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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 10-15 | 44-41 | 212-209 | 10-5 | 38-37 | 126-157 | 15-13 | 63-34 | 279-226 | | in all lined games | 10-15 | 44-41 | 212-209 | 10-5 | 38-37 | 126-157 | 14-12 | 55-33 | 211-220 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 2-2 | 6-3 | 40-37 | 3-1 | 7-2 | 34-44 | 2-2 | 6-3 | 37-43 | | as an underdog | 6-5 | 19-14 | 119-105 | 4-3 | 15-14 | 64-76 | 6-6 | 17-17 | 68-161 | | as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-16 | | in road games | 3-6 | 15-17 | 89-82 | 3-2 | 15-11 | 54-52 | 3-6 | 16-16 | 63-117 | | in road lined games | 3-6 | 15-17 | 89-82 | 3-2 | 15-11 | 54-52 | 3-6 | 16-16 | 57-117 | | in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | | against conference opponents | 4-10 | 26-22 | 140-131 | 4-4 | 24-20 | 82-103 | 7-8 | 33-18 | 123-157 | | in March games | 0-0 | 10-3 | 36-27 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 22-32 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 32-32 | | after a conference game | 3-10 | 26-21 | 134-128 | 4-4 | 21-22 | 74-102 | 6-8 | 34-16 | 130-149 | | revenging a home loss vs opponent | 0-0 | 4-2 | 31-30 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 20-42 | | off a win against a conference rival | 1-5 | 17-14 | 58-60 | 1-4 | 14-16 | 39-53 | 1-5 | 20-12 | 51-71 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 7-9 | 35-30 | 168-163 | 6-4 | 29-31 | 101-128 | 9-8 | 44-26 | 164-193 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 1-7 | 21-18 | 103-97 | 2-3 | 16-21 | 61-85 | 3-6 | 26-15 | 86-121 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games | 0-3 | 6-6 | 52-39 | 1-2 | 7-5 | 29-34 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 25-68 | | versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game | 1-3 | 9-9 | 86-69 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 42-59 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 61-105 |
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| in all games | 16-9 | 52-43 | 270-240 | 10-12 | 43-49 | 221-201 | 20-8 | 81-22 | 410-147 | | in all lined games | 16-9 | 52-43 | 270-240 | 10-12 | 43-49 | 221-201 | 17-8 | 74-22 | 374-144 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 7-5 | 24-21 | 82-76 | 7-5 | 23-22 | 87-74 | 8-4 | 33-12 | 109-53 | | as a favorite | 14-5 | 46-35 | 221-180 | 8-8 | 39-39 | 175-149 | 16-3 | 71-11 | 340-67 | | as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points | 1-0 | 5-0 | 15-11 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 8-12 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 23-3 | | in all home games | 9-3 | 26-16 | 119-103 | 5-5 | 20-20 | 104-76 | 13-1 | 45-3 | 210-44 | | in home lined games | 9-3 | 26-16 | 119-103 | 5-5 | 20-20 | 104-76 | 11-1 | 39-3 | 182-42 | | in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 | 4-1 | 9-5 | 26-19 | 3-2 | 10-4 | 28-16 | 5-0 | 13-1 | 35-10 | | against conference opponents | 10-5 | 30-22 | 139-141 | 5-7 | 22-28 | 123-114 | 10-5 | 42-11 | 191-97 | | in March games | 0-0 | 6-10 | 50-50 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 50-41 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 77-28 | | after a conference game | 10-4 | 31-20 | 139-138 | 5-6 | 23-26 | 122-114 | 10-4 | 42-10 | 196-91 | | off a win against a conference rival | 6-3 | 22-18 | 82-100 | 4-3 | 19-20 | 81-76 | 7-2 | 33-8 | 132-58 | | after allowing 60 points or less | 5-2 | 14-10 | 65-41 | 4-3 | 12-12 | 39-44 | 6-1 | 23-3 | 94-21 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 10-9 | 38-32 | 222-192 | 8-8 | 29-38 | 179-174 | 11-8 | 52-20 | 299-135 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 7-3 | 29-17 | 135-117 | 3-4 | 20-23 | 117-104 | 7-3 | 38-9 | 174-84 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 15-13 | -9.2 | 10-15 | 10-5 | 67.6 | 30.9 | 44.3% | 31.3 | 68.2 | 32.8 | 43.3% | 33.9 | | Road Games | 7-6 | +1.4 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 65.4 | 31.0 | 44.3% | 32.1 | 69.0 | 33.5 | 41.7% | 37.1 | | Last 5 Games | 2-3 | -1.2 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 69.8 | 31.4 | 46.9% | 30.0 | 73.2 | 33.2 | 46.8% | 29.4 | | Conference Games | 7-8 | -0.5 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 62.3 | 28.3 | 43.0% | 27.8 | 68.7 | 33.1 | 45.7% | 33.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.6 | 30.9 | 23-52 | 44.3% | 6-17 | 35.4% | 15-21 | 72.5% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65.1 | 30.3 | 23-56 | 41.3% | 6-19 | 33.1% | 13-19 | 68.4% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.4 | 31.0 | 23-52 | 44.3% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 13-20 | 66.3% | 32 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.2 | 32.8 | 24-55 | 43.3% | 7-18 | 36.6% | 13-19 | 69.4% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.5 | 31.9 | 24-55 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 34.3% | 14-20 | 68.1% | 36 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.0 | 33.5 | 24-57 | 41.7% | 7-19 | 36.0% | 15-22 | 67.1% | 37 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
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| All Games | 20-8 | -2.5 | 16-9 | 10-12 | 77.7 | 37.2 | 44.2% | 40.4 | 69.0 | 30.3 | 41.7% | 37.1 | | Home Games | 13-1 | +3.2 | 9-3 | 5-5 | 80.9 | 38.8 | 45.3% | 42.1 | 66.3 | 27.1 | 40.7% | 36.6 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 75.0 | 36.2 | 42.9% | 34.6 | 67.2 | 30.2 | 45.1% | 37.6 | | Conference Games | 10-5 | +2.6 | 10-5 | 5-7 | 72.6 | 35.1 | 42.8% | 36.6 | 68.1 | 31.3 | 44.6% | 35.8 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 77.7 | 37.2 | 29-66 | 44.2% | 7-20 | 36.9% | 12-19 | 65.3% | 40 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 4 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.4 | 31 | 24-57 | 41.9% | 6-19 | 32.8% | 13-18 | 68.4% | 35 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Team Stats (Home Games) | 80.9 | 38.8 | 30-66 | 45.3% | 7-19 | 38.1% | 14-21 | 64.2% | 42 | 13 | 20 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 69.0 | 30.3 | 25-61 | 41.7% | 7-20 | 35.7% | 11-16 | 68.6% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.4 | 32 | 25-56 | 44.2% | 6-18 | 34.9% | 14-20 | 69.2% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Home Games) | 66.3 | 27.1 | 25-62 | 40.7% | 7-20 | 32.4% | 9-15 | 63.2% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA ST 74.9, N CAROLINA 75 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| FLORIDA ST is 16-14 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 23-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | 14 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| FLORIDA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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| N CAROLINA is 6-6 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 10-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | 6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | 1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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1/12/2013 | N CAROLINA | 77 | 152.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 29-60 | 48.3% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 41 | 14 | 14 | | | FLORIDA ST | 72 | -3 | Under | 31 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 19 | 5 | 10 | 3/11/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 85 | 143.5 | SU ATS | 49 | 33-56 | 58.9% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 30 | 6 | 15 | | N | N CAROLINA | 82 | -6 | Over | 40 | 28-71 | 39.4% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 39 | 17 | 7 | 1/14/2012 | N CAROLINA | 57 | -6 | Over | 28 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 35 | 14 | 22 | | | FLORIDA ST | 90 | 146.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 12-27 | 44.4% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 43 | 14 | 17 | 3/2/2011 | N CAROLINA | 72 | -3 | SU Over | 37 | 26-55 | 47.3% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 39 | 8 | 15 | | | FLORIDA ST | 70 | 137.5 | ATS | 38 | 29-60 | 48.3% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 28 | 7 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51% of the time since 1997. (172-165) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-39) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (207-219) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-40) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 56.9% of the time since 1997. (140-106) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (173-191) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-44) | |
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| [F] 01/23/2013 - Terrance Shannon out indefinitely ( Neck ) | |
| No significant injuries. |
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