|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 7-8 | 32-35 | 190-187 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 11-7 | 42-42 | 237-233 | | in all lined games | 7-8 | 32-35 | 190-187 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 8-7 | 31-39 | 174-210 | | as a favorite | 4-6 | 16-16 | 86-86 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 6-4 | 25-8 | 122-53 | | as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5-1 | | in road games | 2-5 | 14-17 | 92-91 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 3-5 | 9-29 | 64-148 | | in road lined games | 2-5 | 14-17 | 92-91 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 2-5 | 8-26 | 54-133 | | against conference opponents | 5-4 | 22-22 | 131-129 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 5-4 | 24-21 | 132-134 | | in January games | 3-2 | 8-13 | 61-61 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 31-27 | 3-2 | 11-12 | 70-61 | | after a conference game | 5-4 | 21-19 | 120-123 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 5-4 | 22-23 | 130-135 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-1 | 11-9 | 57-62 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 37-23 | 3-1 | 12-11 | 65-65 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 2-3 | 14-6 | 49-40 | 0-0 | 11-4 | 27-20 | 3-2 | 13-8 | 52-53 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 2-5 | 11-16 | 72-74 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-40 | 5-3 | 22-13 | 127-68 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-1 | 6-8 | 37-52 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 26-28 | 0-1 | 8-7 | 54-41 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 20-12 | | versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game | 1-1 | 5-7 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 18-13 | 2-1 | 9-7 | 49-21 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 9-6 | 33-28 | 81-85 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 7-12 | 25-51 | 89-113 | | in all lined games | 9-6 | 33-28 | 81-85 | 1-0 | 27-19 | 80-68 | 6-9 | 20-43 | 69-101 | | as an underdog | 8-5 | 29-23 | 58-52 | 1-0 | 22-17 | 50-43 | 5-8 | 16-38 | 36-76 | | as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-3 | | in all home games | 4-2 | 12-11 | 33-31 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 4-4 | 15-17 | 52-33 | | in home lined games | 4-2 | 12-11 | 33-31 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 33-28 | 3-3 | 11-14 | 37-30 | | against conference opponents | 5-3 | 20-20 | 57-61 | 0-0 | 20-14 | 58-54 | 2-6 | 13-29 | 55-66 | | in January games | 3-2 | 12-7 | 27-26 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 23-25 | 2-3 | 7-13 | 27-29 | | after a conference game | 5-2 | 20-18 | 58-57 | 0-0 | 17-14 | 50-58 | 3-5 | 14-27 | 55-66 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-1 | 12-11 | 30-29 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 29-27 | 1-4 | 8-18 | 26-36 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 5-2 | 11-9 | 17-17 | 1-0 | 8-5 | 16-10 | 3-6 | 6-17 | 12-26 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-1 | 14-9 | 40-38 | 1-0 | 9-9 | 33-36 | 3-4 | 8-22 | 32-56 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 2-0 | 6-4 | 23-21 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15-27 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 20-24 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 0-0 | 2-1 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6-6 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 2-0 | 6-6 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13-11 | 1-1 | 3-10 | 10-19 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 11-7 | -8.4 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 69.2 | 30.6 | 41.1% | 37.2 | 63.5 | 28.8 | 42.3% | 36.0 | | Road Games | 3-5 | -6.1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 65.6 | 29.4 | 38.7% | 36.1 | 69.9 | 31.2 | 43.8% | 39.9 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -4.7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 64.8 | 27.0 | 39.5% | 38.2 | 57.4 | 29.2 | 39.7% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 5-4 | -7.4 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 66.7 | 28.9 | 39.5% | 38.6 | 62.6 | 29.1 | 41.7% | 35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 69.2 | 30.6 | 24-58 | 41.1% | 6-20 | 30.9% | 15-23 | 64.7% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70.4 | 33.3 | 25-56 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 14-21 | 68.2% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.6 | 29.4 | 22-58 | 38.7% | 6-20 | 30.8% | 15-23 | 63.4% | 36 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.5 | 28.8 | 23-54 | 42.3% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 12-17 | 67.9% | 36 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 67.5 | 30.9 | 24-56 | 42.5% | 6-18 | 33.8% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.9 | 31.2 | 25-56 | 43.8% | 7-19 | 37.1% | 13-19 | 71.3% | 40 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 7-12 | +0.6 | 9-6 | 1-0 | 61.6 | 29.8 | 39.0% | 33.8 | 66.5 | 31.1 | 44.5% | 38.2 | | Home Games | 5-4 | +1.4 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 63.6 | 30.8 | 40.0% | 33.8 | 64.2 | 29.1 | 44.7% | 37.7 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 60.8 | 28.8 | 40.3% | 35.4 | 67.2 | 32.2 | 46.5% | 32.8 | | Conference Games | 2-6 | -5 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 60.6 | 31.1 | 39.7% | 33.6 | 66.2 | 32.0 | 45.0% | 36.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 61.6 | 29.8 | 23-59 | 39.0% | 7-22 | 30.7% | 9-13 | 69.0% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.8 | 32.3 | 24-57 | 42.6% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 63.6 | 30.8 | 24-59 | 40.0% | 7-21 | 32.6% | 9-14 | 65.1% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.5 | 31.1 | 24-54 | 44.5% | 7-19 | 35.7% | 12-18 | 64.0% | 38 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66.3 | 30.8 | 24-55 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.2 | 29.1 | 24-53 | 44.7% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 11-16 | 65.5% | 38 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 67.5, TROY 67.6 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| TROY is 5-3 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | TROY is 5-3 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | TROY is 2-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/16/2012 | TROY | 59 | 138.5 | Over | 26 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 5-16 | 31.2% | 6-7 | 85.7% | 25 | 6 | 14 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 83 | -7 | SU ATS | 35 | 31-55 | 56.4% | 11-21 | 52.4% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 29 | 10 | 7 | 2/19/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 71 | -2.5 | SU ATS | 35 | 25-59 | 42.4% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 49 | 15 | 20 | | | TROY | 63 | 140 | Under | 34 | 18-49 | 36.7% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 17-24 | 70.8% | 25 | 5 | 13 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (160-146) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-28) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 53% of the time since 1997. (80-71) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TROY games 63.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-19) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
|
|
|
|
| [F] 01/24/2013 - Kendrick Washington expected to miss Thursday vs. Troy ( Eye ) | | [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) | |
| [G] 12/27/2012 - Justin Wright out for season ( Knee ) |
|
|