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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| BUTLER | | | | VA COMMONWEALTH | -10 | |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 16-10 | 49-43 | 245-224 | 10-4 | 46-37 | 148-141 | 22-6 | 72-31 | 383-145 | | in all lined games | 16-10 | 49-43 | 245-224 | 10-4 | 46-37 | 148-141 | 20-6 | 65-31 | 341-141 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 3-3 | 16-19 | 45-46 | 3-3 | 18-17 | 45-46 | 4-2 | 23-13 | 63-29 | | as an underdog | 7-2 | 18-10 | 72-49 | 6-1 | 17-10 | 38-42 | 6-3 | 16-14 | 53-73 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-9 | | in road games | 6-3 | 16-20 | 91-100 | 3-3 | 15-19 | 54-61 | 6-3 | 20-18 | 121-90 | | in road lined games | 6-3 | 16-20 | 91-100 | 3-3 | 15-19 | 54-61 | 6-3 | 20-18 | 111-86 | | in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 5-4 | 2-0 | 3-2 | 4-5 | | against conference opponents | 8-6 | 24-29 | 129-153 | 5-2 | 24-23 | 81-86 | 9-5 | 37-18 | 214-77 | | in March games | 0-0 | 9-2 | 39-24 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 20-31 | 0-0 | 9-2 | 43-21 | | on Saturday games | 8-4 | 23-14 | 104-92 | 5-3 | 21-13 | 58-53 | 13-0 | 32-10 | 167-52 | | when playing with 7 or more days rest | 0-0 | 2-0 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 17-5 | | after a conference game | 8-5 | 26-26 | 133-140 | 6-2 | 27-21 | 87-83 | 10-3 | 37-17 | 211-79 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 2-2 | 9-8 | 38-31 | 3-1 | 10-6 | 20-21 | 4-0 | 12-5 | 53-20 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 11-6 | 37-22 | 160-122 | 9-2 | 33-23 | 100-92 | 11-6 | 41-22 | 205-95 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 6-3 | 23-13 | 88-69 | 4-1 | 18-14 | 53-61 | 5-4 | 25-12 | 116-52 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 2-2 | 13-8 | 39-35 | 2-1 | 13-7 | 28-27 | 2-2 | 17-5 | 49-27 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 7-3 | 23-14 | 73-62 | 5-2 | 24-12 | 55-46 | 8-2 | 31-9 | 94-47 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 1-0 | 1-0 | 13-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 11-11 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 3-1 | 5-2 | 29-21 | 3-1 | 6-1 | 16-15 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 27-25 |
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| in all games | 8-13 | 45-48 | 231-218 | 7-6 | 41-43 | 139-129 | 22-6 | 79-25 | 336-174 | | in all lined games | 8-13 | 45-48 | 231-218 | 7-6 | 41-43 | 139-129 | 15-6 | 70-25 | 293-166 | | when the total is 130 to 139.5 | 2-8 | 21-24 | 62-68 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 71-59 | 5-5 | 32-13 | 93-38 | | as a favorite | 7-11 | 28-39 | 144-143 | 5-5 | 29-29 | 98-93 | 14-4 | 56-13 | 241-55 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 2-1 | 7-3 | 18-21 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 9-14 | 2-1 | 7-3 | 30-10 | | in all home games | 6-4 | 17-18 | 93-91 | 2-4 | 12-18 | 54-55 | 13-2 | 37-6 | 187-37 | | in home lined games | 6-4 | 17-18 | 93-91 | 2-4 | 12-18 | 54-55 | 8-2 | 30-6 | 155-36 | | in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10-14 | 1-0 | 4-2 | 15-10 | 1-0 | 6-0 | 22-3 | | against conference opponents | 4-9 | 22-31 | 149-151 | 5-1 | 24-24 | 90-83 | 10-3 | 42-13 | 205-103 | | in March games | 0-0 | 9-3 | 30-21 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 20-23 | 0-0 | 11-2 | 36-16 | | on Saturday games | 4-6 | 14-17 | 96-84 | 1-3 | 11-14 | 56-46 | 11-2 | 27-7 | 135-64 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-2 | 0-8 | 12-27 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 12-15 | 2-0 | 6-2 | 34-13 | | after a conference game | 3-9 | 24-27 | 154-140 | 5-1 | 22-25 | 89-81 | 9-3 | 43-11 | 207-100 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-6 | 19-19 | 98-96 | 4-0 | 20-15 | 67-60 | 7-2 | 34-7 | 139-64 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 6-9 | 32-30 | 131-118 | 6-6 | 26-32 | 85-77 | 10-6 | 41-24 | 145-121 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-5 | 20-13 | 74-66 | 4-1 | 15-18 | 52-44 | 3-3 | 23-11 | 79-65 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games | 1-2 | 13-8 | 51-39 | 2-0 | 10-11 | 37-32 | 2-1 | 16-6 | 55-38 | | versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game | 5-3 | 24-18 | 79-68 | 3-2 | 16-23 | 55-50 | 7-1 | 30-13 | 89-66 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 22-6 | +7.9 | 16-10 | 10-4 | 70.2 | 33.3 | 45.6% | 36.6 | 63.2 | 28.9 | 41.1% | 29.2 | | Road Games | 9-4 | +10.2 | 9-4 | 7-3 | 67.8 | 30.5 | 44.2% | 37.2 | 66.8 | 29.6 | 40.6% | 33.5 | | Last 5 Games | 3-2 | -5.4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 64.6 | 31.6 | 40.6% | 39.0 | 60.8 | 25.6 | 39.4% | 34.0 | | Conference Games | 9-5 | -4.2 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 66.4 | 31.9 | 44.1% | 36.5 | 62.7 | 28.9 | 40.3% | 30.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 70.2 | 33.3 | 24-54 | 45.6% | 7-19 | 36.0% | 14-21 | 69.0% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.2 | 31.2 | 24-55 | 43.2% | 6-18 | 34.7% | 13-19 | 69.6% | 34 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 67.8 | 30.5 | 24-54 | 44.2% | 7-18 | 35.8% | 13-20 | 65.0% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 2 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.2 | 28.9 | 22-54 | 41.1% | 6-17 | 32.9% | 13-19 | 68.9% | 29 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.8 | 32.5 | 24-55 | 43.9% | 7-19 | 34.8% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 34 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 66.8 | 29.6 | 23-57 | 40.6% | 6-18 | 32.1% | 15-21 | 70.6% | 34 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
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| All Games | 22-6 | -9 | 8-13 | 7-6 | 77.4 | 36.5 | 45.0% | 35.6 | 63.6 | 28.5 | 44.1% | 34.4 | | Home Games | 13-2 | -6.5 | 6-4 | 2-4 | 78.2 | 37.8 | 43.9% | 36.3 | 60.9 | 27.5 | 42.7% | 36.5 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 75.0 | 32.0 | 46.1% | 30.2 | 66.6 | 34.2 | 47.7% | 35.4 | | Conference Games | 10-3 | -5.5 | 4-9 | 5-1 | 76.1 | 33.2 | 44.7% | 34.1 | 68.7 | 31.5 | 46.2% | 35.4 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.4 | 36.5 | 28-63 | 45.0% | 8-23 | 34.5% | 13-19 | 68.6% | 36 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 67.2 | 31.2 | 24-56 | 42.7% | 6-18 | 33.7% | 13-19 | 69.7% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 78.2 | 37.8 | 29-66 | 43.9% | 8-25 | 31.5% | 13-18 | 70.6% | 36 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 63.6 | 28.5 | 22-51 | 44.1% | 5-17 | 32.7% | 13-20 | 68.2% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69 | 32.2 | 24-55 | 44.1% | 6-18 | 34.4% | 14-20 | 69.5% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 60.9 | 27.5 | 22-50 | 42.7% | 5-16 | 30.5% | 13-20 | 65.5% | 37 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 23 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: BUTLER 74.3, VA COMMONWEALTH 74.1 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| BUTLER is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH since 1997 | | BUTLER is 1-0 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH since 1997 | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| BUTLER is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons | | BUTLER is 1-0 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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| There were no past matchups in this series during this time period. |
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4/2/2011 | VA COMMONWEALTH | 62 | 131.5 | Over | 28 | 23-58 | 39.7% | 8-22 | 36.4% | 8-13 | 61.5% | 32 | 5 | 10 | | N | BUTLER | 70 | -3.5 | SU ATS | 34 | 21-59 | 35.6% | 8-23 | 34.8% | 20-26 | 76.9% | 48 | 15 | 9 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUTLER games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (178-191) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUTLER games 57.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (44-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 49.7% of the time since 1997. (178-180) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VA COMMONWEALTH games 45.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-44) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUTLER games 52.6% of the time since 1997. (133-120) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUTLER games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-34) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 54% of the time since 1997. (127-108) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in VA COMMONWEALTH games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (39-39) | |
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| [G] 11/10/2012 - Chris Harrison-Docks has left the team ( Personal ) | |
| [F] 11/02/2012 - Mo Alie-Cox out for season ( Eligibility ) | | [G] 11/02/2012 - Jordan Burgess out for season ( Eligibility ) |
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