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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK | | | | ARKANSAS ST | -9 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-11 | 47-36 | 186-194 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 15-10 | 49-43 | 246-224 | | in all lined games | 12-11 | 47-36 | 186-194 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 13-10 | 42-42 | 182-209 | | as an underdog | 6-7 | 30-20 | 107-109 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 54-58 | 5-8 | 19-32 | 61-159 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-18 | | in road games | 3-7 | 18-18 | 94-92 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 3-7 | 12-25 | 69-133 | | in road lined games | 3-7 | 18-18 | 94-92 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 3-7 | 12-24 | 62-126 | | against conference opponents | 7-7 | 29-22 | 130-131 | 0-0 | 23-13 | 78-67 | 9-5 | 32-19 | 136-135 | | in February games | 1-1 | 9-7 | 55-49 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 30-28 | 1-1 | 9-7 | 56-58 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-2 | 2-5 | 16-26 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 16-10 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 26-27 | | after a conference game | 8-5 | 30-19 | 118-129 | 0-0 | 21-14 | 71-69 | 10-4 | 31-20 | 133-137 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-4 | 17-12 | 57-68 | 0-0 | 14-8 | 41-37 | 5-3 | 18-13 | 64-71 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-4 | 13-13 | 59-52 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 38-27 | 6-3 | 15-14 | 87-56 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-6 | 25-16 | 93-97 | 0-0 | 17-11 | 51-50 | 7-6 | 22-23 | 77-131 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-2 | 11-6 | 49-47 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 22-27 | 3-2 | 10-8 | 41-60 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-1 | 3-1 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12-13 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-2 | 14-4 | 37-27 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 17-15 | 3-3 | 7-12 | 25-45 |
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| in all games | 10-11 | 35-38 | 193-190 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 15-9 | 46-44 | 241-235 | | in all lined games | 10-11 | 35-38 | 193-190 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 12-9 | 35-41 | 178-212 | | as a favorite | 6-8 | 18-18 | 88-88 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 9-5 | 28-9 | 125-54 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-2 | 2-5 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 6-1 | 20-5 | | in all home games | 7-4 | 18-13 | 83-72 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 11-2 | 34-7 | 156-59 | | in home lined games | 7-4 | 18-13 | 83-72 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 43-38 | 9-2 | 24-7 | 107-51 | | against conference opponents | 8-7 | 25-25 | 134-132 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 9-6 | 28-23 | 136-136 | | in February games | 1-2 | 10-6 | 51-58 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 32-26 | 2-1 | 10-8 | 51-64 | | after a conference game | 8-7 | 24-22 | 123-126 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 9-6 | 26-25 | 134-137 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-4 | 12-12 | 58-65 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 5-3 | 14-13 | 67-67 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-4 | 15-7 | 50-41 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 27-20 | 4-3 | 14-9 | 53-54 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-2 | 18-14 | 101-94 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 6-3 | 13-22 | 70-138 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 8-6 | 52-53 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 34-22 | 2-1 | 7-8 | 40-69 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-10 | +8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 67.4 | 31.4 | 43.1% | 34.4 | 65.4 | 32.2 | 41.7% | 35.0 | | Road Games | 4-8 | +1.1 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 60.4 | 27.7 | 39.4% | 33.0 | 71.2 | 34.1 | 45.0% | 35.7 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 64.4 | 27.6 | 41.8% | 34.2 | 60.6 | 29.0 | 40.4% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 9-5 | +5.8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 67.1 | 30.6 | 43.0% | 33.8 | 65.6 | 32.1 | 43.0% | 33.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.4 | 31.4 | 23-54 | 43.1% | 5-15 | 35.6% | 15-23 | 67.2% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.1 | 32 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-21 | 68.0% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.4 | 27.7 | 21-54 | 39.4% | 5-15 | 33.9% | 12-20 | 62.2% | 33 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.4 | 32.2 | 22-54 | 41.7% | 6-19 | 32.6% | 14-22 | 67.2% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.9 | 30.7 | 23-56 | 41.2% | 6-18 | 32.0% | 14-20 | 68.6% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.2 | 34.1 | 24-54 | 45.0% | 6-18 | 35.6% | 16-24 | 67.4% | 36 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
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| All Games | 15-9 | -8.6 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 68.8 | 30.3 | 40.5% | 37.1 | 62.7 | 28.6 | 41.8% | 36.0 | | Home Games | 11-2 | +0.7 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 71.7 | 31.5 | 41.9% | 38.2 | 57.7 | 27.1 | 39.8% | 33.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 67.8 | 28.8 | 38.7% | 37.2 | 57.6 | 28.4 | 38.8% | 35.8 | | Conference Games | 9-6 | -7.6 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 67.1 | 29.1 | 39.1% | 37.8 | 61.7 | 28.7 | 41.2% | 35.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.8 | 30.3 | 23-57 | 40.5% | 6-20 | 31.4% | 16-24 | 66.3% | 37 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.2 | 32.5 | 24-56 | 43.7% | 6-18 | 34.1% | 14-21 | 67.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 71.7 | 31.5 | 24-58 | 41.9% | 6-21 | 29.8% | 17-25 | 66.0% | 38 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.7 | 28.6 | 23-54 | 41.8% | 6-17 | 32.4% | 12-18 | 66.1% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 57.7 | 27.1 | 21-52 | 39.8% | 5-16 | 29.5% | 11-18 | 63.9% | 34 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARK-LITTLE ROCK 67.8, ARKANSAS ST 68 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 18-13 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 18-15 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | 11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 7-7 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 10-5 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/25/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 60 | 125 | ATS | 30 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 31 | 8 | 11 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 62 | -4 | SU Under | 24 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 29 | 9 | 11 | 1/14/2012 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 63 | 118.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 32 | 9 | 11 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 62 | -3.5 | Over | 36 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 41 | 15 | 11 | 3/6/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 59 | 128.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 2-8 | 25.0% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 33 | 4 | 9 | | N | ARKANSAS ST | 52 | -4 | Under | 29 | 17-51 | 33.3% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 39 | 7 | 11 | 2/26/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 63 | 131.5 | Over | 40 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 27 | 6 | 11 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 71 | -7 | SU ATS | 35 | 17-41 | 41.5% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 33-44 | 75.0% | 41 | 10 | 15 | 1/29/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 75 | 132.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 26-48 | 54.2% | 7-15 | 46.7% | 16-20 | 80.0% | 41 | 9 | 18 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 64 | -3 | Over | 22 | 20-58 | 34.5% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 19-23 | 82.6% | 23 | 10 | 8 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 50.6% of the time since 1997. (159-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (163-147) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 54% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-29) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 02/07/2013 - Taggart Lockhart "?" Thursday vs. Arkansas State ( Concussion ) | | [G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed ) | | [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) |
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