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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 11-12 | 35-39 | 201-220 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 12-14 | 46-42 | 241-235 | | in all lined games | 11-12 | 35-39 | 201-220 | 1-0 | 27-25 | 107-114 | 9-14 | 35-42 | 199-232 | | as an underdog | 9-6 | 17-17 | 104-109 | 1-0 | 14-6 | 70-61 | 6-9 | 9-25 | 57-158 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17-21 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 6-32 | | in road games | 8-3 | 20-18 | 100-99 | 1-0 | 18-11 | 57-48 | 5-6 | 16-23 | 73-135 | | in road lined games | 8-3 | 20-18 | 100-99 | 1-0 | 18-11 | 57-48 | 5-6 | 16-23 | 70-133 | | against conference opponents | 6-7 | 19-27 | 143-145 | 0-0 | 19-15 | 74-72 | 5-8 | 22-26 | 148-147 | | in March games | 0-0 | 1-5 | 18-31 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 21-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 20-30 | | on Saturday games | 6-4 | 15-15 | 78-88 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 33-43 | 5-5 | 19-15 | 97-89 | | after a conference game | 5-7 | 20-26 | 141-141 | 0-0 | 18-15 | 75-69 | 5-8 | 21-27 | 150-144 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 2-2 | 4-8 | 33-30 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 21-19 | 1-3 | 3-9 | 20-43 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-3 | 8-12 | 70-71 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 36-29 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 76-71 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 1-2 | 3-3 | 23-28 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 21-33 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-1 | 3-2 | 38-40 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 47-42 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 3-5 | 8-16 | 92-108 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 55-49 | 1-7 | 5-19 | 74-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-1 | 5-9 | 49-49 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 29-29 | 1-1 | 3-11 | 33-66 |
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| in all games | 12-8 | 42-34 | 217-219 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 13-12 | 36-57 | 235-253 | | in all lined games | 12-8 | 42-34 | 217-219 | 0-0 | 29-25 | 115-117 | 12-10 | 28-52 | 202-243 | | as a favorite | 7-3 | 13-7 | 100-74 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 39-32 | 10-1 | 18-3 | 146-32 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 15-4 | | in all home games | 3-4 | 18-18 | 100-89 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 7-3 | 23-23 | 150-67 | | in home lined games | 3-4 | 18-18 | 100-89 | 0-0 | 19-10 | 56-45 | 6-2 | 18-21 | 128-65 | | against conference opponents | 6-6 | 25-22 | 146-146 | 0-0 | 17-18 | 71-80 | 8-5 | 18-31 | 152-148 | | in March games | 0-0 | 6-3 | 27-25 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 30-25 | | on Saturday games | 7-1 | 17-15 | 78-88 | 0-0 | 12-11 | 40-38 | 8-2 | 17-20 | 89-95 | | after a conference game | 6-5 | 26-20 | 145-141 | 0-0 | 16-19 | 79-72 | 8-4 | 19-30 | 151-148 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 3-1 | 17-11 | 63-69 | 0-0 | 13-12 | 39-40 | 2-2 | 9-20 | 60-76 | | when playing against a team with a losing record | 8-2 | 18-15 | 91-76 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 44-50 | 9-3 | 22-19 | 129-65 | | when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games | 5-2 | 13-10 | 62-43 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 32-33 | 6-1 | 14-10 | 77-32 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 12-14 | -2.4 | 11-12 | 1-0 | 64.2 | 29.6 | 42.1% | 35.5 | 67.6 | 31.3 | 44.9% | 31.8 | | Road Games | 5-6 | +5.2 | 8-3 | 1-0 | 64.1 | 29.5 | 43.3% | 34.0 | 70.3 | 33.2 | 46.0% | 31.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 70.2 | 32.6 | 43.8% | 34.0 | 68.4 | 30.2 | 46.5% | 31.6 | | Conference Games | 5-8 | -0.8 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 62.9 | 30.1 | 43.3% | 34.5 | 67.2 | 31.7 | 46.8% | 29.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 64.2 | 29.6 | 22-52 | 42.1% | 6-18 | 31.7% | 15-23 | 65.0% | 35 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 2 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.5 | 31.1 | 24-55 | 42.9% | 6-19 | 33.7% | 14-20 | 69.1% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 64.1 | 29.5 | 22-52 | 43.3% | 6-18 | 32.5% | 13-20 | 66.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.6 | 31.3 | 24-53 | 44.9% | 6-19 | 34.8% | 13-19 | 71.0% | 32 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 66 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 42.8% | 6-18 | 34.6% | 13-19 | 70.3% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.3 | 33.2 | 25-55 | 46.0% | 5-18 | 30.2% | 14-20 | 71.8% | 32 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
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| All Games | 13-12 | +6.4 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 68.3 | 30.1 | 42.8% | 33.1 | 68.5 | 30.2 | 42.1% | 36.1 | | Home Games | 7-3 | +3.8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 68.0 | 30.4 | 41.8% | 34.5 | 63.3 | 26.8 | 39.9% | 36.1 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | +0.8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 66.8 | 28.8 | 40.2% | 35.0 | 64.4 | 27.6 | 39.4% | 38.8 | | Conference Games | 8-5 | +5.4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 67.2 | 28.1 | 42.7% | 32.7 | 67.7 | 29.8 | 42.4% | 36.5 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 68.3 | 30.1 | 24-55 | 42.8% | 6-17 | 33.0% | 16-20 | 76.8% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66 | 30.6 | 23-53 | 43.2% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 14-20 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 68.0 | 30.4 | 23-54 | 41.8% | 6-17 | 32.7% | 17-22 | 79.6% | 34 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.5 | 30.2 | 24-56 | 42.1% | 7-21 | 33.5% | 14-20 | 71.3% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 65.9 | 30.3 | 23-54 | 42.7% | 6-19 | 33.4% | 13-19 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 63.3 | 26.8 | 22-56 | 39.9% | 7-21 | 33.2% | 11-16 | 70.4% | 36 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: BALL ST 68.8, TOLEDO 68.4 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BALL ST is 18-12 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997 | | BALL ST is 18-13 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997 | | 9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| TOLEDO is 7-7 against the spread versus BALL ST since 1997 | | TOLEDO is 9-5 straight up against BALL ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons | | BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/30/2013 | TOLEDO | 85 | | SU ATS | 35 | 30-58 | 51.7% | 7-16 | 43.7% | 18-21 | 85.7% | 25 | 7 | 4 | | | BALL ST | 78 | -1.5 | | 37 | 26-57 | 45.6% | 5-18 | 27.8% | 21-29 | 72.4% | 41 | 18 | 15 | 2/15/2012 | TOLEDO | 63 | 130.5 | SU ATS | 22 | 19-36 | 52.8% | 12-17 | 70.6% | 13-24 | 54.2% | 30 | 3 | 15 | | | BALL ST | 55 | -9 | Under | 21 | 20-65 | 30.8% | 9-30 | 30.0% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 46 | 24 | 13 | 1/10/2012 | BALL ST | 70 | -4.5 | SU Over | 33 | 23-46 | 50.0% | 10-19 | 52.6% | 14-22 | 63.6% | 31 | 5 | 17 | | | TOLEDO | 68 | 136 | ATS | 31 | 25-56 | 44.6% | 6-20 | 30.0% | 12-15 | 80.0% | 31 | 9 | 14 | 2/15/2011 | TOLEDO | 62 | 124 | Over | 32 | 22-42 | 52.4% | 5-14 | 35.7% | 13-22 | 59.1% | 24 | 8 | 24 | | | BALL ST | 83 | -14 | SU ATS | 40 | 26-57 | 45.6% | 7-22 | 31.8% | 24-32 | 75.0% | 38 | 22 | 16 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (163-177) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-36) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (174-175) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32) | |
| No total has been posted for this game. |
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| [G] 02/26/2013 - Michael Ramey out for season ( Illness ) | | [C] 01/11/2013 - Mading Thok out indefinitely ( Finger ) | |
| [G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot ) | | [F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal ) | | [G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal ) | | [F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None ) |
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