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Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:30 PM
BAYLOR (4-2) AT KENTUCKY (4-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
525: BAYLOR
526: KENTUCKY
149.0
-6.0
79.2 / 66.5
79.3 / 67.0
4-2
4-2
1-3
0-4
2-1
2-1
49.7
53.5
68.4
66.7
34.5
43.0
42.9
40.3
58.1
74.7
40.9
31.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BAYLOR  
KENTUCKY-11
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BAYLOR - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games1-321-35176-1772-129-28116-934-252-23242-221
in all lined games1-321-35176-1772-129-28116-932-235-23150-209
when the total is 140 to 149.51-27-1844-442-113-1351-382-115-1150-39
as an underdog0-07-10110-990-010-765-470-06-1148-165
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-03-28-60-03-28-40-03-26-8
in road games0-08-1071-730-08-1144-340-010-941-111
in road lined games0-08-1071-730-08-1144-340-010-936-109
in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.50-02-210-70-00-49-80-02-25-12
against SEC opponents0-00-24-60-01-16-40-01-15-5
in December games0-05-524-200-04-67-120-010-366-24
on Saturday games0-18-1577-790-010-1349-360-112-1288-106
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest0-10-211-180-01-06-80-14-124-22
after a non-conference game1-39-1355-472-111-1031-294-230-7141-54
in non-conference games1-38-1148-432-110-929-274-231-6148-48
after scoring 60 points or less1-04-637-411-05-520-161-06-532-59
when playing against a team with a winning record1-219-29144-1372-126-24103-802-135-18125-180
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-02-1059-540-07-639-330-07-844-81

KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games0-434-40250-2332-128-43188-2074-271-13408-126
in all lined games0-434-40250-2332-128-43188-2072-263-13369-125
when the total is 140 to 149.50-016-1677-740-016-1562-890-026-6108-46
as a favorite0-231-38205-1921-027-39153-1622-060-11336-71
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points0-00-06-90-00-05-100-00-013-3
in all home games0-111-1692-990-013-1369-793-036-0205-29
in home lined games0-111-1692-990-013-1369-791-028-0169-28
in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.50-01-29-100-01-24-150-03-015-5
against Big 12 conference opponents0-04-16-60-02-25-70-05-011-3
in December games0-04-849-420-05-739-400-013-282-23
on Saturday games0-011-1799-920-017-1279-790-025-6148-54
when playing with one or less days rest0-09-539-340-06-735-271-013-257-25
after a non-conference game0-417-20105-1072-115-1983-914-239-7197-59
in non-conference games0-417-20108-1042-114-2087-924-240-6199-58
after scoring 60 points or less0-02-124-180-01-118-180-03-036-12
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-15-923-230-15-917-231-113-239-11
when playing against a team with a winning record0-328-32204-1941-122-36155-1811-250-13298-118
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-18-776-760-04-1053-752-012-4104-58
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BAYLOR - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games4-2-0.21-32-179.238.849.7%39.566.535.842.9%31.3
Road Games2-1-0.21-22-179.738.747.7%38.370.740.046.4%30.3
Last 5 Games3-2-0.21-32-175.236.446.6%38.664.434.844.4%31.2
BAYLOR Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.238.830-6049.7%6-1934.5%13-1968.4%391115169123
vs opponents surrendering7031.826-6043.2%7-2132.1%12-1768.8%361012197133
Team Stats (Road Games)79.738.728-5847.7%9-2043.3%16-2271.2%3811121410112
Stats Against (All Games)66.535.825-5942.9%7-1840.9%8-1458.1%311011176143
vs opponents averaging69.732.624-5544.4%6-1737.2%15-2168.2%35912176144
Stats Against (Road Games)70.740.028-6046.4%8-1941.4%7-1355.0%30912186144

KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games4-2-10-42-179.340.553.5%34.067.035.040.3%34.0
Home Games3-000-10-095.346.062.0%36.364.735.039.5%28.7
Last 5 Games3-2-20-31-180.838.855.8%33.266.634.842.1%30.0
KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.340.529-5453.5%6-1343.0%16-2366.7%34816156127
vs opponents surrendering70.331.826-5943.2%6-1834.2%13-1969.2%351014187144
Team Stats (Home Games)95.346.035-5762.0%7-1447.6%18-2669.2%36821128118
Stats Against (All Games)67.035.025-6140.3%6-1831.8%12-1674.7%341113205123
vs opponents averaging74.133.927-5845.6%7-1935.6%14-2169.2%371016187145
Stats Against (Home Games)64.735.024-6239.5%5-1927.6%11-1380.0%29911225152
Average power rating of opponents played: BAYLOR 69,  KENTUCKY 74.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR since 1997
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR since 1997
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at KENTUCKY since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/25/2012BAYLOR70148 Over2225-6439.1%4-1428.6%16-1984.2%341114
NKENTUCKY82-8SU ATS4224-4553.3%4-944.4%30-4468.2%32713
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BAYLOR in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (140-128)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 48.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (199-192)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-35)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (92-84)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 60.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (169-174)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 58.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-26)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BAYLOR
[G] 11/30/2012 - Brady Heslip probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Appendix )
KENTUCKY
[G] 12/01/2012 - Twany Beckham expected to miss ( Stomach )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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