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Matchup Reports

Sunday at 2:00 PM
FLORIDA ST (15-13) AT N CAROLINA (20-8) 
 Offensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/UFG%FT%3PT%FG%FT%3PT%
823: FLORIDA ST
824: N CAROLINA
145.5
-12.0
67.6 / 68.3
77.7 / 69.0
15-13
20-8
10-15
16-9
10-5
10-12
44.3
44.2
72.5
65.3
35.4
36.9
43.3
41.7
69.4
68.6
36.6
35.7
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
FLORIDA ST  
N CAROLINA-14 
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
FLORIDA ST - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games10-1544-41212-20910-538-37126-15715-1363-34279-226
in all lined games10-1544-41212-20910-538-37126-15714-1255-33211-220
when the total is 140 to 149.52-26-340-373-17-234-442-26-337-43
as an underdog6-519-14119-1054-315-1464-766-617-1768-161
as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points0-11-27-100-12-17-60-11-22-16
in road games3-615-1789-823-215-1154-523-616-1663-117
in road lined games3-615-1789-823-215-1154-523-616-1657-117
in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.50-00-04-20-00-02-50-00-01-6
against conference opponents4-1026-22140-1314-424-2082-1037-833-18123-157
in March games0-010-336-270-06-722-320-09-432-32
after a conference game3-1026-21134-1284-421-2274-1026-834-16130-149
revenging a home loss vs opponent0-04-231-300-04-318-180-05-220-42
off a win against a conference rival1-517-1458-601-414-1639-531-520-1251-71
when playing against a team with a winning record7-935-30168-1636-429-31101-1289-844-26164-193
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games1-721-18103-972-316-2161-853-626-1586-121
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games0-36-652-391-27-529-340-35-725-68
versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game1-39-986-691-28-942-591-38-1061-105

N CAROLINA - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997CurrentLast 3   Since 1997
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in all games16-952-43270-24010-1243-49221-20120-881-22410-147
in all lined games16-952-43270-24010-1243-49221-20117-874-22374-144
when the total is 140 to 149.57-524-2182-767-523-2287-748-433-12109-53
as a favorite14-546-35221-1808-839-39175-14916-371-11340-67
as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points1-05-015-111-02-38-121-05-023-3
in all home games9-326-16119-1035-520-20104-7613-145-3210-44
in home lined games9-326-16119-1035-520-20104-7611-139-3182-42
in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.54-19-526-193-210-428-165-013-135-10
against conference opponents10-530-22139-1415-722-28123-11410-542-11191-97
in March games0-06-1050-500-08-850-410-013-477-28
after a conference game10-431-20139-1385-623-26122-11410-442-10196-91
off a win against a conference rival6-322-1882-1004-319-2081-767-233-8132-58
after allowing 60 points or less5-214-1065-414-312-1239-446-123-394-21
when playing against a team with a winning record10-938-32222-1928-829-38179-17411-852-20299-135
when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games7-329-17135-1173-420-23117-1047-338-9174-84
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
FLORIDA ST - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games15-13-9.210-1510-567.630.944.3%31.368.232.843.3%33.9
Road Games7-6+1.47-66-265.431.044.3%32.169.033.541.7%37.1
Last 5 Games2-3-1.21-34-069.831.446.9%30.073.233.246.8%29.4
Conference Games7-8-0.54-104-462.328.343.0%27.868.733.145.7%33.8
FLORIDA ST Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)67.630.923-5244.3%6-1735.4%15-2172.5%31812187155
vs opponents surrendering65.130.323-5641.3%6-1933.1%13-1968.4%34912186133
Team Stats (Road Games)65.431.023-5244.3%6-1834.9%13-2066.3%32712196155
Stats Against (All Games)68.232.824-5543.3%7-1836.6%13-1969.4%341013197143
vs opponents averaging68.531.924-5544.4%6-1834.3%14-2068.1%361013177134
Stats Against (Road Games)69.033.524-5741.7%7-1936.0%15-2267.1%371113198133

N CAROLINA - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfFG PctReb.ScoreHalfFG PctReb.
All Games20-8-2.516-910-1277.737.244.2%40.469.030.341.7%37.1
Home Games13-1+3.29-35-580.938.845.3%42.166.327.140.7%36.6
Last 5 Games4-1+35-00-375.036.242.9%34.667.230.245.1%37.6
Conference Games10-5+2.610-55-772.635.142.8%36.668.131.344.6%35.8
N CAROLINA Team Statistics
 Shooting    3pt ShootingFree Throws Rebounding 
 PPGHalfFGM-APctFGM-APCTFTM-APctTotOffAstPFStlTOBk
Team Stats (All Games)77.737.229-6644.2%7-2036.9%12-1965.3%401218158134
vs opponents surrendering66.43124-5741.9%6-1932.8%13-1868.4%351012187134
Team Stats (Home Games)80.938.830-6645.3%7-1938.1%14-2164.2%421320149134
Stats Against (All Games)69.030.325-6141.7%7-2035.7%11-1668.6%371013177164
vs opponents averaging69.43225-5644.2%6-1834.9%14-2069.2%35913176134
Stats Against (Home Games)66.327.125-6240.7%7-2032.4%9-1563.2%371012198174
Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA ST 74.9,  N CAROLINA 75
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1997
FLORIDA ST is 16-14 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 23-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
14 of 24 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at N CAROLINA since 1997
N CAROLINA is 6-6 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST since 1997
N CAROLINA is 10-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 Shooting   3pt shotsFree ThrowsRebounds 
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFGM-APctFGM-APctFTM-APctTot.OFFTO
1/12/2013N CAROLINA77152.5SU ATS3329-6048.3%8-2040.0%11-1668.7%411414
 FLORIDA ST72-3 Under3124-5048.0%11-2250.0%13-1776.5%19510
3/11/2012FLORIDA ST85143.5SU ATS4933-5658.9%11-2250.0%8-1172.7%30615
NN CAROLINA82-6 Over4028-7139.4%5-2025.0%21-2487.5%39177
1/14/2012N CAROLINA57-6 Over2822-5937.3%4-2119.0%9-2045.0%351422
 FLORIDA ST90146.5SU ATS3630-6248.4%12-2744.4%18-2475.0%431417
3/2/2011N CAROLINA72-3SU Over3726-5547.3%6-1250.0%14-1877.8%39815
 FLORIDA ST70137.5 ATS3829-6048.3%5-1241.7%7-1353.8%28710
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring FLORIDA ST in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51% of the time since 1997. (172-165)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 46.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (34-39)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.6% of the time since 1997. (207-219)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 51.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-40)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 56.9% of the time since 1997. (140-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 56.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-29)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.5% of the time since 1997. (173-191)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 46.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (38-44)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
FLORIDA ST
[F] 01/23/2013 - Terrance Shannon out indefinitely ( Neck )
N CAROLINA
No significant injuries.
© Sports Handicapping Information All Rights Reserved.

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