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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 6:00 PM
E KENTUCKY (9-0) AT ILLINOIS (11-0) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
827: E KENTUCKY
828: ILLINOIS
133.5
-14.0
75.3 / 60.6
77.9 / 63.5
9-0
11-0
1-2
5-3
0-0
4-2
49.5
45.0
72.9
70.0
36.4
39.6
44.0
41.1
66.3
66.0
29.3
32.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
E KENTUCKY  
ILLINOIS-16 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
E KENTUCKY - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games1-226-26146-1430-022-2496-1019-040-32202-243
in all lined games1-226-26146-1430-022-2496-1013-025-28136-162
when the total is 130 to 139.50-07-1739-440-013-1141-400-08-1641-42
as an underdog0-015-1285-700-010-1542-490-07-2141-121
as a road underdog of 12.5 to 15 points0-00-18-40-00-11-20-00-11-11
as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points0-04-126-130-01-36-90-00-51-39
in road games1-016-981-660-09-1440-592-012-2059-158
in road lined games1-016-981-660-09-1440-591-09-1746-106
in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.50-01-29-70-01-24-120-00-36-10
in December games1-17-627-270-03-815-233-011-643-57
when playing with 7 or more days rest0-03-010-50-01-27-70-01-29-14
after a non-conference game1-210-1240-470-06-1022-348-022-1478-85
in non-conference games1-29-838-310-04-621-239-024-1284-81
after allowing 60 points or less1-18-938-350-07-831-274-013-1154-44
when playing against a team with a winning record0-08-863-650-08-943-461-06-1448-124
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game0-05-229-180-03-520-151-04-717-49
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game0-01-317-250-00-47-160-01-410-59

ILLINOIS - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games5-332-38235-2264-237-30168-19111-047-30358-164
in all lined games5-332-38235-2264-237-30168-1918-042-30311-163
when the total is 130 to 139.51-115-1462-691-114-1662-692-018-1280-54
as a favorite3-322-28170-1602-220-25110-1416-035-15272-68
as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points0-01-115-80-01-16-90-02-023-0
as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points0-24-841-390-13-520-282-012-079-2
in all home games1-217-17101-931-115-1564-736-033-6204-39
in home lined games1-217-17101-931-115-1564-733-028-6159-39
in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.50-05-317-130-04-410-200-07-124-6
in December games1-16-1045-501-08-739-343-012-589-25
after a non-conference game5-318-1795-914-216-1470-6810-032-7183-52
in non-conference games5-317-1794-924-215-1467-7211-032-7184-52
after allowing 60 points or less0-08-985-1000-012-676-801-011-9139-72
when playing against a team with a winning record5-225-26186-1724-230-22137-1499-031-24228-149
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game2-213-17100-1052-122-890-894-016-15123-91
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
E KENTUCKY - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games9-0+31-20-075.335.749.5%27.760.628.044.0%32.0
Road Games2-0+11-00-063.032.046.9%23.554.520.043.7%33.5
Last 5 Games5-0+21-10-070.033.050.6%26.454.824.641.2%32.0
E KENTUCKY Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)75.335.727-5549.5%9-2436.4%12-1672.9%28916209122
vs opponents surrendering68.432.124-5444.2%6-1933.8%14-2167.3%351013188154
Team Stats (Road Games)63.032.023-4946.9%9-2437.5%8-1169.6%23515209141
Stats Against (All Games)60.628.021-4744.0%4-1529.3%15-2366.3%321011166193
vs opponents averaging64.729.723-5541.3%6-1831.3%14-2165.7%341011198153
Stats Against (Road Games)54.520.019-4343.7%1-817.6%15-2169.8%331110177212

ILLINOIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-0+9.25-34-277.937.645.0%36.163.528.741.1%33.6
Home Games6-0+11-21-173.035.342.3%37.360.226.541.1%33.0
Last 5 Games5-0+62-22-171.833.043.1%34.063.230.042.0%33.6
ILLINOIS Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.937.627-6045.0%10-2639.6%13-1970.0%361112178125
vs opponents surrendering6932.824-5742.8%7-2034.1%14-2068.3%351012187144
Team Stats (Home Games)73.035.326-6142.3%10-2538.9%11-1959.6%371312148125
Stats Against (All Games)63.528.723-5541.1%7-2132.6%11-1766.0%34912175162
vs opponents averaging70.132.925-5843.8%7-2034.0%13-1967.6%361013187143
Stats Against (Home Games)60.226.522-5341.1%7-2134.6%9-1467.9%33812176173
Average power rating of opponents played: E KENTUCKY 61.7,  ILLINOIS 67.2
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games over the last 3 seasons
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All games played at ILLINOIS since 1997
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Games played at ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons.
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring E KENTUCKY in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 48.2% of the time since 1997. (106-114)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E KENTUCKY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 52.3% of the time since 1997. (197-180)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ILLINOIS games 54.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (30-25)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 51.9% of the time since 1997. (82-76)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in E KENTUCKY games 60.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (23-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.3% of the time since 1997. (148-152)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ILLINOIS games 49.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (27-28)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
E KENTUCKY
[G] 11/02/2012 - Willie Cruz out for season ( Hand )
ILLINOIS
[G] 12/16/2012 - Tracy Abrams probable Sunday vs. Eastern Kentucky ( Shin )
[G] 12/16/2012 - D.J. Richardson probable Sunday vs. Eastern Kentucky ( Neck )
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