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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:00 PM
BUFFALO (11-6) AT BOWLING GREEN (9-11) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
813: BUFFALO
814: BOWLING GREEN
127.5
+3.0
72.2 / 66.5
63.0 / 63.0
11-6
9-11
9-4
9-10
6-5
6-9
43.5
42.4
70.8
62.8
31.5
31.0
41.0
40.8
69.3
63.8
27.9
33.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BUFFALO-1 
BOWLING GREEN  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-436-38210-2146-524-19141-10511-644-37229-274
in all lined games9-436-38210-2146-524-19141-1057-638-37183-245
when the total is 120 to 129.50-02-214-230-03-124-130-03-117-20
as a favorite6-318-2384-815-316-1275-526-329-12118-48
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-12-315-60-01-18-70-12-315-6
in road games3-318-1793-1112-211-963-492-414-2276-165
in road lined games3-318-1793-1112-211-963-492-414-2259-148
in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.50-01-17-110-01-112-60-01-17-11
against conference opponents6-124-18136-1494-314-1395-655-226-17124-181
in February games0-06-949-660-06-338-240-09-749-75
after a conference game5-223-18131-1474-215-1199-604-325-17126-178
off a win against a conference rival3-117-761-533-19-947-352-215-1059-56
after scoring 80 points or more1-06-640-370-14-428-255-011-547-50
when playing against a team with a losing record1-212-1677-792-07-652-383-220-11114-76
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games1-06-844-471-04-232-201-011-354-41
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-06-930-380-05-328-170-07-820-49
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-08-1550-551-09-542-321-011-1238-75
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games1-04-623-371-03-129-121-07-328-33
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game1-04-936-491-03-240-183-09-650-47

BOWLING GREEN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-1041-35219-2236-917-29118-1289-1138-46253-252
in all lined games9-1041-35219-2236-917-29118-1288-1133-45217-238
when the total is 120 to 129.55-210-743-303-44-1337-374-39-840-34
as an underdog6-524-17118-1334-312-1278-774-712-3169-190
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick1-24-316-171-11-310-91-23-413-21
in all home games3-621-16101-963-57-1756-535-528-14163-71
in home lined games3-621-16101-963-57-1756-534-523-14133-68
in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.51-23-520-172-12-620-171-23-523-14
against conference opponents3-421-18139-1553-46-1977-813-419-22149-156
in February games0-010-658-640-03-642-230-012-565-63
after a conference game3-320-16134-1513-37-1779-784-321-20146-158
off a loss against a conference rival1-212-664-721-24-749-321-212-870-73
after scoring 60 points or less3-418-859-622-57-940-453-414-1563-75
when playing against a team with a winning record5-621-18109-1214-414-1172-624-711-2988-159
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games2-19-757-712-17-348-332-16-1143-90
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-6-19-46-572.233.943.5%37.466.530.941.0%35.4
Road Games2-6-64-43-367.233.640.6%38.673.033.241.7%38.9
Last 5 Games3-2-1.34-13-272.635.046.9%35.865.629.043.7%32.2
Conference Games5-2+0.76-14-372.332.745.6%35.662.927.940.9%34.6
BUFFALO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)72.233.925-5643.5%6-1931.5%17-2470.8%371115207146
vs opponents surrendering70.532.524-5544.1%6-1932.9%16-2369.0%351013206134
Team Stats (Road Games)67.233.624-5940.6%5-1828.2%14-2167.4%391212215156
Stats Against (All Games)66.530.923-5641.0%5-1627.9%16-2369.3%351012218142
vs opponents averaging69.23223-5542.4%6-1832.9%17-2469.1%351012206133
Stats Against (Road Games)73.033.225-6041.7%4-1528.2%19-2671.3%391113209123

BOWLING GREEN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-11+1.49-106-963.029.442.4%34.763.031.640.8%36.0
Home Games5-5-5.63-63-565.930.243.0%36.461.031.039.2%36.0
Last 5 Games3-2+5.23-23-263.229.440.9%32.263.235.042.6%35.0
Conference Games3-4+0.23-43-457.626.938.1%32.659.632.140.2%36.0
BOWLING GREEN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)63.029.423-5442.4%4-1331.0%13-2162.8%35812188156
vs opponents surrendering69.531.924-5643.6%6-1834.1%15-2169.2%35913197134
Team Stats (Home Games)65.930.223-5343.0%4-1430.1%16-2563.0%36813198157
Stats Against (All Games)63.031.622-5340.8%6-1833.4%14-2163.8%36912188154
vs opponents averaging69.632.724-5543.4%6-1931.9%16-2269.6%35912197134
Stats Against (Home Games)61.031.021-5339.2%6-1932.8%14-2260.7%36810209163
Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 66.8,  BOWLING GREEN 69.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
BOWLING GREEN is 14-12 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
BOWLING GREEN is 17-10 straight up against BUFFALO since 1997
11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BOWLING GREEN since 1997
BOWLING GREEN is 8-5 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 straight up against BUFFALO since 1997
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/8/2013BUFFALO65  3524-4949.0%6-1735.3%11-1764.7%291116
 BOWLING GREEN76-2.5SU ATS3229-5949.2%4-944.4%14-1973.7%32129
1/19/2013BOWLING GREEN65  ATS3322-5937.3%7-1450.0%14-1973.7%36139
 BUFFALO68-5.5SU2523-5244.2%7-2133.3%15-2075.0%37910
3/3/2012BOWLING GREEN64134 ATS3127-6243.5%3-933.3%7-887.5%36108
 BUFFALO68-5.5SU Under3023-4847.9%5-1338.5%17-2568.0%32811
1/21/2012BUFFALO68135SU ATS2626-5844.8%9-2142.9%7-1643.7%361013
 BOWLING GREEN66-1.5 Under2723-5641.1%5-1729.4%15-1978.9%35913
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring BUFFALO in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 51.5% of the time since 1997. (175-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 44.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (172-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BOWLING GREEN games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-33)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring nothing on the total in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (104-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOWLING GREEN games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (96-105)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BOWLING GREEN games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BUFFALO
[G] 02/01/2014 - Jarryn Skeete "?" Sunday vs. Bowling Green ( Knee )
BOWLING GREEN
[G] 02/01/2014 - Zack Denny "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Undisclosed )
[F] 02/01/2014 - Craig Sealey "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo ( Knee )
[G] 12/11/2013 - Chauncey Orr out for season ( Knee )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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