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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK | | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | -12 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-8 | 44-33 | 183-191 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 11-8 | 45-41 | 242-222 | | in all lined games | 9-8 | 44-33 | 183-191 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 9-8 | 38-40 | 178-207 | | as an underdog | 4-6 | 28-19 | 105-108 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 54-58 | 3-7 | 17-31 | 59-158 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points | 0-0 | 3-1 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2-14 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-2 | 4-4 | 20-19 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 2-37 | | in road games | 0-6 | 15-17 | 91-91 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 0-6 | 9-24 | 66-132 | | in road lined games | 0-6 | 15-17 | 91-91 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 46-52 | 0-6 | 9-23 | 59-125 | | against conference opponents | 4-4 | 26-19 | 127-128 | 0-0 | 23-13 | 78-67 | 5-3 | 28-17 | 132-133 | | in January games | 3-1 | 12-8 | 60-58 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 34-28 | 3-1 | 12-8 | 66-62 | | after a conference game | 5-2 | 27-16 | 115-126 | 0-0 | 21-14 | 71-69 | 6-2 | 27-18 | 129-135 | | off a win against a conference rival | 2-1 | 16-9 | 56-65 | 0-0 | 14-8 | 41-37 | 3-1 | 16-11 | 62-69 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 0-2 | 3-4 | 28-35 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 35-42 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-4 | 24-14 | 92-95 | 0-0 | 17-11 | 51-50 | 6-4 | 21-21 | 76-129 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-0 | 10-4 | 48-45 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 22-27 | 2-0 | 9-6 | 40-58 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 3-0 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 12-12 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 3-1 | 14-3 | 37-26 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 17-15 | 3-2 | 7-11 | 25-44 |
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| in all games | 6-9 | 38-34 | 175-165 | 1-1 | 28-29 | 93-114 | 14-4 | 57-27 | 259-215 | | in all lined games | 6-9 | 38-34 | 175-165 | 1-1 | 28-29 | 93-114 | 11-4 | 50-25 | 180-169 | | as a favorite | 5-6 | 26-24 | 85-87 | 1-1 | 19-21 | 59-61 | 10-1 | 42-11 | 126-51 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points | 3-0 | 4-3 | 8-10 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 4-7 | 3-0 | 7-0 | 13-5 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 4-1 | 6-7 | 11-17 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 7-9 | 5-0 | 13-0 | 24-5 | | in all home games | 4-2 | 19-14 | 74-73 | 1-0 | 14-11 | 42-47 | 8-0 | 33-6 | 157-66 | | in home lined games | 4-2 | 19-14 | 74-73 | 1-0 | 14-11 | 42-47 | 6-0 | 28-6 | 98-52 | | against conference opponents | 3-4 | 20-20 | 115-103 | 1-0 | 16-20 | 66-78 | 6-1 | 31-11 | 157-109 | | in January games | 0-4 | 10-9 | 60-53 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 25-42 | 3-1 | 15-6 | 81-62 | | after a conference game | 1-5 | 20-18 | 107-98 | 1-0 | 16-18 | 64-73 | 4-2 | 28-13 | 154-111 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-4 | 14-14 | 63-61 | 1-0 | 12-14 | 36-50 | 3-2 | 21-9 | 78-56 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-6 | 17-15 | 54-63 | 1-1 | 11-14 | 29-47 | 7-3 | 23-11 | 81-61 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 1-2 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 9-7 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 17-17 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-7 | 13-16 | 88-84 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 38-56 | 5-4 | 17-15 | 81-130 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 5-5 | 46-45 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 24-32 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 42-61 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 11-8 | +4.2 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 69.1 | 33.2 | 43.8% | 35.0 | 65.7 | 32.9 | 41.3% | 35.5 | | Road Games | 1-7 | -3.4 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 60.5 | 27.9 | 37.9% | 34.4 | 75.2 | 37.4 | 46.5% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 72.8 | 36.6 | 46.6% | 32.2 | 68.4 | 33.8 | 44.2% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 5-3 | +1.9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 70.9 | 34.1 | 44.6% | 34.6 | 66.6 | 33.5 | 43.0% | 32.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.1 | 33.2 | 24-55 | 43.8% | 6-16 | 35.9% | 15-23 | 66.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.6 | 32.7 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 6-18 | 33.2% | 14-21 | 67.6% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 60.5 | 27.9 | 21-56 | 37.9% | 5-16 | 32.6% | 12-20 | 60.4% | 34 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.7 | 32.9 | 23-55 | 41.3% | 6-20 | 30.5% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 35 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.6 | 31.1 | 23-57 | 40.9% | 6-19 | 31.5% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 75.2 | 37.4 | 26-56 | 46.5% | 6-18 | 34.0% | 16-24 | 68.0% | 37 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 5 |
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| All Games | 14-4 | +2.4 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 68.1 | 33.1 | 43.7% | 37.4 | 58.7 | 27.1 | 40.7% | 31.7 | | Home Games | 8-0 | +3 | 4-2 | 1-0 | 76.0 | 37.5 | 48.1% | 38.5 | 55.0 | 24.5 | 37.3% | 31.2 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -1 | 1-4 | 1-0 | 64.6 | 32.0 | 43.6% | 38.6 | 57.6 | 24.2 | 37.9% | 32.4 | | Conference Games | 6-1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-0 | 66.3 | 32.3 | 43.3% | 39.4 | 56.9 | 24.9 | 38.4% | 31.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.1 | 33.1 | 24-55 | 43.7% | 4-13 | 33.5% | 15-22 | 67.7% | 37 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 30.8 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.4% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.0 | 37.5 | 28-58 | 48.1% | 5-16 | 34.6% | 15-22 | 67.8% | 38 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.7 | 27.1 | 20-50 | 40.7% | 5-17 | 28.2% | 13-21 | 62.6% | 32 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 43.1% | 7-19 | 33.6% | 13-20 | 67.5% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.0 | 24.5 | 18-49 | 37.3% | 5-16 | 28.0% | 14-21 | 64.5% | 31 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARK-LITTLE ROCK 67.6, MIDDLE TENN ST 71.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-6 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-7 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | 6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 5-3 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997 | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-4 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/11/2012 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 60 | 124.5 | ATS | 30 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 10-13 | 76.9% | 23 | 5 | 15 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 68 | -12.5 | SU Over | 35 | 26-41 | 63.4% | 4-7 | 57.1% | 12-27 | 44.4% | 30 | 5 | 14 | 3/7/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 65 | 126.5 | SU ATS | 27 | 19-45 | 42.2% | 2-14 | 14.3% | 25-31 | 80.6% | 27 | 4 | 12 | | N | MIDDLE TENN ST | 56 | -5 | Under | 19 | 14-39 | 35.9% | 2-11 | 18.2% | 26-36 | 72.2% | 37 | 8 | 20 | 2/19/2011 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 58 | 132.5 | Under | 23 | 17-44 | 38.6% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 18-26 | 69.2% | 33 | 6 | 14 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 62 | -1 | SU ATS | 30 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 15-22 | 68.2% | 38 | 8 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (155-154) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-33) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (145-137) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 01/16/2013 - John Gillon expected to miss 2 games ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed ) | | [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee ) | |
| [G] 01/16/2013 - James Gallman "?" Thursday vs. Arkansas LR ( Concussion ) | | [F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand ) |
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