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Page last updated on Thu Aug 27 15:05:57 EDT 2015
Matchup Reports

Saturday at 7:00 PM
E MICHIGAN (11-11) AT TOLEDO (10-10) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
613: E MICHIGAN
614: TOLEDO
OFF
-7.5
57.5 / 59.6
68.7 / 69.5
11-11
10-10
11-7
10-6
3-0
0-0
39.9
43.5
68.6
78.8
31.5
32.5
39.2
42.8
65.6
71.4
29.6
34.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
E MICHIGAN  
TOLEDO-6 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
E MICHIGAN - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games11-737-36190-2063-026-2997-11311-1134-51181-287
in all lined games11-737-36190-2063-026-2997-1137-1125-49139-265
as an underdog7-526-26124-1583-023-1970-772-1010-4256-233
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points0-02-412-220-03-312-70-00-65-30
in road games4-515-2291-1043-016-1449-540-96-3547-169
in road lined games4-515-2291-1043-016-1449-540-94-3342-156
against conference opponents6-223-18134-1460-014-1863-784-418-24105-181
in February games1-111-866-510-010-728-341-18-1155-65
on Saturday games7-220-978-820-08-1133-425-515-1568-114
after a conference game6-123-17130-1380-016-1662-735-318-24108-177
off a win against a conference rival2-18-943-580-07-620-311-25-1238-66
after allowing 60 points or less6-418-1642-552-011-1430-316-717-2441-75

TOLEDO - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-640-32215-2170-029-25115-11710-1033-55232-251
in all lined games10-640-32215-2170-029-25115-1179-825-50199-241
as a favorite5-211-698-730-05-539-327-015-2143-31
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points1-03-325-130-03-215-51-05-134-4
in all home games2-317-1799-880-019-1056-455-221-22148-66
in home lined games2-317-1799-880-019-1056-454-116-20126-64
against conference opponents5-424-20145-1440-017-1871-806-316-29150-146
in February games1-19-1060-570-09-828-342-07-1256-63
on Saturday games5-115-1576-880-012-1140-385-214-2086-95
after a conference game4-424-19143-1400-016-1979-725-316-29148-147
off a win against a conference rival2-38-780-650-03-737-324-18-786-64
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games2-17-527-210-03-617-191-24-818-30
versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game4-113-853-400-09-728-323-28-1337-58
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games3-010-626-240-06-818-223-111-728-24
versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game5-015-1139-410-010-1127-346-118-1448-42
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
E MICHIGAN - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games11-11+2.411-73-057.526.339.9%34.459.626.739.2%35.7
Road Games0-9-54-53-052.022.034.6%34.073.730.945.0%38.8
Last 5 Games3-2+1.24-10-058.628.642.1%36.053.823.636.5%32.0
Conference Games4-4-0.66-20-056.628.242.0%33.053.423.737.9%32.6
E MICHIGAN Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)57.526.321-5239.9%5-1531.5%11-1668.6%341011168146
vs opponents surrendering67.331.424-5543.9%6-1834.0%13-1969.2%341014177144
Team Stats (Road Games)52.022.020-5834.6%4-1528.7%8-1174.0%34119178184
Stats Against (All Games)59.626.721-5339.2%7-2329.6%11-1765.6%361115168152
vs opponents averaging65.530.123-5442.0%6-1933.5%13-1968.1%341013177143
Stats Against (Road Games)73.730.926-5745.0%8-2334.4%15-2073.2%3911181311144

TOLEDO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games10-10+5.510-60-068.730.443.5%32.669.530.842.8%35.4
Home Games5-2+32-30-068.430.941.9%34.964.328.040.8%34.1
Last 5 Games4-1+33-20-070.029.446.3%30.867.830.243.5%33.6
Conference Games6-3+5.55-40-068.828.444.9%31.669.330.244.1%35.2
TOLEDO Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)68.730.424-5443.5%5-1632.5%16-2078.8%33812177123
vs opponents surrendering65.730.423-5343.3%6-1834.3%14-2069.8%34913177143
Team Stats (Home Games)68.430.923-5441.9%5-1730.5%18-2284.1%35914147103
Stats Against (All Games)69.530.824-5642.8%7-2234.3%14-2071.4%351113197144
vs opponents averaging66.230.523-5442.8%6-1933.8%13-1969.8%33913187143
Stats Against (Home Games)64.328.023-5640.8%8-2334.4%11-1572.8%341013195134
Average power rating of opponents played: E MICHIGAN 68.3,  TOLEDO 68.4
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
E MICHIGAN is 20-13 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 18-15 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1997
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at TOLEDO since 1997
E MICHIGAN is 10-6 against the spread versus TOLEDO since 1997
TOLEDO is 10-6 straight up against E MICHIGAN since 1997
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
3/3/2012E MICHIGAN51116.5 Over2520-6431.2%3-2015.0%8-1361.5%37179
 TOLEDO76-4.5SU ATS3524-5246.2%9-2240.9%19-2673.1%411010
1/21/2012TOLEDO38120 Under1415-5030.0%3-1816.7%5-771.4%27411
 E MICHIGAN41-2.5SU ATS1515-4632.6%5-1533.3%6-966.7%401018
3/5/2011TOLEDO50123 Under3018-4837.5%5-1631.2%9-1850.0%29713
 E MICHIGAN69-10SU ATS4126-5052.0%7-2330.4%10-1758.8%321012
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 50.7% of the time since 1997. (155-151)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in E MICHIGAN games 44.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-35)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 49.4% of the time since 1997. (171-175)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in TOLEDO games 46.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (28-32)
No Edge.
 
No total has been posted for this game.
Key Player Injuries
E MICHIGAN
[G] 01/09/2013 - Ray Lee out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F] 11/16/2012 - James Still has been dismissed ( Dismissed )
TOLEDO
[G] 02/08/2013 - Justin Drummond out indefinitely ( Foot )
[F/C] 12/12/2012 - Delino Dear expected to transfer ( Personal )
[G] 12/11/2012 - AJ Mathew left the team ( Personal )
[F] 11/09/2012 - Aubrey Williams redshirt ( None )
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