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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| BAYLOR | | | | KENTUCKY | -11 |  |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 1-3 | 21-35 | 176-177 | 2-1 | 29-28 | 116-93 | 4-2 | 52-23 | 242-221 | | in all lined games | 1-3 | 21-35 | 176-177 | 2-1 | 29-28 | 116-93 | 2-2 | 35-23 | 150-209 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 1-2 | 7-18 | 44-44 | 2-1 | 13-13 | 51-38 | 2-1 | 15-11 | 50-39 | | as an underdog | 0-0 | 7-10 | 110-99 | 0-0 | 10-7 | 65-47 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 48-165 | | as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 6-8 | | in road games | 0-0 | 8-10 | 71-73 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 44-34 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 41-111 | | in road lined games | 0-0 | 8-10 | 71-73 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 44-34 | 0-0 | 10-9 | 36-109 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-12 | | against SEC opponents | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5-5 | | in December games | 0-0 | 5-5 | 24-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 10-3 | 66-24 | | on Saturday games | 0-1 | 8-15 | 77-79 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 49-36 | 0-1 | 12-12 | 88-106 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 24-22 | | after a non-conference game | 1-3 | 9-13 | 55-47 | 2-1 | 11-10 | 31-29 | 4-2 | 30-7 | 141-54 | | in non-conference games | 1-3 | 8-11 | 48-43 | 2-1 | 10-9 | 29-27 | 4-2 | 31-6 | 148-48 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 1-0 | 4-6 | 37-41 | 1-0 | 5-5 | 20-16 | 1-0 | 6-5 | 32-59 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-2 | 19-29 | 144-137 | 2-1 | 26-24 | 103-80 | 2-1 | 35-18 | 125-180 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-0 | 2-10 | 59-54 | 0-0 | 7-6 | 39-33 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 44-81 |
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| in all games | 0-4 | 34-40 | 250-233 | 2-1 | 28-43 | 188-207 | 4-2 | 71-13 | 408-126 | | in all lined games | 0-4 | 34-40 | 250-233 | 2-1 | 28-43 | 188-207 | 2-2 | 63-13 | 369-125 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 16-16 | 77-74 | 0-0 | 16-15 | 62-89 | 0-0 | 26-6 | 108-46 | | as a favorite | 0-2 | 31-38 | 205-192 | 1-0 | 27-39 | 153-162 | 2-0 | 60-11 | 336-71 | | as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13-3 | | in all home games | 0-1 | 11-16 | 92-99 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 69-79 | 3-0 | 36-0 | 205-29 | | in home lined games | 0-1 | 11-16 | 92-99 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 69-79 | 1-0 | 28-0 | 169-28 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 15-5 | | against Big 12 conference opponents | 0-0 | 4-1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 11-3 | | in December games | 0-0 | 4-8 | 49-42 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 39-40 | 0-0 | 13-2 | 82-23 | | on Saturday games | 0-0 | 11-17 | 99-92 | 0-0 | 17-12 | 79-79 | 0-0 | 25-6 | 148-54 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 0-0 | 9-5 | 39-34 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 35-27 | 1-0 | 13-2 | 57-25 | | after a non-conference game | 0-4 | 17-20 | 105-107 | 2-1 | 15-19 | 83-91 | 4-2 | 39-7 | 197-59 | | in non-conference games | 0-4 | 17-20 | 108-104 | 2-1 | 14-20 | 87-92 | 4-2 | 40-6 | 199-58 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 0-0 | 2-1 | 24-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 36-12 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-1 | 5-9 | 23-23 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 17-23 | 1-1 | 13-2 | 39-11 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 0-3 | 28-32 | 204-194 | 1-1 | 22-36 | 155-181 | 1-2 | 50-13 | 298-118 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-1 | 8-7 | 76-76 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 53-75 | 2-0 | 12-4 | 104-58 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 4-2 | -0.2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 79.2 | 38.8 | 49.7% | 39.5 | 66.5 | 35.8 | 42.9% | 31.3 | | Road Games | 2-1 | -0.2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 79.7 | 38.7 | 47.7% | 38.3 | 70.7 | 40.0 | 46.4% | 30.3 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -0.2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 75.2 | 36.4 | 46.6% | 38.6 | 64.4 | 34.8 | 44.4% | 31.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.2 | 38.8 | 30-60 | 49.7% | 6-19 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 39 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70 | 31.8 | 26-60 | 43.2% | 7-21 | 32.1% | 12-17 | 68.8% | 36 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 79.7 | 38.7 | 28-58 | 47.7% | 9-20 | 43.3% | 16-22 | 71.2% | 38 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 66.5 | 35.8 | 25-59 | 42.9% | 7-18 | 40.9% | 8-14 | 58.1% | 31 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.7 | 32.6 | 24-55 | 44.4% | 6-17 | 37.2% | 15-21 | 68.2% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 70.7 | 40.0 | 28-60 | 46.4% | 8-19 | 41.4% | 7-13 | 55.0% | 30 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 |
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| All Games | 4-2 | -1 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 79.3 | 40.5 | 53.5% | 34.0 | 67.0 | 35.0 | 40.3% | 34.0 | | Home Games | 3-0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 95.3 | 46.0 | 62.0% | 36.3 | 64.7 | 35.0 | 39.5% | 28.7 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -2 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 80.8 | 38.8 | 55.8% | 33.2 | 66.6 | 34.8 | 42.1% | 30.0 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 79.3 | 40.5 | 29-54 | 53.5% | 6-13 | 43.0% | 16-23 | 66.7% | 34 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 7 | | vs opponents surrendering | 70.3 | 31.8 | 26-59 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 13-19 | 69.2% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 95.3 | 46.0 | 35-57 | 62.0% | 7-14 | 47.6% | 18-26 | 69.2% | 36 | 8 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 8 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 67.0 | 35.0 | 25-61 | 40.3% | 6-18 | 31.8% | 12-16 | 74.7% | 34 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 74.1 | 33.9 | 27-58 | 45.6% | 7-19 | 35.6% | 14-21 | 69.2% | 37 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 5 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 64.7 | 35.0 | 24-62 | 39.5% | 5-19 | 27.6% | 11-13 | 80.0% | 29 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: BAYLOR 69, KENTUCKY 74.5 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR since 1997 | | KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons | | KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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3/25/2012 | BAYLOR | 70 | 148 | Over | 22 | 25-64 | 39.1% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 16-19 | 84.2% | 34 | 11 | 14 | | N | KENTUCKY | 82 | -8 | SU ATS | 42 | 24-45 | 53.3% | 4-9 | 44.4% | 30-44 | 68.2% | 32 | 7 | 13 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 52.2% of the time since 1997. (140-128) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BAYLOR games 48.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (21-22) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 50.9% of the time since 1997. (199-192) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in KENTUCKY games 47% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (31-35) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (92-84) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BAYLOR games 60.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-18) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (169-174) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in KENTUCKY games 58.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-26) | |
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| [G] 11/30/2012 - Brady Heslip probable Saturday vs. Kentucky ( Appendix ) | |
| [G] 12/01/2012 - Twany Beckham expected to miss ( Stomach ) |
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