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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:00 PM
ARKANSAS ST (14-8) AT MIDDLE TENN ST (20-4) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: ARKANSAS ST
516: MIDDLE TENN ST
OFF
-10.5
69.3 / 62.9
69.7 / 58.5
14-8
20-4
9-10
10-11
0-0
1-2
40.6
45.4
65.9
67.3
30.7
37.4
41.7
40.6
67.1
62.6
32.8
29.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST  
MIDDLE TENN ST-12 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1034-37192-1890-024-26104-9714-845-43240-234
in all lined games9-1034-37192-1890-024-26104-9711-834-40177-211
as an underdog3-216-1997-950-012-1656-582-36-3145-151
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-01-113-110-00-28-50-01-14-20
in road games2-614-1892-920-011-1349-503-69-3064-149
in road lined games2-614-1892-920-011-1349-502-68-2754-134
against conference opponents7-624-24133-1310-019-1578-638-527-22135-135
in February games0-19-550-570-08-532-261-09-750-63
after a conference game7-623-21122-1250-017-1273-558-525-24133-136
off a win against a conference rival4-312-1158-640-07-737-235-214-1267-66
when playing against a team with a winning record6-117-13100-930-010-1355-495-212-2169-137
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-07-551-520-07-434-221-06-739-68
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-03-210-120-01-33-70-03-311-13
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-07-630-260-03-912-191-06-1025-40

MIDDLE TENN ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1142-36179-1671-228-3093-11520-463-27265-215
in all lined games10-1142-36179-1671-228-3093-11517-456-25186-169
as a favorite9-830-2689-891-219-2259-6216-148-11132-51
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points0-03-16-130-02-29-60-04-013-6
in all home games7-222-1477-731-114-1242-4811-036-6160-66
in home lined games7-222-1477-731-114-1242-489-031-6101-52
against conference opponents7-624-22119-1051-116-2166-7912-137-11163-109
in February games1-07-845-460-09-533-221-011-564-51
after a conference game5-724-20111-1001-116-1964-7410-234-13160-111
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-18-638-380-24-915-353-09-654-50
off a win against a conference rival5-618-1667-631-112-1536-519-227-984-56
after allowing 60 points or less5-819-1756-651-111-1429-4711-327-1185-61
when playing against a team with a winning record3-815-1790-850-29-1238-578-420-1584-130
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-17-648-460-15-624-333-07-645-61
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-01-18-70-01-13-40-02-07-12
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-36-525-170-12-67-153-19-225-30
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games14-8-8.69-100-069.330.840.6%37.362.928.541.7%36.2
Road Games3-6-9.42-60-065.829.838.5%35.970.330.744.3%39.6
Last 5 Games4-1-0.33-20-068.431.038.7%36.655.826.838.6%37.4
Conference Games8-5-7.67-60-067.629.739.0%38.261.828.540.9%36.2
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.330.823-5840.6%6-2130.7%16-2465.9%371211179133
vs opponents surrendering69.732.825-5643.8%6-1834.3%14-2167.9%361013188154
Team Stats (Road Games)65.829.822-5738.5%6-2032.0%15-2365.7%361210178153
Stats Against (All Games)62.928.522-5441.7%6-1732.8%12-1867.1%36911207173
vs opponents averaging6730.824-5642.2%6-1833.7%14-2068.0%351012187153
Stats Against (Road Games)70.330.725-5644.3%7-1936.8%13-1971.4%401114197173

MIDDLE TENN ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-4+6.410-111-269.732.545.4%36.858.526.340.6%31.0
Home Games11-0+47-21-176.737.048.5%38.354.823.437.4%30.5
Last 5 Games5-0+43-20-173.029.849.4%34.459.425.641.3%30.0
Conference Games12-1+47-61-170.131.646.5%37.357.324.539.3%30.4
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.732.525-5545.4%5-1437.4%15-2267.3%371114208144
vs opponents surrendering66.531.123-5642.0%6-1833.0%14-2068.4%351012187154
Team Stats (Home Games)76.737.028-5748.5%6-1638.3%15-2267.6%381218208133
Stats Against (All Games)58.526.320-5040.6%5-1629.5%13-2162.6%3189197163
vs opponents averaging68.231.324-5643.0%6-1934.0%14-2067.4%361012187154
Stats Against (Home Games)54.823.418-4937.4%4-1627.7%14-2263.3%3087206183
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 67.4,  MIDDLE TENN ST 70.7
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-10 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-9 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at MIDDLE TENN ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-5 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/3/2013MIDDLE TENN ST60-4.5 2519-5932.2%3-1323.1%19-2770.4%421316
 ARKANSAS ST66 SU ATS2621-5438.9%3-1618.7%21-3658.3%431316
3/4/2012ARKANSAS ST64127SU ATS3121-4843.7%6-1250.0%16-2176.2%39914
NMIDDLE TENN ST61-10.5 Under2822-5143.1%6-1346.2%11-2250.0%2898
1/19/2012ARKANSAS ST46123.5 ATS2815-4632.6%3-1225.0%13-2259.1%29712
 MIDDLE TENN ST59-14.5SU Under3124-5345.3%5-1241.7%6-966.7%35912
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (162-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (146-139)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 60.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-28)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
MIDDLE TENN ST
[F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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