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Page last updated on Tue Apr 28 13:56:55 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 12:00 PM
DUKE (15-0) AT NC STATE (13-2) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
531: DUKE
532: NC STATE
150.0
+1.5
79.3 / 60.3
81.3 / 69.7
15-0
13-2
9-6
7-5
5-8
5-4
48.1
53.0
71.1
66.7
42.7
39.6
37.8
40.1
71.2
72.8
29.5
29.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
DUKE-4 
NC STATE  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DUKE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games9-642-43270-2415-842-40220-22515-074-12469-83
in all lined games9-642-43270-2415-842-40220-22515-073-12441-83
when the total is 140 to 149.53-520-1989-743-520-1979-858-031-8135-32
as a favorite8-640-40256-2304-838-39208-21414-071-9431-67
as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick0-01-010-70-01-09-80-01-010-7
in road games0-013-882-670-011-968-650-015-6111-43
in road lined games0-013-882-670-011-968-650-015-6108-43
in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.50-04-212-140-03-311-150-04-216-10
against conference opponents1-118-21149-1300-216-23123-1242-032-7231-53
in January games2-18-1375-500-310-1055-533-017-4116-15
on Saturday games3-210-1376-663-113-973-505-018-5133-21
after a conference game1-019-19144-1290-118-20123-1201-030-8231-52
off a win against a conference rival1-016-15119-1010-115-1699-961-024-7192-38
after allowing 60 points or less3-311-1486-784-214-1072-666-022-4152-23
when playing against a team with a winning record7-528-33216-2005-631-28194-17612-050-11354-79
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-013-18122-1330-015-16128-1060-022-9201-64
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-02-351-560-02-354-430-03-269-39
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-22-1188-831-18-582-742-010-3130-44

NC STATE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games7-535-34214-2155-437-29172-15813-252-31297-210
in all lined games7-535-34214-2155-437-29172-15811-242-31233-210
when the total is 140 to 149.51-316-1857-653-220-1765-644-119-1863-66
as an underdog0-113-20105-1051-019-1394-770-16-2760-153
as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick0-01-38-140-01-27-100-01-37-15
in all home games5-212-1994-1082-117-1179-769-033-11202-71
in home lined games5-212-1994-1082-117-1179-767-023-11140-71
in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.50-12-711-161-07-216-121-04-515-13
against conference opponents1-114-21135-1321-020-16112-972-018-20121-154
in January games1-16-1152-631-09-852-362-011-861-64
on Saturday games2-29-1060-592-011-760-315-013-1080-66
after a conference game1-014-19136-1260-018-16109-981-017-20129-145
off a win against a conference rival1-010-760-570-08-751-411-09-846-74
after scoring 80 points or more3-511-950-584-38-944-377-218-572-56
when playing against a team with a winning record6-425-26173-1695-328-21142-1309-227-29171-191
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games0-011-14108-1060-013-1395-900-08-1989-129
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games0-07-931-240-09-627-210-05-1123-33
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-312-1852-543-218-1151-404-212-2051-64
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-03-653-550-04-553-420-00-934-76
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-24-1177-801-18-770-611-14-1359-105
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
DUKE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-0+79-65-879.336.148.1%36.260.327.737.8%35.5
Road Games6-0+66-03-277.335.546.6%33.564.230.239.6%36.2
Last 5 Games5-0+12-31-476.233.646.4%38.656.626.437.1%33.6
Conference Games2-001-10-274.033.047.1%38.551.020.034.9%37.0
DUKE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)79.336.127-5748.1%8-1842.7%17-2371.1%36816177115
vs opponents surrendering63.629.322-5541.0%6-1832.8%13-1968.7%35912186163
Team Stats (Road Games)77.335.525-5346.6%7-1643.6%21-2581.7%33714187105
Stats Against (All Games)60.327.722-5937.8%5-1629.5%11-1571.2%35118205153
vs opponents averaging71.634.225-5744.1%7-1934.0%14-2169.9%361114178134
Stats Against (Road Games)64.230.224-6139.6%4-1528.3%11-1669.8%361310195134

NC STATE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games13-2+0.57-55-481.338.553.0%36.369.733.040.1%34.4
Home Games9-0+35-22-186.641.155.7%37.169.133.039.7%34.2
Last 5 Games5-0+32-32-185.239.252.9%35.870.434.239.4%36.4
Conference Games2-0+21-11-080.533.049.5%37.571.533.038.7%34.0
NC STATE Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)81.338.530-5653.0%5-1339.6%17-2566.7%36915167125
vs opponents surrendering66.830.823-5542.3%6-1934.0%14-2069.7%34912186143
Team Stats (Home Games)86.641.131-5555.7%5-1439.5%19-2869.3%37917147137
Stats Against (All Games)69.733.025-6340.1%6-2129.7%13-1772.8%341211196123
vs opponents averaging69.932.625-5743.4%6-1933.1%14-2170.3%361013187134
Stats Against (Home Games)69.133.026-6739.7%6-2027.3%11-1571.6%341311207122
Average power rating of opponents played: DUKE 76.7,  NC STATE 74.5
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
DUKE is 15-14 against the spread versus NC STATE since 1997
DUKE is 26-4 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
17 of 26 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-1 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NC STATE since 1997
NC STATE is 6-6 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997
DUKE is 9-3 straight up against NC STATE since 1997
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NC STATE over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
2/16/2012NC STATE73149.5 ATS4626-5944.1%5-1145.5%16-2466.7%441115
 DUKE78-10SU Over3025-6936.2%8-2927.6%20-2871.4%3995
2/5/2011NC STATE52149.5 Under2421-5339.6%1-1010.0%9-1850.0%36616
 DUKE76-19SU ATS5326-6241.9%7-1450.0%17-3253.1%45179
1/19/2011DUKE92-10.5SU ATS4234-6750.7%7-2330.4%17-2277.3%441611
 NC STATE78148.5 Over2825-6836.8%5-1145.5%23-3076.7%34179
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NC STATE in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 48.4% of the time since 1997. (202-215)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 55.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (44-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (168-172)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NC STATE games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-27)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 47.6% of the time since 1997. (191-210)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 43.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (32-41)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 48.8% of the time since 1997. (138-145)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NC STATE games 47.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-29)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
DUKE
[F] 01/11/2013 - Ryan Kelly out indefinitely ( Foot )
NC STATE
No significant injuries.
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