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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 3:00 PM
ARIZONA ST (20-9) AT USC (13-15) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
571: ARIZONA ST
572: USC
136.5
-2.5
71.2 / 65.8
66.8 / 67.8
20-9
13-15
14-10
11-13
1-5
10-7
45.7
43.3
62.1
69.2
33.9
35.4
40.6
41.9
72.6
67.7
33.6
34.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARIZONA ST  
USC-5 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARIZONA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1034-48205-2251-525-36130-14720-942-49255-239
in all lined games14-1034-48205-2251-525-36130-14715-934-48203-234
when the total is 130 to 139.51-49-1337-501-49-1342-461-48-1440-48
as an underdog7-321-2498-1041-318-2065-795-512-3347-160
as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-11-113-151-01-19-80-11-112-17
in road games6-213-1780-831-111-1247-594-48-2255-117
in road lined games6-213-1780-831-111-1247-594-48-2252-116
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-00-03-60-00-04-60-00-03-7
against conference opponents9-725-29148-1451-518-2592-1039-719-35118-180
in March games0-03-224-300-04-131-170-03-223-34
on Saturday games6-516-1783-791-512-1546-578-518-1994-87
after a conference game9-625-27145-1431-516-2593-1039-721-32122-175
off a loss against a conference rival3-317-1587-840-210-1752-673-312-2066-106
when playing against a team with a losing record3-27-944-450-07-425-237-113-687-30
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-14-327-200-02-212-142-14-330-18

USC - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1335-50229-23310-733-44150-16413-1538-56263-235
in all lined games11-1335-50229-23310-733-44150-16412-1535-56241-232
when the total is 130 to 139.53-212-653-313-38-1142-422-411-852-35
as a favorite4-615-23109-1282-313-1972-777-424-18171-74
as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick1-12-416-171-13-313-131-12-417-17
in all home games6-715-2699-1184-213-2071-689-625-23160-85
in home lined games6-715-2699-1184-213-2071-688-622-23142-83
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.51-03-012-40-10-38-101-03-015-3
against conference opponents8-520-30152-1455-521-28112-1068-720-34140-164
in March games0-02-641-250-02-628-270-02-634-33
on Saturday games2-59-2086-842-19-1655-553-410-2096-81
after a conference game7-518-30147-1474-520-27110-1058-721-33140-163
revenging a road loss vs opponent3-56-1852-563-110-1239-463-59-1753-58
off a win against a conference rival3-28-967-653-27-1051-533-48-1167-69
after scoring 80 points or more1-13-358-640-10-431-371-12-464-63
when playing against a team with a winning record10-1128-33162-1539-723-33114-11810-1324-41151-181
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games6-414-1798-893-413-1583-646-512-2082-108
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARIZONA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-9+614-101-571.234.645.7%36.665.832.140.6%36.2
Road Games5-5+47-31-171.734.546.2%34.570.335.642.5%36.4
Last 5 Games2-3-13-20-264.030.844.3%32.865.229.242.0%35.0
Conference Games9-7+3.39-71-567.932.244.5%35.466.832.042.2%35.6
ARIZONA ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.234.626-5645.7%7-2133.9%12-2062.1%37814157126
vs opponents surrendering67.231.324-5642.6%6-1933.9%13-1968.2%35913177144
Team Stats (Road Games)71.734.527-5846.2%8-2337.3%9-1756.0%34712176114
Stats Against (All Games)65.832.124-6040.6%6-1933.6%11-1572.6%36913197133
vs opponents averaging68.532.225-5743.3%6-1833.7%14-2069.5%351013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)70.335.625-5842.5%6-1831.3%15-1977.3%36912176123

USC - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-15-0.611-1310-766.831.143.3%35.567.733.341.9%34.7
Home Games9-6-1.66-74-268.131.944.1%36.764.532.139.1%34.1
Last 5 Games3-2+4.73-11-370.435.044.7%35.070.632.644.3%34.8
Conference Games8-7+9.18-55-570.433.044.6%36.171.634.142.9%35.3
USC Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.831.125-5743.3%5-1535.4%12-1769.2%35913196145
vs opponents surrendering64.93023-5641.1%6-1833.2%12-1868.8%34912186133
Team Stats (Home Games)68.131.925-5744.1%5-1534.9%13-1967.8%37914196146
Stats Against (All Games)67.733.323-5641.9%6-1834.9%15-2267.7%35913168123
vs opponents averaging68.532.224-5643.6%6-1833.4%14-2069.4%361013177134
Stats Against (Home Games)64.532.122-5639.1%6-1835.0%15-2267.5%34812178132
Average power rating of opponents played: ARIZONA ST 71.1,  USC 77
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
USC is 18-15 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST since 1997
USC is 21-12 straight up against ARIZONA ST since 1997
12 of 21 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 3-2 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at USC since 1997
USC is 10-6 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST since 1997
USC is 13-3 straight up against ARIZONA ST since 1997
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at USC over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/24/2013USC93  4235-7149.3%15-2853.6%8-1361.5%381012
 ARIZONA ST98-4SU ATS4232-6350.8%9-2339.1%25-3669.4%401210
2/25/2012USC52113.5 Under2619-4839.6%6-2128.6%8-1266.7%2027
 ARIZONA ST56-3SU ATS3118-3946.2%5-1050.0%15-2171.4%36515
1/5/2012ARIZONA ST62107.5SU ATS3422-3661.1%7-1353.8%11-1668.7%28418
 USC53-9.5 Over2421-5538.2%3-1127.3%8-1266.7%23106
2/26/2011ARIZONA ST46121.5 Under1815-4930.6%3-1421.4%13-1872.2%32118
 USC62-10.5SU ATS3820-4742.6%7-2330.4%15-2462.5%3597
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARIZONA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA ST games 42.7% of the time since 1997. (149-200)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARIZONA ST games 38.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 45.6% of the time since 1997. (169-202)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in USC games 42.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-43)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA ST games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (117-126)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARIZONA ST games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 53.9% of the time since 1997. (146-125)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in USC games 52.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-34)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
ARIZONA ST
[G] 12/08/2012 - Calaen Robinson out for season ( Undisclosed )
USC
[F] 02/11/2013 - Ari Stewart expected to miss 3 weeks. ( Thumb )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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