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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 8:15 PM
ARKANSAS ST (10-6) AT LA-LAFAYETTE (6-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
659: ARKANSAS ST
660: LA-LAFAYETTE
OFF
+2.5
70.4 / 65.2
71.7 / 74.3
10-6
6-12
6-7
6-7
0-0
0-0
41.5
43.4
65.5
67.7
31.8
33.3
42.8
42.7
71.1
69.5
34.2
35.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
ARKANSAS ST  
LA-LAFAYETTE-1 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
ARKANSAS ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-731-34189-1860-024-26104-9710-641-41236-232
in all lined games6-731-34189-1860-024-26104-977-630-38173-209
as a favorite3-515-1585-850-012-1046-325-324-7121-52
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-08-150-00-16-50-01-010-13
in road games2-414-1692-900-011-1349-503-49-2864-147
in road lined games2-414-1692-900-011-1349-502-48-2554-132
against conference opponents4-321-21130-1280-019-1578-634-323-20131-133
in January games2-17-1260-600-08-731-272-110-1169-60
on Saturday games4-215-882-610-012-844-313-317-1296-78
when playing with one or less days rest2-115-1180-570-012-1141-402-118-1387-81
after a conference game4-320-18119-1220-017-1273-554-321-22129-134
off a loss against a conference rival1-18-857-560-010-536-301-19-857-61
when playing against a team with a losing record1-410-1571-730-010-941-404-221-12126-67
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games0-06-737-510-07-626-280-08-654-40

LA-LAFAYETTE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games6-732-31190-1950-024-2597-1166-1236-43248-224
in all lined games6-732-31190-1950-024-2597-1164-930-36200-197
as an underdog4-618-1790-940-013-1358-562-89-2946-145
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-03-19-50-03-24-70-03-29-6
in all home games3-213-1470-830-012-1034-525-325-12151-55
in home lined games3-213-1470-830-012-1034-523-219-10113-47
against conference opponents2-519-20137-1220-016-1868-802-523-18163-107
in January games0-38-1161-630-011-634-350-310-1080-54
on Saturday games3-211-1479-770-09-1230-473-314-15102-71
when playing with one or less days rest4-216-982-670-010-938-382-410-1897-77
after a conference game2-319-19124-1210-016-1766-812-423-18154-115
revenging a road loss vs opponent1-18-551-360-03-922-372-212-663-37
off a loss against a conference rival2-26-943-460-07-527-342-28-851-46
after allowing 80 points or more1-05-236-300-04-314-161-16-539-47
after scoring 80 points or more0-17-446-420-06-415-200-34-1056-50
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-05-017-230-04-210-150-04-323-25
after 3 or more consecutive losses1-02-311-200-03-110-161-04-420-23
when playing against a team with a winning record4-313-1595-1040-06-1545-652-610-2487-136
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-05-556-460-02-922-390-06-557-53
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
ARKANSAS ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-6-76-70-070.431.141.5%37.265.228.842.8%35.6
Road Games3-4-4.62-40-067.030.139.3%35.471.131.044.5%39.9
Last 5 Games4-1-14-10-071.029.641.1%40.662.228.238.7%35.4
Conference Games4-3-64-30-068.729.639.8%39.066.129.142.8%34.9
ARKANSAS ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)70.431.124-5841.5%6-2031.8%15-2465.5%3712111610143
vs opponents surrendering70.733.625-5744.1%6-1934.1%14-2167.5%361113188164
Team Stats (Road Games)67.030.123-5939.3%6-2031.9%15-2265.0%351111168143
Stats Against (All Games)65.228.823-5542.8%6-1834.2%12-1771.1%36912207173
vs opponents averaging68.331.624-5742.7%6-1833.6%14-2068.0%351012188163
Stats Against (Road Games)71.131.025-5744.5%7-1936.8%13-1776.0%401015197173

LA-LAFAYETTE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games6-12-1.76-70-071.729.943.4%34.874.335.442.7%39.3
Home Games5-3+1.33-20-077.632.647.6%35.572.935.040.8%37.5
Last 5 Games1-4-3.21-40-075.630.445.5%34.479.638.841.2%41.6
Conference Games2-5-1.22-50-073.731.945.3%33.678.038.741.8%40.3
LA-LAFAYETTE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.729.926-6043.4%7-2033.3%13-2067.7%35911198164
vs opponents surrendering68.231.725-5743.1%6-1932.2%13-1966.9%361013187154
Team Stats (Home Games)77.632.629-6047.6%6-1932.0%14-2069.5%35912188164
Stats Against (All Games)74.335.425-5942.7%6-1835.4%17-2569.5%391210198174
vs opponents averaging68.932.324-5742.4%6-1833.9%14-2167.9%371112187154
Stats Against (Home Games)72.935.025-6240.8%7-1936.8%15-2171.3%37129208183
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 68,  LA-LAFAYETTE 70.6
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
LA-LAFAYETTE is 13-11 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
LA-LAFAYETTE is 16-9 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 3-2 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at LA-LAFAYETTE since 1997
LA-LAFAYETTE is 7-6 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST since 1997
LA-LAFAYETTE is 11-2 straight up against ARKANSAS ST since 1997
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
12/27/2012LA-LAFAYETTE70  3029-6643.9%6-2030.0%6-1060.0%31815
 ARKANSAS ST87-7SU ATS3826-5646.4%6-1833.3%29-3778.4%411213
2/11/2012ARKANSAS ST65130.5 ATS3425-6041.7%4-1330.8%11-1861.1%35715
 LA-LAFAYETTE68-6.5SU Over2922-5044.0%8-1266.7%16-2857.1%36714
1/21/2012LA-LAFAYETTE74125 Over4428-5848.3%4-1526.7%14-1973.7%311214
 ARKANSAS ST79-2SU ATS3430-6546.2%6-1637.5%13-1872.2%411313
2/17/2011ARKANSAS ST61140 Under1821-4942.9%4-1233.3%15-2462.5%34914
 LA-LAFAYETTE64-1SU ATS2919-5435.2%3-837.5%23-2785.2%36811
1/13/2011LA-LAFAYETTE65136 ATS3424-5841.4%3-1421.4%14-2556.0%401415
 ARKANSAS ST74-10.5SU Over4329-5453.7%6-1637.5%10-1758.8%30613
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring ARKANSAS ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (159-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 52.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-27)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA-LAFAYETTE games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (164-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LA-LAFAYETTE games 62.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-22)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
ARKANSAS ST
[F] 12/19/2012 - Seth Kisler expected to redshirt ( Concussion )
LA-LAFAYETTE
[F] 01/12/2013 - Matthew Moss quit the team ( Personal )
[G] 01/11/2013 - Alan-Michael Thompson is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Ankle )
[G] 01/10/2013 - Donovan Williams "?" Saturday vs. Arkansas State ( Knee )
[G] 12/28/2012 - Kevin Brown out for season ( Foot )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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