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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 8:30 PM
ARKANSAS ST (11-7) AT TROY (7-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
527: ARKANSAS ST
528: TROY
OFF
+8.0
69.2 / 63.5
61.6 / 66.5
11-7
7-12
7-8
9-6
0-0
1-0
41.1
39.0
64.7
69.0
30.9
30.7
42.3
44.5
67.9
64.0
33.8
35.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST-7 
TROY  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-832-35190-1870-024-26104-9711-742-42237-233
in all lined games7-832-35190-1870-024-26104-978-731-39174-210
as a favorite4-616-1686-860-012-1046-326-425-8122-53
as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-20-24-20-00-00-11-11-15-1
in road games2-514-1792-910-011-1349-503-59-2964-148
in road lined games2-514-1792-910-011-1349-502-58-2654-133
against conference opponents5-422-22131-1290-019-1578-635-424-21132-134
in January games3-28-1361-610-08-731-273-211-1270-61
after a conference game5-421-19120-1230-017-1273-555-422-23130-135
off a win against a conference rival3-111-957-620-07-737-233-112-1165-65
after allowing 60 points or less2-314-649-400-011-427-203-213-852-53
when playing against a team with a losing record2-511-1672-740-010-941-405-322-13127-68
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-16-837-520-07-626-280-18-754-41
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-04-412-190-04-49-80-04-520-12
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-15-726-280-06-418-132-19-749-21

TROY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-633-2881-851-027-1980-687-1225-5189-113
in all lined games9-633-2881-851-027-1980-686-920-4369-101
as an underdog8-529-2358-521-022-1750-435-816-3836-76
as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-11-20-00-12-10-00-10-3
in all home games4-212-1133-310-010-933-284-415-1752-33
in home lined games4-212-1133-310-010-933-283-311-1437-30
against conference opponents5-320-2057-610-020-1458-542-613-2955-66
in January games3-212-727-260-08-723-252-37-1327-29
after a conference game5-220-1858-570-017-1450-583-514-2755-66
off a loss against a conference rival3-112-1130-290-012-829-271-48-1826-36
after scoring 60 points or less5-211-917-171-08-516-103-66-1712-26
when playing against a team with a winning record6-114-940-381-09-933-363-48-2232-56
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-06-423-210-03-515-271-13-720-24
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-02-16-50-00-46-60-01-36-6
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-06-611-160-03-813-111-13-1010-19
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-7-8.47-80-069.230.641.1%37.263.528.842.3%36.0
Road Games3-5-6.12-50-065.629.438.7%36.169.931.243.8%39.9
Last 5 Games3-2-4.73-20-064.827.039.5%38.257.429.239.7%35.4
Conference Games5-4-7.45-40-066.728.939.5%38.662.629.141.7%35.8
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)69.230.624-5841.1%6-2030.9%15-2364.7%3712111610133
vs opponents surrendering70.433.325-5644.1%6-1833.8%14-2168.2%361113188154
Team Stats (Road Games)65.629.422-5838.7%6-2030.8%15-2363.4%361110178143
Stats Against (All Games)63.528.823-5442.3%6-1833.7%12-1767.9%36911197172
vs opponents averaging67.530.924-5642.5%6-1833.8%13-2067.7%351012187163
Stats Against (Road Games)69.931.225-5643.8%7-1937.1%13-1971.3%401014197173

TROY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games7-12+0.69-61-061.629.839.0%33.866.531.144.5%38.2
Home Games5-4+1.45-20-063.630.840.0%33.864.229.144.7%37.7
Last 5 Games2-3-13-20-060.828.840.3%35.467.232.246.5%32.8
Conference Games2-6-55-30-060.631.139.7%33.666.232.045.0%36.4
TROY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)61.629.823-5939.0%7-2230.7%9-1369.0%341012156102
vs opponents surrendering67.832.324-5742.6%6-1933.1%13-1968.7%361013187144
Team Stats (Home Games)63.630.824-5940.0%7-2132.6%9-1465.1%341013157112
Stats Against (All Games)66.531.124-5444.5%7-1935.7%12-1864.0%38913145123
vs opponents averaging66.330.824-5542.4%6-1833.1%13-2068.2%35912187154
Stats Against (Home Games)64.229.124-5344.7%6-1833.1%11-1665.5%38910166143
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 67.5,  TROY 67.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
TROY is 5-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TROY is 5-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TROY since 1997
TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
TROY is 2-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TROY over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/16/2012TROY59138.5 Over2624-5048.0%5-1631.2%6-785.7%25614
 ARKANSAS ST83-7SU ATS3531-5556.4%11-2152.4%10-1758.8%29107
2/19/2011ARKANSAS ST71-2.5SU ATS3525-5942.4%8-2040.0%13-1776.5%491520
 TROY63140 Under3418-4936.7%10-2441.7%17-2470.8%25513
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (160-146)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-28)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 53% of the time since 1997. (80-71)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 63.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-19)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 01/24/2013 - Kendrick Washington expected to miss Thursday vs. Troy ( Eye )
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
TROY
[G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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