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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:00 PM
ARK-LITTLE ROCK (11-8) AT MIDDLE TENN ST (14-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
525: ARK-LITTLE ROCK
526: MIDDLE TENN ST
OFF
-15.0
69.1 / 65.7
68.1 / 58.7
11-8
14-4
9-8
6-9
0-0
1-1
43.8
43.7
66.4
67.7
35.9
33.5
41.3
40.7
68.2
62.6
30.5
28.2
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARK-LITTLE ROCK  
MIDDLE TENN ST-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-844-33183-1910-033-24108-10211-845-41242-222
in all lined games9-844-33183-1910-033-24108-1029-838-40178-207
as an underdog4-628-19105-1080-019-1554-583-717-3159-158
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-03-19-70-03-06-20-01-32-14
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-24-420-190-03-28-120-21-72-37
in road games0-615-1791-910-015-846-520-69-2466-132
in road lined games0-615-1791-910-015-846-520-69-2359-125
against conference opponents4-426-19127-1280-023-1378-675-328-17132-133
in January games3-112-860-580-010-534-283-112-866-62
after a conference game5-227-16115-1260-021-1471-696-227-18129-135
off a win against a conference rival2-116-956-650-014-841-373-116-1162-69
after scoring 80 points or more0-23-428-350-03-29-131-24-435-42
when playing against a team with a winning record6-424-1492-950-017-1151-506-421-2176-129
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-010-448-450-07-522-272-09-640-58
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-03-015-90-02-05-30-02-112-12
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game3-114-337-260-07-517-153-27-1125-44

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-938-34175-1651-128-2993-11414-457-27259-215
in all lined games6-938-34175-1651-128-2993-11411-450-25180-169
as a favorite5-626-2485-871-119-2159-6110-142-11126-51
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points3-04-38-101-03-24-73-07-013-5
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points4-16-711-171-05-37-95-013-024-5
in all home games4-219-1474-731-014-1142-478-033-6157-66
in home lined games4-219-1474-731-014-1142-476-028-698-52
against conference opponents3-420-20115-1031-016-2066-786-131-11157-109
in January games0-410-960-530-06-1125-423-115-681-62
after a conference game1-520-18107-981-016-1864-734-228-13154-111
off a win against a conference rival1-414-1463-611-012-1436-503-221-978-56
after allowing 60 points or less3-617-1554-631-111-1429-477-323-1181-61
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-11-214-170-02-09-71-03-017-17
when playing against a team with a winning record1-713-1688-840-19-1138-565-417-1581-130
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-05-546-450-05-524-320-04-642-61
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-8+4.29-80-069.133.243.8%35.065.732.941.3%35.5
Road Games1-7-3.41-70-060.527.937.9%34.475.237.446.5%36.6
Last 5 Games3-2+0.93-20-072.836.646.6%32.268.433.844.2%32.8
Conference Games5-3+1.94-40-070.934.144.6%34.666.633.543.0%32.6
ARK-LITTLE ROCK Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.133.224-5543.8%6-1635.9%15-2366.4%351013188154
vs opponents surrendering68.632.724-5643.1%6-1833.2%14-2167.6%361013187154
Team Stats (Road Games)60.527.921-5637.9%5-1632.6%12-2060.4%341111206174
Stats Against (All Games)65.732.923-5541.3%6-2030.5%14-2168.2%351011217163
vs opponents averaging66.631.123-5740.9%6-1931.5%14-2068.4%361012187154
Stats Against (Road Games)75.237.426-5646.5%6-1834.0%16-2468.0%3710141910135

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-4+2.46-91-168.133.143.7%37.458.727.140.7%31.7
Home Games8-0+34-21-076.037.548.1%38.555.024.537.3%31.2
Last 5 Games4-1-11-41-064.632.043.6%38.657.624.237.9%32.4
Conference Games6-103-41-066.332.343.3%39.456.924.938.4%31.4
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.133.124-5543.7%4-1333.5%15-2267.7%371214208144
vs opponents surrendering6630.823-5641.6%6-1832.4%14-2068.4%351012187153
Team Stats (Home Games)76.037.528-5848.1%5-1634.6%15-2267.8%381317208133
Stats Against (All Games)58.727.120-5040.7%5-1728.2%13-2162.6%32810207163
vs opponents averaging68.631.724-5643.1%7-1933.6%13-2067.5%361013188154
Stats Against (Home Games)55.024.518-4937.3%5-1628.0%14-2164.5%3188206183
Average power rating of opponents played: ARK-LITTLE ROCK 67.6,  MIDDLE TENN ST 71.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 11-6 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-7 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 5-3 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-4 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/11/2012ARK-LITTLE ROCK60124.5 ATS3021-4843.7%8-1844.4%10-1376.9%23515
 MIDDLE TENN ST68-12.5SU Over3526-4163.4%4-757.1%12-2744.4%30514
3/7/2011ARK-LITTLE ROCK65126.5SU ATS2719-4542.2%2-1414.3%25-3180.6%27412
NMIDDLE TENN ST56-5 Under1914-3935.9%2-1118.2%26-3672.2%37820
2/19/2011MIDDLE TENN ST58132.5 Under2317-4438.6%6-2030.0%18-2669.2%33614
 ARK-LITTLE ROCK62-1SU ATS3020-5238.5%7-2231.8%15-2268.2%38812
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (155-154)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 52.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-33)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.4% of the time since 1997. (145-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 61.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (42-26)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
ARK-LITTLE ROCK
[G] 01/16/2013 - John Gillon expected to miss 2 games ( Knee )
[G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed )
[G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee )
MIDDLE TENN ST
[G] 01/16/2013 - James Gallman "?" Thursday vs. Arkansas LR ( Concussion )
[F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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