as a favorite | 14-10 | 36-37 | 195-164 | 7-10 | 37-28 | 136-134 | 19-5 | 58-15 | 277-84 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 3-4 | 6-11 | 47-40 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 26-27 | 7-0 | 17-0 | 82-5 | | as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-2 | 2-4 | 15-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8-7 | 2-0 | 6-0 | 24-1 | | in all home games | 6-4 | 17-19 | 105-85 | 3-4 | 17-15 | 63-72 | 13-0 | 41-5 | 231-35 | | in home lined games | 6-4 | 17-19 | 105-85 | 3-4 | 17-15 | 63-72 | 10-0 | 32-4 | 157-34 | | in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | | against conference opponents | 9-6 | 26-25 | 150-134 | 4-7 | 26-22 | 110-106 | 12-3 | 38-14 | 188-100 | | in March games | 0-0 | 11-5 | 53-42 | 0-0 | 11-5 | 45-46 | 0-0 | 11-5 | 62-36 | | on Saturday games | 4-6 | 17-16 | 85-79 | 4-4 | 21-11 | 69-56 | 8-2 | 23-11 | 120-55 | | after a conference game | 8-6 | 27-23 | 150-132 | 4-7 | 26-22 | 109-112 | 11-3 | 38-13 | 187-100 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 0-2 | 5-8 | 48-49 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 35-37 | 2-0 | 10-3 | 62-37 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-2 | 3-5 | 20-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11-13 | 2-0 | 7-3 | 29-11 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 2-0 | 4-3 | 22-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10-16 | 2-0 | 5-2 | 28-8 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-9 | 39-31 | 204-172 | 4-10 | 36-31 | 146-157 | 14-5 | 55-20 | 261-133 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-5 | 24-18 | 132-108 | 2-5 | 23-19 | 94-114 | 5-3 | 31-12 | 155-90 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 3-1 | 10-6 | 45-36 | 0-3 | 8-7 | 32-41 | 3-1 | 11-5 | 53-28 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-5 | 18-15 | 79-67 | 1-5 | 15-14 | 57-59 | 8-3 | 25-10 | 102-49 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-1 | 5-4 | 6-6 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 3-0 | 8-1 | 12-1 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 3-1 | 7-5 | 11-9 | 2-0 | 7-3 | 7-4 | 6-0 | 15-1 | 41-1 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 19-9 | +0.9 | 10-14 | 3-12 | 63.4 | 28.9 | 43.0% | 32.6 | 58.2 | 26.1 | 40.3% | 33.9 | | Road Games | 6-6 | -0.6 | 7-5 | 1-6 | 62.7 | 29.2 | 44.2% | 31.3 | 61.3 | 27.4 | 41.7% | 33.1 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 67.8 | 30.0 | 42.3% | 34.8 | 59.8 | 22.6 | 39.4% | 37.2 | | Conference Games | 11-4 | +5.9 | 6-9 | 2-7 | 61.7 | 27.1 | 41.5% | 32.2 | 57.7 | 24.6 | 41.5% | 34.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 63.4 | 28.9 | 23-52 | 43.0% | 5-17 | 32.4% | 13-19 | 69.0% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 30.6 | 24-55 | 42.6% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 13-19 | 68.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 62.7 | 29.2 | 23-52 | 44.2% | 6-16 | 36.8% | 11-16 | 69.0% | 31 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.2 | 26.1 | 21-52 | 40.3% | 5-16 | 30.5% | 11-16 | 69.2% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 31.5 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 61.3 | 27.4 | 21-51 | 41.7% | 5-16 | 32.3% | 14-20 | 69.9% | 33 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 22-5 | -11.4 | 14-10 | 7-10 | 73.1 | 35.0 | 49.0% | 35.1 | 53.5 | 24.0 | 37.5% | 29.7 | | Home Games | 13-0 | +4 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 76.5 | 38.0 | 50.1% | 36.8 | 49.9 | 21.7 | 36.0% | 28.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -4.6 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 68.2 | 35.6 | 47.1% | 30.8 | 57.0 | 27.2 | 39.7% | 36.6 | | Conference Games | 12-3 | -7.6 | 9-6 | 4-7 | 72.9 | 34.4 | 49.5% | 34.1 | 54.1 | 24.3 | 38.1% | 31.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 73.1 | 35.0 | 27-55 | 49.0% | 9-23 | 38.4% | 11-16 | 68.0% | 35 | 9 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.9 | 29.9 | 23-55 | 41.8% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 67.8% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.5 | 38.0 | 28-56 | 50.1% | 9-23 | 38.9% | 11-16 | 70.8% | 37 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 53.5 | 24.0 | 19-51 | 37.5% | 5-17 | 30.0% | 10-15 | 67.4% | 30 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 68 | 31.7 | 24-55 | 43.6% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 49.9 | 21.7 | 18-51 | 36.0% | 5-17 | 28.1% | 9-13 | 64.9% | 29 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ALABAMA 75.4, FLORIDA 76.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| FLORIDA is 10-9 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1997 | | FLORIDA is 16-4 straight up against ALABAMA since 1997 | | 10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| FLORIDA is 4-3 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1997 | | FLORIDA is 7-0 straight up against ALABAMA since 1997 | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/9/2012 | ALABAMA | 63 | 128 | ATS | 24 | 24-45 | 53.3% | 3-8 | 37.5% | 12-16 | 75.0% | 32 | 5 | 11 | | N | FLORIDA | 66 | -3.5 | SU Over | 26 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 10-30 | 33.3% | 16-19 | 84.2% | 27 | 8 | 5 | 2/14/2012 | FLORIDA | 61 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 26 | 21-52 | 40.4% | 6-21 | 28.6% | 13-16 | 81.2% | 32 | 9 | 13 | | | ALABAMA | 52 | 132 | Under | 26 | 18-45 | 40.0% | 4-16 | 25.0% | 12-24 | 50.0% | 34 | 8 | 18 | 3/1/2011 | ALABAMA | 51 | 125.5 | Over | 30 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 1-8 | 12.5% | 8-9 | 88.9% | 29 | 11 | 15 | | | FLORIDA | 78 | -6 | SU ATS | 30 | 29-56 | 51.8% | 8-21 | 38.1% | 12-20 | 60.0% | 36 | 12 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (167-165) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (189-174) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 52.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-35) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (132-126) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.4% of the time since 1997. (132-172) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-34) | |
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| [C] 01/07/2013 - Carl Engstrom out for season ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 03/01/2013 - Casey Prather injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Head ) | | [G] 03/01/2013 - Michael Frazier II missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Concussion ) | | [F] 03/01/2013 - Will Yeguete is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Knee ) |
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