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| The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. |
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| All team trends listed below apply to the current game. |
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| in all games | 13-16 | 47-42 | 215-210 | 11-8 | 39-40 | 127-160 | 18-14 | 66-35 | 282-227 | | in all lined games | 13-16 | 47-42 | 215-210 | 11-8 | 39-40 | 127-160 | 17-13 | 58-34 | 214-221 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 3-3 | 7-4 | 41-38 | 3-3 | 7-4 | 34-46 | 3-3 | 7-4 | 38-44 | | as an underdog | 8-6 | 21-15 | 121-106 | 4-6 | 15-17 | 64-79 | 8-7 | 19-18 | 70-162 | | in all neutral court games | 5-0 | 13-6 | 33-30 | 4-0 | 9-9 | 20-32 | 5-0 | 13-6 | 40-30 | | as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4-5 | | against conference opponents | 7-11 | 29-23 | 143-132 | 5-7 | 25-23 | 83-106 | 10-9 | 36-19 | 126-158 | | in March games | 3-1 | 13-4 | 39-28 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 23-35 | 3-1 | 12-5 | 35-33 | | on Friday nights | 1-1 | 4-5 | 16-21 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 6-5 | 23-24 | | when playing with one or less days rest | 3-0 | 10-6 | 35-35 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 18-29 | 3-0 | 13-5 | 59-34 | | after a conference game | 6-11 | 29-22 | 137-129 | 5-7 | 22-25 | 75-105 | 9-9 | 37-17 | 133-150 | | when playing on a neutral court | 5-0 | 13-6 | 33-30 | 4-0 | 9-9 | 20-32 | 5-0 | 13-6 | 40-30 | | revenging a road loss vs opponent | 3-2 | 10-5 | 61-46 | 2-3 | 8-7 | 34-41 | 4-2 | 9-7 | 51-59 | | off a win against a conference rival | 3-6 | 19-15 | 60-61 | 2-6 | 15-18 | 40-55 | 3-6 | 22-13 | 53-72 | | in all tournament games | 4-1 | 11-8 | 30-32 | 2-0 | 7-9 | 20-35 | 4-1 | 13-6 | 34-32 | | in conference tournament games | 1-0 | 4-0 | 13-12 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 10-13 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-13 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 9-10 | 37-31 | 170-164 | 6-7 | 29-34 | 101-131 | 11-9 | 46-27 | 166-194 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 3-8 | 23-19 | 105-98 | 2-6 | 16-24 | 61-88 | 5-7 | 28-16 | 88-122 |
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| in all games | 18-10 | 54-44 | 272-241 | 10-15 | 43-52 | 221-204 | 22-9 | 83-23 | 412-148 | | in all lined games | 18-10 | 54-44 | 272-241 | 10-15 | 43-52 | 221-204 | 19-9 | 76-23 | 376-145 | | when the total is 140 to 149.5 | 9-5 | 26-21 | 84-76 | 7-7 | 23-24 | 87-76 | 10-4 | 35-12 | 111-53 | | as a favorite | 15-6 | 47-36 | 222-181 | 8-10 | 39-41 | 175-151 | 17-4 | 72-12 | 341-68 | | in all neutral court games | 1-1 | 9-13 | 66-55 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 51-52 | 1-1 | 15-8 | 92-35 | | as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points | 0-1 | 2-3 | 13-11 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 17-8 | | in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8-12 | 1-0 | 4-4 | 12-10 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 15-7 | | against conference opponents | 12-6 | 32-23 | 141-142 | 5-10 | 22-31 | 123-117 | 12-6 | 44-12 | 193-98 | | in March games | 2-1 | 8-11 | 52-51 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 50-44 | 2-1 | 15-5 | 79-29 | | on Friday nights | 1-0 | 6-4 | 28-19 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 19-19 | 2-0 | 11-1 | 45-9 | | when playing with 5 or 6 days rest | 2-2 | 6-7 | 28-33 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 23-30 | 4-1 | 13-2 | 52-17 | | after a conference game | 12-5 | 33-21 | 141-139 | 5-9 | 23-29 | 122-117 | 12-5 | 44-11 | 198-92 | | when playing on a neutral court | 1-1 | 9-13 | 66-55 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 51-52 | 1-1 | 15-8 | 92-35 | | off a loss against a conference rival | 4-1 | 9-2 | 56-37 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 41-37 | 3-2 | 9-2 | 63-32 | | after scoring 60 points or less | 2-1 | 7-2 | 21-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 15-14 | 2-1 | 7-2 | 26-12 | | in all tournament games | 1-1 | 7-13 | 61-49 | 1-1 | 10-10 | 52-48 | 2-1 | 15-8 | 87-31 | | in conference tournament games | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 21-12 | | when playing against a team with a winning record | 12-10 | 40-33 | 224-193 | 8-11 | 29-41 | 179-177 | 13-9 | 54-21 | 301-136 | | when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games | 9-4 | 31-18 | 137-118 | 3-7 | 20-26 | 117-107 | 9-4 | 40-10 | 176-85 |
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| Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. |
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| All Games | 18-14 | -6.5 | 13-16 | 11-8 | 67.2 | 30.7 | 44.3% | 31.0 | 68.0 | 33.0 | 43.5% | 33.5 | | Road Games | 8-7 | +1.4 | 8-7 | 7-3 | 65.4 | 30.7 | 44.0% | 31.7 | 69.5 | 34.4 | 42.5% | 36.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +3.8 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 66.2 | 31.4 | 45.2% | 32.0 | 65.2 | 34.6 | 42.8% | 28.8 | | Conference Games | 10-9 | +2.2 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 62.6 | 28.5 | 43.3% | 28.1 | 68.1 | 33.4 | 45.6% | 33.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 67.2 | 30.7 | 23-52 | 44.3% | 6-17 | 34.8% | 15-21 | 73.3% | 31 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 5 | | vs opponents surrendering | 65 | 30.1 | 23-56 | 41.5% | 6-18 | 33.1% | 13-18 | 68.6% | 34 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 65.4 | 30.7 | 23-52 | 44.0% | 6-18 | 34.2% | 14-20 | 68.1% | 32 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 5 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.0 | 33.0 | 24-55 | 43.5% | 7-18 | 36.9% | 13-19 | 68.7% | 34 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 3 | | vs opponents averaging | 68.6 | 31.9 | 25-55 | 44.5% | 6-18 | 34.5% | 13-20 | 68.2% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 69.5 | 34.4 | 24-57 | 42.5% | 7-18 | 38.0% | 14-22 | 66.4% | 36 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
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| All Games | 22-9 | -1.9 | 18-10 | 10-15 | 76.9 | 36.9 | 44.3% | 39.5 | 68.6 | 30.5 | 41.9% | 36.6 | | Road Games | 8-7 | -4.8 | 8-6 | 5-8 | 74.8 | 35.5 | 43.3% | 38.3 | 71.4 | 33.1 | 42.7% | 37.3 | | Last 5 Games | 4-1 | +2.6 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 70.6 | 35.2 | 44.9% | 31.8 | 63.8 | 29.6 | 43.3% | 35.8 | | Conference Games | 12-6 | +3.2 | 12-6 | 5-10 | 72.1 | 35.1 | 43.0% | 35.8 | 67.6 | 31.4 | 44.5% | 35.2 |
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| Team Stats (All Games) | 76.9 | 36.9 | 29-65 | 44.3% | 7-20 | 36.9% | 12-18 | 66.1% | 40 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 3 | | vs opponents surrendering | 66.5 | 31.1 | 24-57 | 42.0% | 6-19 | 33.0% | 13-18 | 68.7% | 34 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 3 | | Team Stats (Road Games) | 74.8 | 35.5 | 28-65 | 43.3% | 7-21 | 36.1% | 11-16 | 68.0% | 38 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 4 | | Stats Against (All Games) | 68.6 | 30.5 | 25-61 | 41.9% | 7-20 | 34.4% | 11-15 | 69.6% | 37 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 4 | | vs opponents averaging | 69.5 | 32.1 | 25-56 | 44.4% | 6-18 | 35.1% | 14-20 | 69.4% | 35 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 4 | | Stats Against (Road Games) | 71.4 | 33.1 | 26-60 | 42.7% | 8-21 | 37.1% | 12-17 | 73.4% | 37 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
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| Average power rating of opponents played: FLORIDA ST 76.6, N CAROLINA 75.8 |
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| Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups. |
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| FLORIDA ST is 16-15 against the spread versus N CAROLINA since 1997 | | N CAROLINA is 24-7 straight up against FLORIDA ST since 1997 | | 14 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997 |
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| N CAROLINA is 3-3 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | N CAROLINA is 4-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons | | 4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons |
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3/3/2013 | FLORIDA ST | 58 | 145.5 | Under | 27 | 23-62 | 37.1% | 4-18 | 22.2% | 8-8 | 100.0% | 31 | 12 | 15 | | | N CAROLINA | 77 | -12 | SU ATS | 46 | 31-56 | 55.4% | 9-15 | 60.0% | 6-10 | 60.0% | 31 | 7 | 11 | 1/12/2013 | N CAROLINA | 77 | 152.5 | SU ATS | 33 | 29-60 | 48.3% | 8-20 | 40.0% | 11-16 | 68.7% | 41 | 14 | 14 | | | FLORIDA ST | 72 | -3 | Under | 31 | 24-50 | 48.0% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 13-17 | 76.5% | 19 | 5 | 10 | 3/11/2012 | FLORIDA ST | 85 | 143.5 | SU ATS | 49 | 33-56 | 58.9% | 11-22 | 50.0% | 8-11 | 72.7% | 30 | 6 | 15 | | N | N CAROLINA | 82 | -6 | Over | 40 | 28-71 | 39.4% | 5-20 | 25.0% | 21-24 | 87.5% | 39 | 17 | 7 | 1/14/2012 | N CAROLINA | 57 | -6 | Over | 28 | 22-59 | 37.3% | 4-21 | 19.0% | 9-20 | 45.0% | 35 | 14 | 22 | | | FLORIDA ST | 90 | 146.5 | SU ATS | 36 | 30-62 | 48.4% | 12-27 | 44.4% | 18-24 | 75.0% | 43 | 14 | 17 | 3/2/2011 | N CAROLINA | 72 | -3 | SU Over | 37 | 26-55 | 47.3% | 6-12 | 50.0% | 14-18 | 77.8% | 39 | 8 | 15 | | | FLORIDA ST | 70 | 137.5 | ATS | 38 | 29-60 | 48.3% | 5-12 | 41.7% | 7-13 | 53.8% | 28 | 7 | 10 |
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| Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%. |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 51% of the time since 1997. (174-167) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in FLORIDA ST games 46.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (36-41) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 48.3% of the time since 1997. (207-222) | | The betting public is correct when moving the money line in N CAROLINA games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (43-43) | |
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| The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.2% of the time since 1997. (143-107) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in FLORIDA ST games 57.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (41-30) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.7% of the time since 1997. (175-192) | | The betting public is correct when moving the total in N CAROLINA games 47.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (40-45) | |
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| No significant injuries. | |
| No significant injuries. |
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