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Matchup Reports

Monday at 7:00 PM
C MICHIGAN (11-19) AT BUFFALO (12-19) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
515: C MICHIGAN
516: BUFFALO
141.5
-7.5
67.3 / 71.7
66.4 / 67.2
11-19
12-19
14-15
12-17
1-1
0-0
40.9
45.1
72.6
69.3
33.2
34.9
47.8
42.0
67.6
71.5
37.9
33.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
C MICHIGAN  
BUFFALO-11 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
C MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games14-1535-51195-2281-125-34110-11711-1932-62182-291
in all lined games14-1535-51195-2281-125-34110-11710-1929-61157-280
when the total is 140 to 149.51-02-017-150-10-215-180-10-212-21
as an underdog10-1024-34136-1631-115-2674-864-1610-5169-239
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-33-713-220-00-67-100-40-116-30
in road games8-621-2398-1181-19-2348-652-128-3954-179
in road lined games8-621-2398-1181-19-2348-652-128-3851-171
in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.50-01-03-80-00-14-70-00-12-9
against conference opponents6-1018-30137-1500-015-1972-764-1217-34109-187
in March games2-15-429-190-04-220-132-15-426-23
when playing with one or less days rest1-37-729-310-05-417-132-26-1024-43
after a conference game6-1015-32130-1510-113-2072-753-1316-35112-183
revenging a road loss vs opponent3-59-1759-660-010-936-353-510-1854-80
off a loss against a conference rival3-89-2175-910-07-1338-452-910-2157-115
in all tournament games2-36-820-210-02-516-133-27-717-24
in first round tournament games0-01-18-30-00-24-50-01-17-4
in conference tournament games0-01-211-100-01-211-60-01-29-12
when playing against a team with a losing record7-717-2282-990-011-1350-508-621-2095-100
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games2-69-1444-530-07-929-313-511-1446-54

BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games12-1742-47199-2090-035-24133-9912-1950-44216-267
in all lined games12-1742-47199-2090-035-24133-9910-1946-44174-238
when the total is 140 to 149.50-011-938-370-014-743-330-012-939-37
as a favorite3-821-2877-770-021-1568-495-633-16110-45
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-13-310-100-04-012-31-14-215-5
in all home games5-719-2093-870-015-1156-448-631-11129-87
in home lined games5-719-2093-870-015-1156-446-628-11104-77
in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.50-03-311-100-05-115-60-05-115-6
against conference opponents8-824-27128-1470-018-1889-617-929-23117-178
in March games2-18-625-290-04-728-131-27-726-31
after a conference game7-825-25124-1440-019-1793-577-831-21120-174
off a loss against a conference rival2-69-1365-880-09-548-224-413-953-106
in all tournament games1-36-620-240-03-521-151-35-722-24
in first round tournament games0-03-06-80-02-18-20-03-08-6
in conference tournament games0-02-19-120-01-212-50-01-29-13
when playing against a team with a losing record6-818-2076-760-013-1149-389-624-15110-74
when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games3-59-1143-460-06-630-205-314-652-41
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
C MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-19-414-151-167.331.140.9%31.671.732.347.8%34.5
Road Games5-13010-81-167.129.741.4%31.872.633.749.2%32.8
Last 5 Games2-3-12-30-072.633.046.5%27.272.235.450.4%31.6
Conference Games4-12-10.86-100-066.631.140.7%29.772.132.547.9%34.6
C MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.331.122-5340.9%8-2433.2%16-2272.6%32913177132
vs opponents surrendering65.930.423-5442.3%7-1933.6%14-2069.2%34913187143
Team Stats (Road Games)67.129.722-5441.4%8-2434.9%14-1972.1%32914166132
Stats Against (All Games)71.732.326-5447.8%7-1937.9%12-1867.6%34915186134
vs opponents averaging65.429.823-5542.4%6-1832.8%13-1969.1%351013187143
Stats Against (Road Games)72.633.726-5349.2%8-1939.9%12-1869.2%33817176124

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games12-19-9.212-170-066.433.645.1%35.667.232.642.0%31.5
Home Games8-6-2.25-70-068.633.946.0%36.463.830.439.9%30.1
Last 5 Games1-4-2.63-20-072.037.251.8%35.272.634.243.7%31.4
Conference Games7-9-1.58-80-068.634.145.7%34.669.533.943.4%32.1
BUFFALO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)66.433.623-5145.1%6-1834.9%14-2069.3%361015195165
vs opponents surrendering66.431.123-5343.7%6-1834.5%13-2068.5%34913187143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.633.923-5046.0%6-1835.3%16-2173.9%36915176155
Stats Against (All Games)67.232.623-5642.0%6-1733.7%15-2071.5%311012188113
vs opponents averaging66.630.723-5443.3%6-1934.3%14-2070.3%33913187143
Stats Against (Home Games)63.830.422-5539.9%6-1830.9%14-1877.1%30911198123
Average power rating of opponents played: C MICHIGAN 68.8,  BUFFALO 70.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
C MICHIGAN is 10-9 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1997
BUFFALO is 10-9 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1997
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at BUFFALO since 1997
BUFFALO is 5-5 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN since 1997
BUFFALO is 7-3 straight up against C MICHIGAN since 1997
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 3-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/30/2013C MICHIGAN73  3023-5740.4%7-2924.1%20-2580.0%221112
 BUFFALO91-7.5SU ATS4330-5257.7%8-1942.1%23-2688.5%391419
2/8/2012BUFFALO66-5SU Under3424-5543.6%8-2138.1%10-2343.5%481114
 C MICHIGAN62134.5 ATS2318-5632.1%8-2236.4%18-2378.3%2754
3/8/2011C MICHIGAN50124 Under2618-5334.0%5-1435.7%9-1656.2%341214
 BUFFALO64-13SU ATS3025-5743.9%7-1838.9%7-977.8%35119
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring C MICHIGAN in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 51.7% of the time since 1997. (169-158)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in C MICHIGAN games 45.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-40)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 52% of the time since 1997. (170-157)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BUFFALO games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-36)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 47.2% of the time since 1997. (92-103)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in C MICHIGAN games 41.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-32)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (102-99)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BUFFALO games 49% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-26)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
C MICHIGAN
[G] 01/12/2013 - DeAndray Buckley expected to redshirt ( Knee )
BUFFALO
[G] 12/19/2012 - Jarod Oldham out for season ( Wrist )
[G] 11/02/2012 - Stan Wier out indefinitely ( Knee )
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