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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ARKANSAS ST | -3 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 12-13 | 37-40 | 195-192 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 18-10 | 49-45 | 244-236 | | in all lined games | 12-13 | 37-40 | 195-192 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 15-10 | 38-42 | 181-213 | | as a favorite | 8-10 | 20-20 | 90-90 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 12-6 | 31-10 | 128-55 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10-14 | | in road games | 4-8 | 16-20 | 94-94 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 5-8 | 11-32 | 66-151 | | in road lined games | 4-8 | 16-20 | 94-94 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 4-8 | 10-29 | 56-136 | | against conference opponents | 10-9 | 27-27 | 136-134 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 12-7 | 31-24 | 139-137 | | in March games | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11-14 | | on Saturday games | 8-5 | 19-11 | 86-64 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 9-4 | 23-13 | 102-79 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 5-3 | 18-13 | 83-59 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 41-40 | 6-2 | 22-14 | 91-82 | | after a conference game | 10-9 | 26-24 | 125-128 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 12-7 | 29-26 | 137-138 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-2 | 11-9 | 60-57 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 36-30 | 4-2 | 12-9 | 60-62 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 3-1 | 11-11 | 37-37 | 0-0 | 14-3 | 31-13 | 2-2 | 12-12 | 39-49 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-2 | 19-14 | 102-94 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 7-3 | 14-22 | 71-138 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-1 | 9-6 | 53-53 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 34-22 | 3-1 | 8-8 | 41-69 |
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| in all games | 14-14 | 49-39 | 188-197 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 16-14 | 50-47 | 247-228 | | in all lined games | 14-14 | 49-39 | 188-197 | 0-0 | 33-24 | 108-102 | 14-14 | 43-46 | 183-213 | | as an underdog | 7-10 | 31-23 | 108-112 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 54-58 | 5-12 | 19-36 | 61-163 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 1-0 | 3-1 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 11-13 | | in all home games | 10-3 | 23-15 | 78-80 | 0-0 | 14-10 | 53-38 | 12-3 | 31-14 | 157-68 | | in home lined games | 10-3 | 23-15 | 78-80 | 0-0 | 14-10 | 53-38 | 10-3 | 24-14 | 103-63 | | against conference opponents | 9-10 | 31-25 | 132-134 | 0-0 | 23-13 | 78-67 | 10-9 | 33-23 | 137-139 | | in March games | 0-0 | 4-2 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 13-14 | | on Saturday games | 7-5 | 20-14 | 81-76 | 0-0 | 13-8 | 44-38 | 6-6 | 18-16 | 94-91 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 6-5 | 21-11 | 58-61 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 27-38 | 5-7 | 22-15 | 74-69 | | after a conference game | 10-8 | 32-22 | 120-132 | 0-0 | 21-14 | 71-69 | 11-8 | 32-24 | 134-141 | | revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more | 1-0 | 4-3 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10-14 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 4-3 | 14-13 | 47-50 | 0-0 | 14-6 | 34-18 | 2-5 | 11-16 | 51-54 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-5 | 17-13 | 57-69 | 0-0 | 14-8 | 41-37 | 5-4 | 18-14 | 64-72 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 8-8 | 26-18 | 94-99 | 0-0 | 17-11 | 51-50 | 7-9 | 22-26 | 77-134 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 4-4 | 12-8 | 50-49 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 22-27 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 41-63 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 4-2 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-3 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 12-15 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 4-3 | 15-5 | 38-28 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 17-15 | 3-5 | 7-14 | 25-47 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-10 | -7.3 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 69.0 | 30.9 | 40.7% | 36.5 | 62.3 | 28.5 | 41.5% | 35.6 | | Road Games | 5-8 | -10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 65.8 | 29.6 | 38.7% | 35.3 | 67.9 | 30.9 | 44.5% | 37.4 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 69.6 | 33.2 | 42.2% | 34.6 | 57.8 | 27.0 | 37.9% | 32.6 | | Conference Games | 12-7 | -6.3 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 67.7 | 30.2 | 39.7% | 36.8 | 61.3 | 28.4 | 40.8% | 35.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.0 | 30.9 | 23-57 | 40.7% | 6-20 | 31.3% | 17-24 | 68.6% | 37 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.4 | 32.5 | 24-56 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.8 | 29.6 | 22-56 | 38.7% | 6-20 | 32.3% | 16-23 | 69.6% | 35 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.3 | 28.5 | 22-54 | 41.5% | 5-17 | 32.1% | 12-18 | 66.8% | 36 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.2 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.4% | 14-20 | 68.5% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 67.9 | 30.9 | 24-54 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 35.1% | 13-19 | 69.1% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
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| All Games | 16-14 | +5 | 14-14 | 0-0 | 66.5 | 30.5 | 42.5% | 34.4 | 66.4 | 32.1 | 42.0% | 35.0 | | Home Games | 12-3 | +7 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 73.1 | 33.7 | 46.1% | 35.9 | 60.9 | 30.1 | 38.4% | 34.4 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 62.2 | 26.2 | 39.5% | 34.4 | 71.6 | 31.4 | 44.0% | 35.2 | | Conference Games | 10-9 | +2.8 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 65.8 | 29.4 | 42.1% | 33.9 | 67.2 | 31.9 | 43.3% | 33.6 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 66.5 | 30.5 | 23-55 | 42.5% | 5-15 | 34.3% | 15-23 | 66.7% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68 | 31.7 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-18 | 33.5% | 14-21 | 68.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 73.1 | 33.7 | 25-54 | 46.1% | 5-14 | 37.0% | 18-25 | 70.8% | 36 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.4 | 32.1 | 22-53 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 16-22 | 69.4% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.7 | 30.9 | 23-56 | 41.6% | 6-18 | 32.7% | 14-21 | 68.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.9 | 30.1 | 21-53 | 38.4% | 5-19 | 28.8% | 14-21 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 67.7, ARK-LITTLE ROCK 68 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 19-13 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | ARKANSAS ST is 19-15 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | 11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 10-4 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK since 1997 | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 8-7 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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2/14/2013 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 62 | | | 29 | 20-52 | 38.5% | 8-18 | 44.4% | 14-20 | 70.0% | 30 | 7 | 18 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 86 | -10 | SU ATS | 45 | 26-51 | 51.0% | 8-17 | 47.1% | 26-32 | 81.2% | 31 | 6 | 10 | 2/25/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 60 | 125 | ATS | 30 | 20-48 | 41.7% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 17-20 | 85.0% | 31 | 8 | 11 | | | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 62 | -4 | SU Under | 24 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 29 | 9 | 11 | 1/14/2012 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 63 | 118.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 24-54 | 44.4% | 8-16 | 50.0% | 7-14 | 50.0% | 32 | 9 | 11 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 62 | -3.5 | Over | 36 | 19-53 | 35.8% | 8-19 | 42.1% | 16-24 | 66.7% | 41 | 15 | 11 | 3/6/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 59 | 128.5 | SU ATS | 30 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 2-8 | 25.0% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 33 | 4 | 9 | | N | ARKANSAS ST | 52 | -4 | Under | 29 | 17-51 | 33.3% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 15-23 | 65.2% | 39 | 7 | 11 | 2/26/2011 | ARK-LITTLE ROCK | 63 | 131.5 | Over | 40 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 9-21 | 42.9% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 27 | 6 | 11 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 71 | -7 | SU ATS | 35 | 17-41 | 41.5% | 4-10 | 40.0% | 33-44 | 75.0% | 41 | 10 | 15 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 53.2% of the time since 1997. (167-147) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 51.1% of the time since 1997. (162-155) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARK-LITTLE ROCK games 55.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-34) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) | |
| [F] 02/19/2013 - Taggart Lockhart out indefinitely ( Concussion ) | | [G] 11/30/2012 - Casey Wilmath out for season ( Dismissed ) | | [G/F] 11/02/2012 - Mareik Isom out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
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