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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| ARKANSAS ST | | | | LA-LAFAYETTE | -1 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 6-7 | 31-34 | 189-186 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 10-6 | 41-41 | 236-232 | | in all lined games | 6-7 | 31-34 | 189-186 | 0-0 | 24-26 | 104-97 | 7-6 | 30-38 | 173-209 | | as a favorite | 3-5 | 15-15 | 85-85 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 46-32 | 5-3 | 24-7 | 121-52 | | as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 1-0 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 10-13 | | in road games | 2-4 | 14-16 | 92-90 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 3-4 | 9-28 | 64-147 | | in road lined games | 2-4 | 14-16 | 92-90 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 49-50 | 2-4 | 8-25 | 54-132 | | against conference opponents | 4-3 | 21-21 | 130-128 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 78-63 | 4-3 | 23-20 | 131-133 | | in January games | 2-1 | 7-12 | 60-60 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 31-27 | 2-1 | 10-11 | 69-60 | | on Saturday games | 4-2 | 15-8 | 82-61 | 0-0 | 12-8 | 44-31 | 3-3 | 17-12 | 96-78 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 2-1 | 15-11 | 80-57 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 41-40 | 2-1 | 18-13 | 87-81 | | after a conference game | 4-3 | 20-18 | 119-122 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 73-55 | 4-3 | 21-22 | 129-134 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 1-1 | 8-8 | 57-56 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 36-30 | 1-1 | 9-8 | 57-61 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 1-4 | 10-15 | 71-73 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-40 | 4-2 | 21-12 | 126-67 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 6-7 | 37-51 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 26-28 | 0-0 | 8-6 | 54-40 |
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| in all games | 6-7 | 32-31 | 190-195 | 0-0 | 24-25 | 97-116 | 6-12 | 36-43 | 248-224 | | in all lined games | 6-7 | 32-31 | 190-195 | 0-0 | 24-25 | 97-116 | 4-9 | 30-36 | 200-197 | | as an underdog | 4-6 | 18-17 | 90-94 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 58-56 | 2-8 | 9-29 | 46-145 | | as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick | 0-0 | 3-1 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 9-6 | | in all home games | 3-2 | 13-14 | 70-83 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 34-52 | 5-3 | 25-12 | 151-55 | | in home lined games | 3-2 | 13-14 | 70-83 | 0-0 | 12-10 | 34-52 | 3-2 | 19-10 | 113-47 | | against conference opponents | 2-5 | 19-20 | 137-122 | 0-0 | 16-18 | 68-80 | 2-5 | 23-18 | 163-107 | | in January games | 0-3 | 8-11 | 61-63 | 0-0 | 11-6 | 34-35 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 80-54 | | on Saturday games | 3-2 | 11-14 | 79-77 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 30-47 | 3-3 | 14-15 | 102-71 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 4-2 | 16-9 | 82-67 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 38-38 | 2-4 | 10-18 | 97-77 | | after a conference game | 2-3 | 19-19 | 124-121 | 0-0 | 16-17 | 66-81 | 2-4 | 23-18 | 154-115 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 1-1 | 8-5 | 51-36 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 22-37 | 2-2 | 12-6 | 63-37 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-2 | 6-9 | 43-46 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 27-34 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 51-46 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-0 | 5-2 | 36-30 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 14-16 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 39-47 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 0-1 | 7-4 | 46-42 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 15-20 | 0-3 | 4-10 | 56-50 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-0 | 5-0 | 17-23 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 23-25 | | after 3 or more consecutive losses | 1-0 | 2-3 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 10-16 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 20-23 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 4-3 | 13-15 | 95-104 | 0-0 | 6-15 | 45-65 | 2-6 | 10-24 | 87-136 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 0-0 | 5-5 | 56-46 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 22-39 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 57-53 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 10-6 | -7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 70.4 | 31.1 | 41.5% | 37.2 | 65.2 | 28.8 | 42.8% | 35.6 | | Road Games | 3-4 | -4.6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 67.0 | 30.1 | 39.3% | 35.4 | 71.1 | 31.0 | 44.5% | 39.9 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | -1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 71.0 | 29.6 | 41.1% | 40.6 | 62.2 | 28.2 | 38.7% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 4-3 | -6 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 68.7 | 29.6 | 39.8% | 39.0 | 66.1 | 29.1 | 42.8% | 34.9 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.4 | 31.1 | 24-58 | 41.5% | 6-20 | 31.8% | 15-24 | 65.5% | 37 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70.7 | 33.6 | 25-57 | 44.1% | 6-19 | 34.1% | 14-21 | 67.5% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.0 | 30.1 | 23-59 | 39.3% | 6-20 | 31.9% | 15-22 | 65.0% | 35 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.2 | 28.8 | 23-55 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 12-17 | 71.1% | 36 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.3 | 31.6 | 24-57 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.6% | 14-20 | 68.0% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.1 | 31.0 | 25-57 | 44.5% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 13-17 | 76.0% | 40 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
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| All Games | 6-12 | -1.7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 71.7 | 29.9 | 43.4% | 34.8 | 74.3 | 35.4 | 42.7% | 39.3 | | Home Games | 5-3 | +1.3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 77.6 | 32.6 | 47.6% | 35.5 | 72.9 | 35.0 | 40.8% | 37.5 | | Last 5 Games | 1-4 | -3.2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 75.6 | 30.4 | 45.5% | 34.4 | 79.6 | 38.8 | 41.2% | 41.6 | | Conference Games | 2-5 | -1.2 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 73.7 | 31.9 | 45.3% | 33.6 | 78.0 | 38.7 | 41.8% | 40.3 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.7 | 29.9 | 26-60 | 43.4% | 7-20 | 33.3% | 13-20 | 67.7% | 35 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.2 | 31.7 | 25-57 | 43.1% | 6-19 | 32.2% | 13-19 | 66.9% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 77.6 | 32.6 | 29-60 | 47.6% | 6-19 | 32.0% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 74.3 | 35.4 | 25-59 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 35.4% | 17-25 | 69.5% | 39 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.9 | 32.3 | 24-57 | 42.4% | 6-18 | 33.9% | 14-21 | 67.9% | 37 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 72.9 | 35.0 | 25-62 | 40.8% | 7-19 | 36.8% | 15-21 | 71.3% | 37 | 12 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 3 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 68, LA-LAFAYETTE 70.6 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-11 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | LA-LAFAYETTE is 16-9 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| LA-LAFAYETTE is 7-6 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | LA-LAFAYETTE is 11-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997 | | 6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| LA-LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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12/27/2012 | LA-LAFAYETTE | 70 | | | 30 | 29-66 | 43.9% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 31 | 8 | 15 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 87 | -7 | SU ATS | 38 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 6-18 | 33.3% | 29-37 | 78.4% | 41 | 12 | 13 | 2/11/2012 | ARKANSAS ST | 65 | 130.5 | ATS | 34 | 25-60 | 41.7% | 4-13 | 30.8% | 11-18 | 61.1% | 35 | 7 | 15 | | | LA-LAFAYETTE | 68 | -6.5 | SU Over | 29 | 22-50 | 44.0% | 8-12 | 66.7% | 16-28 | 57.1% | 36 | 7 | 14 | 1/21/2012 | LA-LAFAYETTE | 74 | 125 | Over | 44 | 28-58 | 48.3% | 4-15 | 26.7% | 14-19 | 73.7% | 31 | 12 | 14 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 79 | -2 | SU ATS | 34 | 30-65 | 46.2% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 41 | 13 | 13 | 2/17/2011 | ARKANSAS ST | 61 | 140 | Under | 18 | 21-49 | 42.9% | 4-12 | 33.3% | 15-24 | 62.5% | 34 | 9 | 14 | | | LA-LAFAYETTE | 64 | -1 | SU ATS | 29 | 19-54 | 35.2% | 3-8 | 37.5% | 23-27 | 85.2% | 36 | 8 | 11 | 1/13/2011 | LA-LAFAYETTE | 65 | 136 | ATS | 34 | 24-58 | 41.4% | 3-14 | 21.4% | 14-25 | 56.0% | 40 | 14 | 15 | | | ARKANSAS ST | 74 | -10.5 | SU Over | 43 | 29-54 | 53.7% | 6-16 | 37.5% | 10-17 | 58.8% | 30 | 6 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (159-145) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-27) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA-LAFAYETTE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (164-152) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA-LAFAYETTE games 62.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-22) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion ) | |
| [F] 01/12/2013 - Matthew Moss quit the team ( Personal ) | | [G] 01/11/2013 - Alan-Michael Thompson is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Ankle ) | | [G] 01/10/2013 - Donovan Williams "?" Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Knee ) | | [G] 12/28/2012 - Kevin Brown out for season ( Foot ) |
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