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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
BALL ST (12-14) AT TOLEDO (13-12) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
551: BALL ST
552: TOLEDO
OFF
-6.0
64.2 / 67.6
68.3 / 68.5
12-14
13-12
11-12
12-8
1-0
0-0
42.1
42.8
65.0
76.8
31.7
33.0
44.9
42.1
71.0
71.3
34.8
33.5
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BALL ST  
TOLEDO-9 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALL ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1235-39201-2201-027-25107-11412-1446-42241-235
in all lined games11-1235-39201-2201-027-25107-1149-1435-42199-232
as an underdog9-617-17104-1091-014-670-616-99-2557-158
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-02-417-210-01-58-150-00-66-32
in road games8-320-18100-991-018-1157-485-616-2373-135
in road lined games8-320-18100-991-018-1157-485-616-2370-133
against conference opponents6-719-27143-1450-019-1574-725-822-26148-147
in March games0-01-518-310-04-221-150-03-320-30
on Saturday games6-415-1578-880-011-1233-435-519-1597-89
after a conference game5-720-26141-1410-018-1575-695-821-27150-144
revenging a home loss vs opponent2-24-833-300-05-321-191-33-920-43
off a win against a conference rival1-38-1270-710-010-736-291-310-1176-71
after allowing 80 points or more1-23-323-280-02-15-101-23-321-33
after scoring 80 points or more2-13-238-400-00-24-131-23-447-42
when playing against a team with a winning record3-58-1692-1081-09-855-491-75-1974-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-15-949-490-06-629-291-13-1133-66

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-842-34217-2190-029-25115-11713-1236-57235-253
in all lined games12-842-34217-2190-029-25115-11712-1028-52202-243
as a favorite7-313-7100-740-05-539-3210-118-3146-32
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-21-28-100-00-13-43-04-015-4
in all home games3-418-18100-890-019-1056-457-323-23150-67
in home lined games3-418-18100-890-019-1056-456-218-21128-65
against conference opponents6-625-22146-1460-017-1871-808-518-31152-148
in March games0-06-327-250-03-625-180-04-530-25
on Saturday games7-117-1578-880-012-1140-388-217-2089-95
after a conference game6-526-20145-1410-016-1979-728-419-30151-148
off a loss against a conference rival3-117-1163-690-013-1239-402-29-2060-76
when playing against a team with a losing record8-218-1591-760-010-1344-509-322-19129-65
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games5-213-1062-430-08-932-336-114-1077-32
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALL ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-14-2.411-121-064.229.642.1%35.567.631.344.9%31.8
Road Games5-6+5.28-31-064.129.543.3%34.070.333.246.0%31.5
Last 5 Games4-1+3.84-10-070.232.643.8%34.068.430.246.5%31.6
Conference Games5-8-0.86-70-062.930.143.3%34.567.231.746.8%29.5
BALL ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)64.229.622-5242.1%6-1831.7%15-2365.0%351112176152
vs opponents surrendering67.531.124-5542.9%6-1933.7%14-2069.1%341013177133
Team Stats (Road Games)64.129.522-5243.3%6-1832.5%13-2066.4%34912186162
Stats Against (All Games)67.631.324-5344.9%6-1934.8%13-1971.0%32914207133
vs opponents averaging6630.423-5442.8%6-1834.6%13-1970.3%34913187143
Stats Against (Road Games)70.333.225-5546.0%5-1830.2%14-2071.8%32913198123

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-12+6.412-80-068.330.142.8%33.168.530.242.1%36.1
Home Games7-3+3.83-40-068.030.441.8%34.563.326.839.9%36.1
Last 5 Games3-2+0.82-20-066.828.840.2%35.064.427.639.4%38.8
Conference Games8-5+5.46-60-067.228.142.7%32.767.729.842.4%36.5
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.330.124-5542.8%6-1733.0%16-2076.8%33812177123
vs opponents surrendering6630.623-5343.2%6-1934.5%14-2069.6%34913177143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.030.423-5441.8%6-1732.7%17-2279.6%34814157113
Stats Against (All Games)68.530.224-5642.1%7-2133.5%14-2071.3%361013187144
vs opponents averaging65.930.323-5442.7%6-1933.4%13-1969.6%34913187143
Stats Against (Home Games)63.326.822-5639.9%7-2133.2%11-1670.4%361112196144
Average power rating of opponents played: BALL ST 68.8,  TOLEDO 68.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
BALL ST is 18-12 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
BALL ST is 18-13 straight up against TOLEDO since 1997
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 7-7 against the spread versus BALL ST since 1997
TOLEDO is 9-5 straight up against BALL ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/30/2013TOLEDO85 SU ATS3530-5851.7%7-1643.7%18-2185.7%2574
 BALL ST78-1.5 3726-5745.6%5-1827.8%21-2972.4%411815
2/15/2012TOLEDO63130.5SU ATS2219-3652.8%12-1770.6%13-2454.2%30315
 BALL ST55-9 Under2120-6530.8%9-3030.0%6-1346.2%462413
1/10/2012BALL ST70-4.5SU Over3323-4650.0%10-1952.6%14-2263.6%31517
 TOLEDO68136 ATS3125-5644.6%6-2030.0%12-1580.0%31914
2/15/2011TOLEDO62124 Over3222-4252.4%5-1435.7%13-2259.1%24824
 BALL ST83-14SU ATS4026-5745.6%7-2231.8%24-3275.0%382216
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BALL ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 47.9% of the time since 1997. (163-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALL ST games 40% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-36)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.9% of the time since 1997. (174-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-32)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
BALL ST
[G] 02/26/2013 - Michael Ramey out for season ( Illness )
[C] 01/11/2013 - Mading Thok out indefinitely ( Finger )
TOLEDO
[G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
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