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Matchup Reports

Thursday at 7:00 PM
CINCINNATI (19-2) AT LOUISVILLE (17-3) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
517: CINCINNATI
518: LOUISVILLE
132.0
-9.0
71.2 / 56.9
83.2 / 61.8
19-2
17-3
9-6
10-8
2-12
8-5
43.1
47.2
70.5
66.7
33.9
37.5
38.3
39.1
65.2
65.3
34.1
29.9
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CINCINNATI  
LOUISVILLE-13
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-637-39225-2562-1221-44157-19419-267-25381-173
in all lined games9-637-39225-2562-1221-44157-19413-252-24319-172
when the total is 130 to 139.52-413-1270-821-57-1867-894-215-1090-67
as an underdog2-112-1068-670-310-1258-682-19-1345-92
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points0-13-27-100-13-26-110-12-35-12
in road games1-414-1284-871-410-1360-754-115-1189-89
in road lined games1-414-1284-871-410-1360-754-115-1186-89
in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.51-15-116-141-12-410-212-05-116-15
against conference opponents4-423-26135-1671-713-29100-1288-032-17191-117
in January games4-411-1365-721-76-1538-588-017-797-45
after a conference game3-421-27133-1651-613-28108-1287-031-18187-120
off a win against a conference rival3-415-1685-1011-69-2058-807-020-11124-66
after scoring 80 points or more1-14-354-611-13-430-433-114-1107-30
when playing against a team with a winning record7-431-29177-1891-1015-38120-16210-239-22234-151
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-215-1993-1270-310-2084-1033-019-15117-108
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-08-1333-620-07-1340-440-09-1244-53
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-017-1978-930-212-2167-762-021-16108-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games1-02-127-330-10-325-271-01-229-32
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game4-27-550-600-61-1139-545-19-563-57

LOUISVILLE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-856-37273-2488-540-38177-20717-382-18389-176
in all lined games10-856-37273-2488-540-38177-20715-377-18353-175
when the total is 130 to 139.51-121-1582-701-121-1780-762-028-1099-57
as a favorite10-847-34207-1908-535-30141-15615-370-12311-91
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points0-00-610-220-04-315-110-04-324-9
in all home games6-421-21127-1264-315-1584-9411-142-6238-54
in home lined games6-421-21127-1264-315-1584-949-137-6205-53
in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.50-13-511-101-05-310-111-06-217-4
against conference opponents4-330-20167-1403-320-24103-1256-137-13201-109
in January games3-311-1177-672-38-1043-565-115-790-56
when playing with 7 or more days rest0-00-05-50-00-04-20-00-07-5
after a conference game3-331-18164-1402-319-25106-1305-136-13199-110
off a win against a conference rival3-227-9110-872-216-1676-844-128-8131-69
after allowing 60 points or less2-429-20104-842-124-1782-776-246-9137-62
after scoring 80 points or more5-512-1474-854-310-1050-659-226-4128-51
when playing against a team with a winning record8-543-29199-1997-534-34147-16510-357-18247-161
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-029-15130-1101-120-2298-1063-033-12143-102
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-019-959-520-010-1942-540-021-861-52
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game1-326-1794-1011-216-2567-844-033-11113-87
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-2+8.89-62-1271.234.343.1%37.056.927.738.3%32.2
Road Games5-2+3.82-51-659.428.339.7%31.959.027.140.8%35.6
Last 5 Games5-0+32-31-470.031.445.8%33.858.027.238.3%32.4
Conference Games8-0+6.84-41-768.132.043.1%34.257.527.038.7%34.5
CINCINNATI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.234.325-5743.1%6-1733.9%16-2370.5%371213189116
vs opponents surrendering69.932.624-5642.8%6-1833.8%16-2269.8%351012196134
Team Stats (Road Games)59.428.321-5439.7%6-1633.9%11-1765.8%321011188106
Stats Against (All Games)56.927.720-5138.3%5-1634.1%12-1865.2%32911205163
vs opponents averaging71.834.125-5744.6%6-1733.5%15-2368.1%361014197124
Stats Against (Road Games)59.027.120-4840.8%6-1536.4%14-2068.5%36912175143

LOUISVILLE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games17-3-11.210-88-583.241.047.2%39.061.728.439.1%35.3
Home Games11-1-5.56-44-385.242.248.6%40.758.726.738.9%34.7
Last 5 Games4-1-4.53-21-378.241.246.8%37.259.827.838.1%36.6
Conference Games6-1-4.54-33-380.640.747.7%36.062.929.038.1%36.6
LOUISVILLE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)83.241.029-6147.2%8-2237.5%17-2666.7%3913152010115
vs opponents surrendering69.532.524-5642.8%6-1834.2%15-2268.8%34912207134
Team Stats (Home Games)85.242.231-6348.6%9-2337.5%15-2461.5%411517181094
Stats Against (All Games)61.728.421-5539.1%5-1729.9%14-2165.3%351110214172
vs opponents averaging71.333.325-5644.5%6-1833.9%16-2367.1%361013196134
Stats Against (Home Games)58.726.721-5438.9%6-1831.0%11-1760.5%351010204182
Average power rating of opponents played: CINCINNATI 73.4,  LOUISVILLE 71.9
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
CINCINNATI is 16-13 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997
CINCINNATI is 17-12 straight up against LOUISVILLE since 1997
16 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at LOUISVILLE since 1997
CINCINNATI is 8-4 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE since 1997
LOUISVILLE is 7-5 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/4/2013CINCINNATI51122 Under3118-5135.3%6-2128.6%9-1369.2%371421
 LOUISVILLE67-10.5SU ATS3528-5848.3%3-933.3%8-1172.7%31119
3/10/2012LOUISVILLE50-3SU ATS2417-4835.4%5-1435.7%11-1291.7%37614
NCINCINNATI44124 Under1420-5139.2%3-1421.4%1-714.3%28611
2/23/2012LOUISVILLE56133 Under3019-5534.5%1-147.1%17-2373.9%421314
 CINCINNATI60-2SU ATS3219-5832.8%11-2740.7%11-1957.9%361511
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.3% of the time since 1997. (184-197)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 55.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-26)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 51.6% of the time since 1997. (224-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in LOUISVILLE games 53.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (44-38)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 53% of the time since 1997. (160-142)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 43.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-31)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 45.7% of the time since 1997. (149-177)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in LOUISVILLE games 48.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (33-35)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
CINCINNATI
[F] 01/30/2014 - Justin Jackson is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Louisville ( Ankle )
[F] 01/10/2014 - Jermaine Lawrence out indefinitely ( Toe )
[C] 12/28/2013 - Jamaree Strickland out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 12/12/2013 - Jeremiah Davis III has left team ( Personal )
[G] 11/19/2013 - Deshaun Morman redshirt ( Foot )
LOUISVILLE
[G] 01/22/2014 - Chris Jones probable, but not expected to start Thursday vs. Cincinnati ( Oblique )
[F] 12/31/2013 - Chane Behanan has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/30/2013 - Kevin Ware out for season ( Shin )
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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