|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| ARKANSAS | | | | MICHIGAN | -20 |  |
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 1-3 | 19-33 | 172-210 | 2-0 | 24-24 | 127-122 | 4-3 | 40-30 | 273-208 | | in all lined games | 1-3 | 19-33 | 172-210 | 2-0 | 24-24 | 127-122 | 1-3 | 22-30 | 191-201 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 6-14 | 44-57 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 48-55 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 47-56 | | as an underdog | 1-1 | 10-18 | 71-102 | 1-0 | 11-15 | 60-54 | 0-2 | 6-22 | 43-135 | | as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-16 | | as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-4 | | in road games | 0-0 | 3-16 | 49-90 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 44-42 | 0-0 | 3-16 | 35-112 | | in road lined games | 0-0 | 3-16 | 49-90 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 44-42 | 0-0 | 3-16 | 35-110 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1-11 | | in December games | 0-1 | 4-6 | 25-28 | 1-0 | 4-5 | 15-19 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 79-26 | | on Saturday games | 1-0 | 11-12 | 72-85 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 58-40 | 0-1 | 13-12 | 95-90 | | after a non-conference game | 1-3 | 7-14 | 56-70 | 2-0 | 7-10 | 36-43 | 3-3 | 25-10 | 150-62 | | in non-conference games | 1-3 | 6-12 | 55-65 | 2-0 | 6-8 | 36-41 | 4-3 | 27-9 | 154-59 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 0-2 | 2-11 | 46-68 | 1-0 | 3-8 | 34-38 | 2-1 | 10-9 | 86-65 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-3 | 15-27 | 139-169 | 2-0 | 19-19 | 105-94 | 1-3 | 17-28 | 155-185 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 1-3 | 9-13 | 64-66 | 2-0 | 7-11 | 37-42 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 72-78 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-2 | 2-6 | 49-63 | 1-0 | 4-3 | 45-30 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 50-73 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 6-1 | 45-23 | 217-211 | 4-3 | 36-30 | 145-161 | 8-0 | 53-24 | 269-221 | | in all lined games | 6-1 | 45-23 | 217-211 | 4-3 | 36-30 | 145-161 | 7-0 | 44-24 | 217-217 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13-27 | | as a favorite | 6-1 | 22-13 | 105-96 | 4-3 | 20-13 | 65-69 | 7-0 | 30-5 | 151-54 | | as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points | 3-0 | 5-2 | 20-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8-15 | 3-0 | 7-0 | 38-0 | | as a home favorite of 15.5 to 18 points | 1-0 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 1-0 | 2-0 | 15-0 | | in all home games | 4-0 | 22-9 | 111-93 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 70-76 | 5-0 | 34-6 | 186-71 | | in home lined games | 4-0 | 22-9 | 111-93 | 2-2 | 16-13 | 70-76 | 4-0 | 25-6 | 138-69 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | | against SEC opponents | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2-5 | | in December games | 1-1 | 7-4 | 34-39 | 1-1 | 7-2 | 26-16 | 2-0 | 14-1 | 72-33 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 9-10 | 68-79 | 1-0 | 12-5 | 48-49 | 1-0 | 12-8 | 86-77 | | after a non-conference game | 6-1 | 20-8 | 76-83 | 4-3 | 18-8 | 59-46 | 8-0 | 29-7 | 140-72 | | in non-conference games | 6-1 | 19-9 | 74-81 | 4-3 | 15-11 | 53-51 | 8-0 | 29-8 | 145-69 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 3-0 | 16-8 | 69-61 | 2-1 | 12-11 | 51-56 | 3-0 | 19-8 | 90-60 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-1 | 38-19 | 170-146 | 4-3 | 29-26 | 117-122 | 7-0 | 35-23 | 157-178 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-0 | 13-3 | 46-37 | 2-1 | 9-6 | 29-29 | 3-0 | 7-9 | 36-53 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 4-3 | -4 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 82.1 | 43.0 | 44.2% | 35.1 | 74.3 | 35.3 | 45.9% | 38.7 | | Road Games | 0-2 | -4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 69.0 | 40.5 | 40.3% | 33.0 | 80.0 | 36.0 | 50.5% | 40.5 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -4 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 78.0 | 41.8 | 42.2% | 35.0 | 77.8 | 36.8 | 46.9% | 40.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 82.1 | 43.0 | 29-65 | 44.2% | 5-18 | 28.8% | 20-27 | 72.8% | 35 | 12 | 15 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 32.3 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 6-17 | 32.4% | 14-21 | 68.1% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 16 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 69.0 | 40.5 | 25-62 | 40.3% | 3-14 | 25.0% | 15-23 | 67.4% | 33 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 1 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 74.3 | 35.3 | 26-57 | 45.9% | 7-20 | 36.4% | 15-24 | 62.4% | 39 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 5 | | vs opponents averaging | 71.4 | 34.3 | 25-60 | 42.7% | 6-20 | 31.7% | 14-21 | 65.9% | 38 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 80.0 | 36.0 | 25-49 | 50.5% | 7-19 | 38.5% | 22-37 | 60.8% | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 8-0 | +4 | 6-1 | 4-3 | 79.0 | 37.6 | 52.1% | 37.5 | 57.6 | 27.4 | 40.2% | 28.0 | | Home Games | 5-0 | +1 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 84.0 | 41.8 | 53.8% | 37.8 | 55.2 | 26.4 | 37.9% | 28.8 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +4 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 72.8 | 34.0 | 49.4% | 34.2 | 59.6 | 28.8 | 44.3% | 28.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.0 | 37.6 | 29-56 | 52.1% | 8-19 | 42.5% | 12-17 | 72.4% | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 68.4 | 31.6 | 25-56 | 43.6% | 7-19 | 36.3% | 12-17 | 71.7% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 84.0 | 41.8 | 31-58 | 53.8% | 10-22 | 46.8% | 11-16 | 70.5% | 38 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 57.6 | 27.4 | 22-56 | 40.2% | 5-18 | 28.6% | 7-12 | 62.1% | 28 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 2 | | vs opponents averaging | 71 | 32.9 | 26-59 | 44.8% | 6-17 | 34.4% | 13-19 | 67.1% | 35 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 55.2 | 26.4 | 22-57 | 37.9% | 5-19 | 25.8% | 7-11 | 63.2% | 29 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS 70.3, MICHIGAN 71.6 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| ARKANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997 | | ARKANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| ARKANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | ARKANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
| |
| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1/21/2012 | MICHIGAN | 64 | 137 | Under | 33 | 25-61 | 41.0% | 8-28 | 28.6% | 6-7 | 85.7% | 35 | 11 | 10 | | | ARKANSAS | 66 | -1.5 | SU ATS | 46 | 24-48 | 50.0% | 5-11 | 45.5% | 13-21 | 61.9% | 29 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 51.2% of the time since 1997. (150-143) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS games 54.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-19) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (162-168) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MICHIGAN games 40.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (20-29) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 48.1% of the time since 1997. (102-110) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS games 58.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-17) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 43.6% of the time since 1997. (115-149) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in MICHIGAN games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-30) | |
|
|
|
|
| No significant injuries. | |
| [F] 12/07/2012 - Max Bielfeldt doubtful Saturday vs. Arkansas ( Ankle ) | | [G] 12/03/2012 - Josh Bartelstein expected to miss at least 6 weeks ( Ankle ) |
|
|