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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
ALABAMA (19-9) AT FLORIDA (22-5) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
517: ALABAMA
518: FLORIDA
119.5
-15.5
63.4 / 58.2
73.1 / 53.5
19-9
22-5
10-14
14-10
3-12
7-10
43.0
49.0
69.0
68.0
32.4
38.4
40.3
37.5
69.2
67.4
30.5
30.0
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ALABAMA  
FLORIDA-20
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ALABAMA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1441-43209-2193-1233-41144-15319-965-33313-202
in all lined games10-1441-43209-2193-1233-41144-15316-854-32245-194
when the total is 119.5 or less1-14-34-30-24-34-32-07-07-0
as an underdog3-310-1488-871-412-1062-641-55-2053-131
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-00-010-40-00-01-50-00-01-13
as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
in road games5-514-1666-841-414-1251-534-612-1949-114
in road lined games5-514-1666-841-414-1251-534-612-1944-112
in a road game where the total is 119.5 or less1-03-03-00-12-12-11-03-03-0
against conference opponents6-926-24141-1302-721-2389-9811-434-17144-138
in March games0-06-640-320-07-636-290-07-636-38
on Saturday games4-614-1979-921-513-1759-606-519-17110-84
after a conference game6-825-23139-1281-719-2491-9811-334-17145-136
off a win against a conference rival5-518-1474-630-412-1542-517-322-1173-69
after allowing 60 points or less7-926-2863-791-823-2248-5112-639-2198-65
when playing against a team with a winning record6-1031-30167-1622-1126-31114-1179-739-27185-173
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-420-16115-930-616-1980-785-221-16104-114
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-18-642-330-45-728-314-17-735-43
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game6-513-1672-721-711-1450-536-613-1776-79

FLORIDA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1047-41248-2047-1046-35175-17122-577-24395-146
in all lined games14-1047-41248-2047-1046-35175-17119-566-23312-145
when the total is 119.5 or less0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
as a favorite14-1036-37195-1647-1037-28136-13419-558-15277-84
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points3-46-1147-402-26-726-277-017-082-5
as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points0-22-415-101-12-48-72-06-024-1
in all home games6-417-19105-853-417-1563-7213-041-5231-35
in home lined games6-417-19105-853-417-1563-7210-032-4157-34
in a home game where the total is 119.5 or less0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
against conference opponents9-626-25150-1344-726-22110-10612-338-14188-100
in March games0-011-553-420-011-545-460-011-562-36
on Saturday games4-617-1685-794-421-1169-568-223-11120-55
after a conference game8-627-23150-1324-726-22109-11211-338-13187-100
off a loss against a conference rival0-25-848-491-16-735-372-010-362-37
after scoring 60 points or less0-23-520-130-13-411-132-07-329-11
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games2-04-322-101-13-410-162-05-228-8
when playing against a team with a winning record9-939-31204-1724-1036-31146-15714-555-20261-133
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-524-18132-1082-523-1994-1145-331-12155-90
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-110-645-360-38-732-413-111-553-28
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game5-518-1579-671-515-1457-598-325-10102-49
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-15-46-62-05-35-43-08-112-1
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game3-17-511-92-07-37-46-015-141-1
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ALABAMA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-9+0.910-143-1263.428.943.0%32.658.226.140.3%33.9
Road Games6-6-0.67-51-662.729.244.2%31.361.327.441.7%33.1
Last 5 Games4-1+22-30-267.830.042.3%34.859.822.639.4%37.2
Conference Games11-4+5.96-92-761.727.141.5%32.257.724.641.5%34.3
ALABAMA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.428.923-5243.0%5-1732.4%13-1969.0%33911179135
vs opponents surrendering66.530.624-5542.6%6-1833.9%13-1968.3%34913187144
Team Stats (Road Games)62.729.223-5244.2%6-1636.8%11-1669.0%31710209133
Stats Against (All Games)58.226.121-5240.3%5-1630.5%11-1669.2%34910176154
vs opponents averaging67.531.524-5642.7%6-1833.4%14-2068.5%361013187144
Stats Against (Road Games)61.327.421-5141.7%5-1632.3%14-2069.9%33911157144

FLORIDA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games22-5-11.414-107-1073.135.049.0%35.153.524.037.5%29.7
Home Games13-0+46-43-476.538.050.1%36.849.921.736.0%28.9
Last 5 Games3-2-4.62-30-468.235.647.1%30.857.027.239.7%36.6
Conference Games12-3-7.69-64-772.934.449.5%34.154.124.338.1%31.3
FLORIDA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)73.135.027-5549.0%9-2338.4%11-1668.0%35916148113
vs opponents surrendering64.929.923-5541.8%6-1833.1%13-1967.8%34912187144
Team Stats (Home Games)76.538.028-5650.1%9-2338.9%11-1670.8%371017138115
Stats Against (All Games)53.524.019-5137.5%5-1730.0%10-1567.4%30810156152
vs opponents averaging6831.724-5543.6%6-1833.5%14-2168.4%361013187144
Stats Against (Home Games)49.921.718-5136.0%5-1728.1%9-1364.9%2979156162
Average power rating of opponents played: ALABAMA 75.4,  FLORIDA 76.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA is 10-9 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1997
FLORIDA is 16-4 straight up against ALABAMA since 1997
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 4-3 against the spread versus ALABAMA since 1997
FLORIDA is 7-0 straight up against ALABAMA since 1997
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/9/2012ALABAMA63128 ATS2424-4553.3%3-837.5%12-1675.0%32511
NFLORIDA66-3.5SU Over2620-5238.5%10-3033.3%16-1984.2%2785
2/14/2012FLORIDA61-2.5SU ATS2621-5240.4%6-2128.6%13-1681.2%32913
 ALABAMA52132 Under2618-4540.0%4-1625.0%12-2450.0%34818
3/1/2011ALABAMA51125.5 Over3021-5438.9%1-812.5%8-988.9%291115
 FLORIDA78-6SU ATS3029-5651.8%8-2138.1%12-2060.0%36128
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ALABAMA in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 50.3% of the time since 1997. (167-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ALABAMA games 54.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (35-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (189-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA games 52.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-35)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (132-126)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ALABAMA games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 43.4% of the time since 1997. (132-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ALABAMA
[C] 01/07/2013 - Carl Engstrom out for season ( Knee )
FLORIDA
[G] 03/01/2013 - Casey Prather injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Head )
[G] 03/01/2013 - Michael Frazier II missed last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Concussion )
[F] 03/01/2013 - Will Yeguete is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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