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Page last updated on Wed Jul 23 15:59:19 EDT 2014
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 2:00 PM
CONNECTICUT (19-8) AT CINCINNATI (19-9) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
529: CONNECTICUT
530: CINCINNATI
OFF
-7.5
71.3 / 65.8
68.6 / 59.2
19-8
19-9
11-10
10-14
8-7
4-12
45.3
40.8
75.1
64.6
35.9
31.8
40.8
38.5
69.6
64.6
31.9
30.8
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
CONNECTICUT  
CINCINNATI-4 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
CONNECTICUT - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-1046-38234-2358-737-42178-19419-871-31408-139
in all lined games11-1046-38234-2358-737-42178-19415-857-31340-139
as an underdog4-317-950-403-513-1436-503-613-1538-57
as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points1-02-16-50-02-05-51-02-14-7
in road games5-211-1575-844-013-1158-684-312-1592-70
in road lined games5-211-1575-844-013-1158-684-312-1592-70
against conference opponents9-531-26150-1476-328-25116-1219-634-26202-101
in March games0-012-450-460-09-649-430-012-469-31
on Saturday games4-116-984-711-29-1459-603-217-9124-44
after a conference game9-432-24150-1465-329-23117-1279-534-25206-96
off a loss against a conference rival5-013-1146-512-010-1138-464-115-1063-36
when playing against a team with a winning record8-838-29188-1857-630-34149-16412-849-28266-129
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games5-325-18124-1244-318-2399-1224-524-20161-92
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games4-214-845-433-29-1237-484-313-1051-38
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-320-1476-734-218-1564-676-424-1498-61

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1443-41215-2454-1228-47154-17919-971-29359-168
in all lined games10-1443-41215-2454-1228-47154-17915-956-28303-167
as a favorite8-1228-28147-1762-1016-3294-11314-644-12258-73
as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points1-24-516-201-13-512-143-08-130-6
in all home games2-1013-2593-1271-69-2468-8011-542-12223-53
in home lined games2-1013-2593-1271-69-2468-807-527-11173-52
against conference opponents5-1027-30130-1593-719-3399-1187-833-24180-115
in March games0-09-433-460-06-635-360-09-444-37
on Saturday games4-512-1770-911-69-1856-598-221-13121-59
when playing with 5 or 6 days rest1-24-526-231-22-619-172-18-242-14
after a conference game4-1028-27129-1562-718-31106-1196-834-22177-117
revenging a road loss vs opponent2-010-636-390-14-1129-372-012-451-27
off a loss against a conference rival2-510-1248-601-36-1248-483-414-859-52
after scoring 60 points or less4-517-1246-482-28-1542-376-321-963-39
after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games0-04-231-260-00-624-260-04-237-26
after 3 or more consecutive losses0-00-112-150-00-113-130-01-09-18
when playing against a team with a winning record10-1234-30169-1814-1217-40118-14914-839-26222-146
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games3-721-2191-1212-513-2583-975-522-20112-105
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-8+911-108-771.331.445.3%32.565.828.840.8%36.3
Road Games7-5+5.66-56-372.129.945.2%30.770.532.042.5%36.7
Last 5 Games3-2+0.53-12-271.831.047.3%32.268.428.842.3%34.0
Conference Games9-6+4.29-56-371.930.044.6%33.669.129.842.0%36.1
CONNECTICUT Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)71.331.425-5545.3%7-1935.9%15-2075.1%32714168124
vs opponents surrendering64.529.923-5541.4%6-1832.5%13-1968.7%34913187144
Team Stats (Road Games)72.129.925-5545.2%7-1935.9%16-2077.3%31713198114
Stats Against (All Games)65.828.824-5840.8%6-1831.9%13-1869.6%361212187143
vs opponents averaging6831.724-5543.5%6-1733.2%14-2169.0%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)70.532.024-5742.5%5-1634.2%17-2470.3%371113186133

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games19-9+0.710-144-1268.631.740.8%40.559.226.138.5%33.6
Home Games11-5-3.42-101-671.634.041.9%41.757.924.136.7%33.1
Last 5 Games1-4-41-41-356.427.435.1%34.461.830.443.5%33.8
Conference Games7-8-1.85-103-760.726.937.6%35.960.727.642.1%32.4
CINCINNATI Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.631.724-5940.8%7-2231.8%14-2264.6%411213187136
vs opponents surrendering64.93023-5541.6%6-1832.5%13-1968.9%341013187143
Team Stats (Home Games)71.634.025-6141.9%8-2333.7%13-2160.3%421214178137
Stats Against (All Games)59.226.121-5538.5%5-1730.8%12-1864.6%34911196143
vs opponents averaging67.831.424-5543.5%6-1733.4%14-2168.9%351014187134
Stats Against (Home Games)57.924.121-5636.7%5-1632.2%11-1864.7%33811196153
Average power rating of opponents played: CONNECTICUT 76.5,  CINCINNATI 75.1
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 7-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1997
CONNECTICUT is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1997
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/21/2013CINCINNATI66128 Over3426-6341.3%6-2227.3%8-1080.0%441312
 CONNECTICUT730SU ATS3721-5141.2%10-1952.6%21-2777.8%2846
1/18/2012CINCINNATI70131SU ATS4226-6241.9%11-2642.3%7-1163.6%32126
 CONNECTICUT67-6.5 Over3326-5944.1%6-1637.5%9-1275.0%411311
3/19/2011CINCINNATI58131 Under2822-5242.3%4-1428.6%10-1471.4%2358
NCONNECTICUT69-4SU ATS3619-4443.2%6-1637.5%25-3083.3%3599
2/27/2011CONNECTICUT67127SU ATS3023-4650.0%10-1952.6%11-1573.3%25815
 CINCINNATI59-3.5 Under2724-5444.4%4-1723.5%7-887.5%29817
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 45% of the time since 1997. (172-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CONNECTICUT games 41.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (25-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (178-188)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 63.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-25)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
CONNECTICUT
[G] 03/02/2013 - Omar Calhoun probable Saturday vs. Cincinnati ( Wrist )
[G] 03/01/2013 - Shabazz Napier is downgraded to "?" Saturday vs. Cincinnati ( Foot )
[C] 02/11/2013 - Enosch Wolf out indefinitely ( Suspension )
CINCINNATI
[G] 01/11/2013 - Jeremiah Davis III out indefinitely ( Wrist )
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