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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ARKANSAS ST | | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | -12 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 9-10 | 34-37 | 192-189 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 14-8 | 45-43 | 240-234 | | in all lined games | 9-10 | 34-37 | 192-189 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 11-8 | 34-40 | 177-211 | | as an underdog | 3-2 | 16-19 | 97-95 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 56-58 | 2-3 | 6-31 | 45-151 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-20 | | in road games | 2-6 | 14-18 | 92-92 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 3-6 | 9-30 | 64-149 | | in road lined games | 2-6 | 14-18 | 92-92 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 2-6 | 8-27 | 54-134 | | against conference opponents | 7-6 | 24-24 | 133-131 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 8-5 | 27-22 | 135-135 | | in February games | 0-1 | 9-5 | 50-57 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 32-26 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 50-63 | | after a conference game | 7-6 | 23-21 | 122-125 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 8-5 | 25-24 | 133-136 | | off a win against a conference rival | 4-3 | 12-11 | 58-64 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 5-2 | 14-12 | 67-66 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-1 | 17-13 | 100-93 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 55-49 | 5-2 | 12-21 | 69-137 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-0 | 7-5 | 51-52 | 0-0 | 7-4 | 34-22 | 1-0 | 6-7 | 39-68 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 3-2 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11-13 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-0 | 7-6 | 30-26 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 12-19 | 1-0 | 6-10 | 25-40 |
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| in all games | 10-11 | 42-36 | 179-167 | 1-2 | 28-30 | 93-115 | 20-4 | 63-27 | 265-215 | | in all lined games | 10-11 | 42-36 | 179-167 | 1-2 | 28-30 | 93-115 | 17-4 | 56-25 | 186-169 | | as a favorite | 9-8 | 30-26 | 89-89 | 1-2 | 19-22 | 59-62 | 16-1 | 48-11 | 132-51 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-0 | 3-1 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 13-6 | | in all home games | 7-2 | 22-14 | 77-73 | 1-1 | 14-12 | 42-48 | 11-0 | 36-6 | 160-66 | | in home lined games | 7-2 | 22-14 | 77-73 | 1-1 | 14-12 | 42-48 | 9-0 | 31-6 | 101-52 | | against conference opponents | 7-6 | 24-22 | 119-105 | 1-1 | 16-21 | 66-79 | 12-1 | 37-11 | 163-109 | | in February games | 1-0 | 7-8 | 45-46 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 33-22 | 1-0 | 11-5 | 64-51 | | after a conference game | 5-7 | 24-20 | 111-100 | 1-1 | 16-19 | 64-74 | 10-2 | 34-13 | 160-111 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 2-1 | 8-6 | 38-38 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 15-35 | 3-0 | 9-6 | 54-50 | | off a win against a conference rival | 5-6 | 18-16 | 67-63 | 1-1 | 12-15 | 36-51 | 9-2 | 27-9 | 84-56 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-8 | 19-17 | 56-65 | 1-1 | 11-14 | 29-47 | 11-3 | 27-11 | 85-61 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-8 | 15-17 | 90-85 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 38-57 | 8-4 | 20-15 | 84-130 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-1 | 7-6 | 48-46 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 24-33 | 3-0 | 7-6 | 45-61 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 7-12 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-3 | 6-5 | 25-17 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7-15 | 3-1 | 9-2 | 25-30 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 14-8 | -8.6 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 69.3 | 30.8 | 40.6% | 37.3 | 62.9 | 28.5 | 41.7% | 36.2 | | Road Games | 3-6 | -9.4 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 65.8 | 29.8 | 38.5% | 35.9 | 70.3 | 30.7 | 44.3% | 39.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -0.3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 68.4 | 31.0 | 38.7% | 36.6 | 55.8 | 26.8 | 38.6% | 37.4 | | Conference Games | 8-5 | -7.6 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 67.6 | 29.7 | 39.0% | 38.2 | 61.8 | 28.5 | 40.9% | 36.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.3 | 30.8 | 23-58 | 40.6% | 6-21 | 30.7% | 16-24 | 65.9% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 69.7 | 32.8 | 25-56 | 43.8% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-21 | 67.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.8 | 29.8 | 22-57 | 38.5% | 6-20 | 32.0% | 15-23 | 65.7% | 36 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 62.9 | 28.5 | 22-54 | 41.7% | 6-17 | 32.8% | 12-18 | 67.1% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 67 | 30.8 | 24-56 | 42.2% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 68.0% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.3 | 30.7 | 25-56 | 44.3% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 13-19 | 71.4% | 40 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
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| All Games | 20-4 | +6.4 | 10-11 | 1-2 | 69.7 | 32.5 | 45.4% | 36.8 | 58.5 | 26.3 | 40.6% | 31.0 | | Home Games | 11-0 | +4 | 7-2 | 1-1 | 76.7 | 37.0 | 48.5% | 38.3 | 54.8 | 23.4 | 37.4% | 30.5 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 73.0 | 29.8 | 49.4% | 34.4 | 59.4 | 25.6 | 41.3% | 30.0 | | Conference Games | 12-1 | +4 | 7-6 | 1-1 | 70.1 | 31.6 | 46.5% | 37.3 | 57.3 | 24.5 | 39.3% | 30.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.7 | 32.5 | 25-55 | 45.4% | 5-14 | 37.4% | 15-22 | 67.3% | 37 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 31.1 | 23-56 | 42.0% | 6-18 | 33.0% | 14-20 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 76.7 | 37.0 | 28-57 | 48.5% | 6-16 | 38.3% | 15-22 | 67.6% | 38 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 58.5 | 26.3 | 20-50 | 40.6% | 5-16 | 29.5% | 13-21 | 62.6% | 31 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.2 | 31.3 | 24-56 | 43.0% | 6-19 | 34.0% | 14-20 | 67.4% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 54.8 | 23.4 | 18-49 | 37.4% | 4-16 | 27.7% | 14-22 | 63.3% | 30 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 67.4, MIDDLE TENN ST 70.7 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-10 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 12-9 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 3-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| MIDDLE TENN ST is 5-5 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons | | MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/3/2013 | MIDDLE TENN ST | 60 | -4.5 | | 25 | 19-59 | 32.2% | 3-13 | 23.1% | 19-27 | 70.4% | 42 | 13 | 16 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 66 | | SU ATS | 26 | 21-54 | 38.9% | 3-16 | 18.7% | 21-36 | 58.3% | 43 | 13 | 16 | 3/4/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 64 | 127 | SU ATS | 31 | 21-48 | 43.7% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 16-21 | 76.2% | 39 | 9 | 14 | | N | MIDDLE TENN ST | 61 | -10.5 | Under | 28 | 22-51 | 43.1% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 28 | 9 | 8 | 1/19/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 46 | 123.5 | ATS | 28 | 15-46 | 32.6% | 3-12 | 25.0% | 13-22 | 59.1% | 29 | 7 | 12 | | | MIDDLE TENN ST | 59 | -14.5 | SU Under | 31 | 24-53 | 45.3% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 6-9 | 66.7% | 35 | 9 | 12 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (162-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 54.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (146-139) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 60.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-28) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) | |
| [F] 01/15/2013 - Jacquez Rozier out for season ( Hand ) |
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