|
|
| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
|---|
|
|
|
| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 3-7 | 36-37 | 229-218 | 3-2 | 39-27 | 172-136 | 8-4 | 50-29 | 292-196 | | in all lined games | 3-7 | 36-37 | 229-218 | 3-2 | 39-27 | 172-136 | 6-4 | 45-29 | 263-196 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 30-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 22-24 | | as an underdog | 0-2 | 11-14 | 84-97 | 1-0 | 19-5 | 82-55 | 0-2 | 7-19 | 51-133 | | as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 2-2 | 13-16 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 16-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8-22 | | in road games | 1-1 | 14-10 | 94-77 | 1-0 | 17-5 | 60-53 | 1-1 | 11-13 | 72-102 | | in road lined games | 1-1 | 14-10 | 94-77 | 1-0 | 17-5 | 60-53 | 1-1 | 11-13 | 72-102 | | in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-9 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 21-17 | 149-135 | 0-0 | 24-14 | 122-83 | 0-0 | 24-15 | 156-136 | | in January games | 0-0 | 10-6 | 66-57 | 0-0 | 10-5 | 42-32 | 0-0 | 10-6 | 68-56 | | after a non-conference game | 3-7 | 15-20 | 82-80 | 3-2 | 14-14 | 49-50 | 8-4 | 26-14 | 134-61 | | after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games | 0-2 | 4-4 | 25-14 | 0-0 | 6-0 | 15-8 | 2-1 | 5-5 | 29-16 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 2-4 | 27-26 | 164-152 | 3-1 | 33-18 | 135-99 | 2-4 | 27-28 | 159-167 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 0-2 | 6-12 | 53-59 | 1-0 | 13-5 | 48-29 | 0-2 | 5-14 | 43-74 |
|
|
|
|
| in all games | 4-8 | 40-39 | 240-235 | 4-2 | 37-34 | 187-188 | 10-3 | 52-28 | 339-170 | | in all lined games | 4-8 | 40-39 | 240-235 | 4-2 | 37-34 | 187-188 | 9-3 | 51-28 | 314-168 | | when the total is 150 to 159.5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 30-26 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 30-28 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 32-26 | | as a favorite | 4-8 | 33-30 | 157-164 | 4-2 | 28-27 | 119-125 | 9-3 | 49-14 | 257-69 | | as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 6-1 | 20-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14-16 | 0-0 | 7-0 | 31-7 | | in all home games | 4-4 | 23-18 | 116-113 | 2-0 | 17-16 | 86-85 | 8-1 | 35-7 | 200-54 | | in home lined games | 4-4 | 23-18 | 116-113 | 2-0 | 17-16 | 86-85 | 7-1 | 34-7 | 180-53 | | in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 11-8 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 13-6 | | against conference opponents | 0-0 | 24-15 | 150-133 | 0-0 | 18-21 | 121-111 | 0-0 | 25-14 | 183-106 | | in January games | 0-0 | 8-6 | 64-61 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 42-52 | 0-0 | 10-4 | 82-44 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 0-2 | 5-4 | 28-27 | 1-1 | 7-2 | 17-21 | 3-0 | 8-2 | 44-15 | | after a non-conference game | 3-8 | 16-23 | 90-103 | 3-2 | 18-14 | 68-67 | 9-3 | 26-14 | 156-63 | | after allowing 80 points or more | 0-0 | 4-3 | 43-37 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 26-26 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 58-27 | | after scoring 80 points or more | 2-5 | 6-10 | 71-71 | 3-0 | 8-4 | 46-49 | 5-2 | 10-6 | 104-46 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 1-5 | 22-23 | 170-163 | 3-1 | 22-21 | 132-142 | 4-2 | 24-21 | 211-138 |
|
|
|
| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
|---|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 8-4 | -5.7 | 3-7 | 3-2 | 71.5 | 34.5 | 46.2% | 40.2 | 65.2 | 31.7 | 39.2% | 33.2 | | Road Games | 4-1 | +3 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 69.4 | 32.2 | 47.0% | 38.2 | 65.4 | 31.6 | 41.2% | 30.0 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -8.7 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 70.8 | 34.4 | 44.6% | 41.4 | 65.8 | 33.6 | 37.7% | 34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 71.5 | 34.5 | 26-57 | 46.2% | 4-11 | 32.4% | 15-22 | 71.5% | 40 | 10 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64 | 30 | 22-54 | 41.4% | 6-18 | 32.8% | 13-19 | 70.4% | 33 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 69.4 | 32.2 | 24-50 | 47.0% | 3-10 | 27.1% | 20-26 | 76.6% | 38 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 3 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 65.2 | 31.7 | 24-62 | 39.2% | 7-20 | 33.1% | 10-15 | 67.8% | 33 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32.9 | 25-55 | 44.7% | 7-20 | 36.1% | 13-19 | 69.3% | 35 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 3 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 65.4 | 31.6 | 24-59 | 41.2% | 6-20 | 28.3% | 11-17 | 63.2% | 30 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All Games | 10-3 | -1.1 | 4-8 | 4-2 | 80.9 | 38.2 | 48.6% | 39.5 | 69.5 | 31.3 | 41.9% | 34.8 | | Home Games | 8-1 | +1 | 4-4 | 2-0 | 87.6 | 42.3 | 51.6% | 40.9 | 69.9 | 31.7 | 40.9% | 35.1 | | Last 5 Games | 5-0 | +2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 87.4 | 42.2 | 52.7% | 37.4 | 71.6 | 34.8 | 43.0% | 34.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Stats (All Games) | 80.9 | 38.2 | 30-62 | 48.6% | 5-15 | 34.2% | 16-22 | 72.6% | 40 | 10 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 64.1 | 29.9 | 22-56 | 40.0% | 6-19 | 32.0% | 13-20 | 67.9% | 35 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 3 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 87.6 | 42.3 | 32-63 | 51.6% | 5-14 | 37.2% | 18-23 | 74.9% | 41 | 10 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.5 | 31.3 | 26-62 | 41.9% | 8-22 | 35.0% | 10-15 | 64.4% | 35 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.4 | 32 | 24-56 | 42.9% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 14-21 | 67.4% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 69.9 | 31.7 | 26-65 | 40.9% | 8-22 | 35.7% | 9-15 | 60.7% | 35 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 2 |
|
|
| Average power rating of opponents played: CALIFORNIA 74, UCLA 74.1 |
|
|
| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
|---|
|
|
| CALIFORNIA is 21-14 against the spread versus UCLA since 1997 | | UCLA is 20-15 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1997 | | 17 of 27 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| CALIFORNIA is 4-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons | | CALIFORNIA is 3-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
| CALIFORNIA is 10-5 against the spread versus UCLA since 1997 | | UCLA is 10-5 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1997 | | 7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
| |
| CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons | | UCLA is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons | | 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2/11/2012 | CALIFORNIA | 73 | 134 | SU ATS | 32 | 27-52 | 51.9% | 2-5 | 40.0% | 17-21 | 81.0% | 36 | 7 | 14 | | | UCLA | 63 | -3.5 | Over | 26 | 23-58 | 39.7% | 4-14 | 28.6% | 13-18 | 72.2% | 31 | 9 | 11 | 12/31/2011 | UCLA | 69 | 131 | Over | 39 | 26-56 | 46.4% | 7-11 | 63.6% | 10-11 | 90.9% | 22 | 10 | 13 | | | CALIFORNIA | 85 | -6 | SU ATS | 40 | 34-52 | 65.4% | 6-13 | 46.2% | 11-15 | 73.3% | 24 | 5 | 9 | 2/20/2011 | UCLA | 72 | -1.5 | Over | 18 | 25-54 | 46.3% | 7-18 | 38.9% | 15-18 | 83.3% | 32 | 9 | 18 | | | CALIFORNIA | 76 | 142.5 | SU ATS | 29 | 29-63 | 46.0% | 3-10 | 30.0% | 15-22 | 68.2% | 36 | 15 | 11 | 1/20/2011 | CALIFORNIA | 84 | 136 | ATS | 35 | 29-50 | 58.0% | 1-5 | 20.0% | 25-34 | 73.5% | 26 | 4 | 9 | | | UCLA | 86 | -6.5 | SU Over | 41 | 30-60 | 50.0% | 10-24 | 41.7% | 16-25 | 64.0% | 35 | 12 | 13 |
|
|
|
| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
|---|
|
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 45.5% of the time since 1997. (163-195) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CALIFORNIA games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (29-31) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCLA games 47.8% of the time since 1997. (186-203) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in UCLA games 52.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-30) | |
|
| The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (125-133) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in CALIFORNIA games 45.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-32) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCLA games 49.1% of the time since 1997. (163-169) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in UCLA games 56.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (37-28) | |
|
|
|
|
| No significant injuries. | |
| [C] 11/28/2012 - Joshua Smith left the team ( None ) | | [G] 11/25/2012 - Tyler Lamb left the team ( Knee ) | | [G] 11/08/2012 - Nick Kazemi out indefinitely ( Knee ) |
|
|